Enterprise Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
UK -3.5✓ UK covered by 1.5
UK -3.5✓ UK covered by 1.5Closing total157.5Over by 15.5
 SCU | This season | UK |
|---|---|---|
| 25-8 | Record | 21-13 |
| 18-15 | ATS | 17-17 |
| 18-15 | O/U | 17-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SCU 77–83 UK · ✓ UK (70%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SCU | 31 | 42 | 11 | 84 |
| UK | 29 | 44 | 16 | 89 |
1st half: SCU 31, UK 29 (SCU by 2). The model had UK by 3.5 and a total of 74.8 (actual 60).
Team stats
| SCU | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-73 41% | Field goals | 32-63 51% |
| 12-33 36% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 12-13 92% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 40 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 19 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 11 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| SCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Ensminger G | 42 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Christian Hammond G | 41 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Elijah Mahi F | 39 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 7-16 | 4-8 |
| Bukky Oboye C | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Brenton Knapper G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sash Gavalyugov G | 32 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 6-16 | 4-11 |
| Allen Graves F | 27 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Thierry Darlan G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| KJ Cochran G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Francis Chukwudebelu C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gehrig Normand, Noah Badibanga, Brad Longcor III, Juan Reyna, Chris Tadjo, Brendan Yarusso, Malachi Douyon
| UK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh G | 43 | 35 | 8 | 7 | 11-24 | 3-8 |
| Collin Chandler G | 42 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2-10 | 1-9 |
| Denzel Aberdeen G | 38 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-8 |
| Malachi Moreno C | 20 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Andrija Jelavic F | 13 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mo Dioubate F | 32 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Garrison F | 25 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Kam Williams G | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jasper Johnson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaland Lowe, Zach Tow, Walker Horn, Reece Potter, Trent Noah, Braydon Hawthorne, Jayden Quaintance
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUK -3.5
ModelUK -6.0
Model edgeUK +2.5
W UK covered
Total
Market157.5
Model160.2
Model edgeOver 2.7
W Over
Projected score
SCU 77.1 · UK 83.1
SCU 84 · UK 89
Win probability
UK 70%
1st half
Spread
UK -3.5
SCU -2.0
Total
74.8
60 points
Projected score
SCU 35.7 · UK 39.1
SCU 31 · UK 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUK -1.5
2 → UK
CloseUK -3.5
2 pts toward UK
Total
Open161.5
▼ 4
Close157.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SCU +142 · UK -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UK -1.5 · closed UK -3.5 · moved 2 toward UKmodel UK -6
model UK -6
Opened 161.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 4 downmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SCU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UK | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Santa Clara
33 games played
Straight up
25-8
76% wins
Against the spread
18-15
55% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-15
55% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs MCN | W 79-67 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 10 | @ XAV | W 87-68 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEV | W 98-83 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 18 | vs IDST | W 64-55 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 21 | vs UL | W 80-43 | -19.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 27 | vs SLU | L 70-71 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs MINN | W 86-75 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 3 | vs UTU | W 90-80 | -20.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNM | L 71-98 | +1.5 | L −25.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs ASU | L 79-82 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 17 | vs UNT | W 63-60 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vs LUC | L 78-80 | -15.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORST | W 102-64 | -7.5 | W +30.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 30 | @ PORT | W 92-85 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 2 | vs PEPP | W 82-63 | -20.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | vs USD | W 98-70 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 161.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 8 | @ GONZ | L 77-89 | +17.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 10 | vs LMU | W 103-72 | -11.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 14 | vs PAC | W 85-69 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vs SMC | W 62-54 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 24 | @USD | W 85-73 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 28 | vs SF | W 88-73 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 31 | @LMU | W 104-73 | -8.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 4 | @PAC | W 71-56 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 7 | @ WSU | W 96-92 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | vs SEA | W 84-72 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 14 | vsGONZ | L 86-94 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | @SF | W 94-73 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 25 | @SMC | L 67-86 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 28 | vsORST | W 93-72 | -15.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 8 | vsPAC | W 76-68 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Mar 9 | vsSMC | W 76-71 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Mar 10 | vsGONZ | L 68-79 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
+5.5
10
@XAV
XAVW 87-68
+22.5
15
vsNEV
NEVW 98-83
+8.5
18
vsIDST
IDSTW 64-55
−5.5
21
vsUL
ULW 80-43
+17.5
27
vsSLU
SLUL 70-71
+0.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 86-75
+5.5
3
vsUTU
UTUW 90-80
−10.5
6
@UNM
UNML 71-98
−25.5
13
vsASU
ASUL 79-82
−4.5
17
vsUNT
UNTW 63-60
−9.5
20
vsLUC
LUCL 78-80
−17.5
28
@ORST
ORSTW 102-64
+30.5
30
@PORT
PORTW 92-85
−6.5
2
vsPEPP
PEPPW 82-63
−1.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 98-70
+10.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 77-89
+5.5
10
vsLMU
LMUW 103-72
+19.5
14
vsPAC
PACW 85-69
+3.5
17
vsSMC
SMCW 62-54
+6.5
24
@USD
USDW 85-73
−1.5
28
vsSF
SFW 88-73
+5.5
31
@LMU
LMUW 104-73
+22.5
4
@PAC
PACW 71-56
+8.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 96-92
−4.5
11
vsSEA
SEAW 84-72
−0.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 86-94
−3.5
21
@SF
SFW 94-73
+14.5
25
@SMC
SMCL 67-86
−13.5
28
vsORST
ORSTW 93-72
+5.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 76-68
