Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
TEX -5.5✓ MISS covered by 15.5
TEX -5.5✓ MISS covered by 15.5Closing total147.5Under by 5.5
 MISS | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 12-19 | Record | 17-13 |
| 11-20 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 19-12 | O/U | 19-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 74–80 TEX · ✗ TEX (70%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 41 | 35 | 76 |
| TEX | 30 | 36 | 66 |
1st half: MISS 41, TEX 30 (MISS by 11). The model had TEX by 3.4 and a total of 72.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MISS | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 19-54 35% |
| 1-10 10% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 21-25 84% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 35 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 12 |
| 12 | Steals | 1 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 37 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 8-16 | 0-2 |
| Malik Dia F | 28 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 9-18 | 1-3 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| James Scott F | 26 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Travis Perry G | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 29 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Koren Johnson, Hobert Grayson IV, Zach Day, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Augusto Cassia, Tylis Jordan
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Jordan Pope G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-15 | 4-9 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 25 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Tramon Mark G | 21 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nic Codie F | 24 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 23 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Chendall Weaver G | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Lewis Obiorah, Declan Duru Jr., Lassina Traore, Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, John Clark, Cole Bott
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTEX -5.5
ModelTEX -5.9
Model edgeTEX +0.4
L MISS covered
Total
Market147.5
Model153.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
L Under
Projected score
MISS 74 · TEX 79.9
MISS 76 · TEX 66
Win probability
TEX 70%
1st half
Spread
TEX -3.4
MISS -11.0
Total
72.0
71 points
Projected score
MISS 34.3 · TEX 37.7
MISS 41 · TEX 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -5.5
no move
CloseTEX -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 3
Close147.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +200 · TEX -245
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -5.5 · unchangedmodel TEX -6
model TEX -6
Opened 150.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 3 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
| TEX | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MISS 1–1 TEXSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · MISS 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | MISS 68 @ TEX 79 | TEX -9.5 | TEX W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | TEX 69 @ MISS 72 | MISS -6.5 | TEX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
11-20
35% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-12
61% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | vs ARK | L 87-94 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 10 | vs MIZ | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ UGA | W 97-95 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | @ MSST | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 20 | vs AUB | L 66-78 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ UK | L 63-72 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ VAN | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @ TENN | L 66-84 | +12.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @TEX | L 68-79 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | vs ALA | L 74-93 | +6.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 14 | vsMSST | L 78-90 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @ TA&M | L 77-80 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 21 | vs FLA | L 75-94 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 25 | vs LSU | L 99-106 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 205 |
| Feb 28 | @AUB | W 85-79 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vsVAN | L 86-89 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | vs SC | L 61-64 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
−3.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+5.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+12.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
+4.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−8.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
+2.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
+7.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
−5.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
−1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
−12.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
−15.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
+6.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
−5.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
−9.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+16.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 86-89
+4.5
7
vsSC
SCL 61-64
−10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 20avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
7
vsARK
ARKL 87-94
+27.5
10
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-69
+1.5
14
@UGA
UGAW 97-95
+33.5
17
@MSST
MSSTW 68-67
−12.5
20
vsAUB
AUBL 66-78
−7.5
24
@UK
UKL 63-72
−10.5
31
@VAN
VANL 68-71
−10.5
3
@TENN
TENNL 66-84
+10.5
7
@TEX
TEXL 68-79
+1.5
11
vsALA
ALAL 74-93
+2.5
14
vsMSST
MSSTL 78-90
+21.5
18
@TA&M
TA&ML 77-80
−0.5
21
vsFLA
FLAL 75-94
+16.5
25
vsLSU
LSUL 99-106
+57.5
28
@AUB
AUBW 85-79
+10.5
3
vsVAN
VANL 86-89
+19.5
7
vsSC
SCL 61-64
−22.5
over 19under 12avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
30 games played
Straight up
17-13
57% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-11
63% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vsNCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vsMSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vsVAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsTA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsUGA | W 87-67 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 28 | @AUB | L 82-88 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @OU | W 79-69 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 3 | vsSC | W 84-75 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 7 | vsMISS | W 79-68 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | @MIZ | W 85-68 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 17 | vsLSU | W 88-85 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 21 | @UGA | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 162.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 25 | vsFLA | L 71-84 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 28 | @TA&M | W 76-70 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 4 | @ARK | L 85-105 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 163.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 7 | vsOU | L 85-88 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
+16.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+0.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
+8.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
−4.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+19.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
−7.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
−8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−6.5
28
@TA&M
TA&MW 76-70
+8.5
4
@ARK
ARKL 85-105
−13.5
7
vsOU
OUL 85-88
−9.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
24
vsUGA
UGAW 87-67
−14.5
28
@AUB
AUBL 82-88
+15.5
31
@OU
OUW 79-69
−7.5
3
vsSC
SCW 84-75
+9.5
7
vsMISS
MISSW 79-68
+1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZW 85-68
+2.5
17
vsLSU
LSUW 88-85
+22.5
21
@UGA
UGAL 80-91
+8.5
25
vsFLA
FLAL 71-84
−2.5
28
@TA&M
TA&MW 76-70
−13.5
4
@ARK
ARKL 85-105
+26.5
7
vsOU
OUL 85-88
+18.5
over 19under 11avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
12-19 overall · 4-14 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Carolina61–64
- Lvs Vanderbilt86–89
- W@ Auburn85–79
- Lvs LSU99–106
- Lvs Florida75–94
4 days since their last game.
Texas
17-13 overall · 9-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oklahoma85–88
- L@ Arkansas85–105
- W@ Texas A&M76–70
- Lvs Florida71–84
- L@ Georgia80–91
4 days since their last game.