−1.5
9
vsSMC
SMCW 76-71
+9.5
10
vsGONZ
GONZL 68-79
−2.5
covered 18didn’t cover 15avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsMCN
MCNW 79-67
−5.5
10
@XAV
XAVW 87-68
−0.5
15
vsNEV
NEVW 98-83
+36.5
18
vsIDST
IDSTW 64-55
−22.5
21
vsUL
ULW 80-43
−17.5
27
vsSLU
SLUL 70-71
−17.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 86-75
+22.5
3
vsUTU
UTUW 90-80
+25.5
6
@UNM
UNML 71-98
+15.5
13
vsASU
ASUL 79-82
+6.5
17
vsUNT
UNTW 63-60
−16.5
20
vsLUC
LUCL 78-80
+6.5
28
@ORST
ORSTW 102-64
+15.5
30
@PORT
PORTW 92-85
+19.5
2
vsPEPP
PEPPW 82-63
−5.5
4
vsUSD
USDW 98-70
+6.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 77-89
+2.5
10
vsLMU
LMUW 103-72
+21.5
14
vsPAC
PACW 85-69
−0.5
17
vsSMC
SMCW 62-54
−36.5
24
@USD
USDW 85-73
−4.5
28
vsSF
SFW 88-73
+10.5
31
@LMU
LMUW 104-73
+23.5
4
@PAC
PACW 71-56
−24.5
7
@WSU
WSUW 96-92
+27.5
11
vsSEA
SEAW 84-72
+8.5
14
vsGONZ
GONZL 86-94
+21.5
21
@SF
SFW 94-73
+8.5
25
@SMC
SMCL 67-86
−0.5
28
vsORST
ORSTW 93-72
+11.5
8
vsPAC
PACW 76-68
−4.5
9
vsSMC
SMCW 76-71
−3.5
10
vsGONZ
GONZL 68-79
−10.5
over 18under 15avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kentucky
34 games played
Straight up
21-13
62% wins
Against the spread
17-17
50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-17
50% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NICH | W 77-51 | -31.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs VAL | W 107-59 | -32.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ LOU | L 88-96 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 14 | vs EIU | W 99-53 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs MSU | L 66-83 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs L-MD | W 88-46 | -35.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | vs TNTC | W 104-54 | -37.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNC | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vsGONZ | L 59-94 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCCU | W 103-67 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 13 | vs IU | W 72-60 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJU | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs BELL | W 99-85 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | @ ALA | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | vs MIZ | L 68-73 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vs MSST | W 92-68 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ LSU | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ TENN | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs TEX | W 85-80 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs MISS | W 72-63 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ VAN | L 55-80 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ ARK | W 85-77 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 4 | vs OU | W 94-78 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | vsTENN | W 74-71 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 14 | @ FLA | L 83-92 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 17 | vs UGA | L 78-86 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | @ AUB | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @ SC | W 72-63 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | vsVAN | W 91-77 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @ TA&M | L 85-96 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 7 | vsFLA | L 77-84 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 11 | vsLSU | W 87-82 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 12 | vsMIZ | W 78-72 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 13 | vsFLA | L 63-71 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−5.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+15.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
−2.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+10.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−20.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
+6.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+12.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−10.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−29.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
−6.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
+8.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
+10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
−20.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−9.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−17.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+13.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+8.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
−2.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−2.5
27
@VAN
VANL 55-80
−19.5
31
@ARK
ARKW 85-77
+14.5
4
vsOU
OUW 94-78
+7.5
7
vsTENN
TENNW 74-71
+1.5
14
@FLA
FLAL 83-92
+3.5
17
vsUGA
UGAL 78-86
−14.5
21
@AUB
AUBL 74-75
+2.5
24
@SC
SCW 72-63
+1.5
28
vsVAN
VANW 91-77
+12.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 85-96
−9.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 77-84
−1.5
11
vsLSU
LSUW 87-82
−3.5
12
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-72
+3.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 63-71
+2.5
covered 17didn’t cover 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−29.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+8.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
+10.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+4.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−3.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
−25.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+0.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−32.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−6.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
+21.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
−24.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
−10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
+31.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−10.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−9.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+7.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+12.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
+12.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−10.5
27
@VAN
VANL 55-80
−20.5
31
@ARK
ARKW 85-77
+2.5
4
vsOU
OUW 94-78
+19.5
7
vsTENN
TENNW 74-71
−2.5
14
@FLA
FLAL 83-92
+20.5
17
vsUGA
UGAL 78-86
+2.5
21
@AUB
AUBL 74-75
−4.5
24
@SC
SCW 72-63
−16.5
28
vsVAN
VANW 91-77
+10.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 85-96
+18.5
7
vsFLA
FLAL 77-84
−1.5
11
vsLSU
LSUW 87-82
+17.5
12
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-72
+1.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 63-71
−27.5
over 17under 17avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Santa Clara
25-8 overall · 17-4 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Gonzaga68–79
- Wvs Saint Mary's76–71
- Wvs Pacific76–68
- Wvs Oregon St93–72
- L@ Saint Mary's67–86
A week or more of rest.
Kentucky
21-13 overall · 12-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida63–71
- Wvs Missouri78–72
- Wvs LSU87–82
- Lvs Florida77–84
- L@ Texas A&M85–96
A week or more of rest.