Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
SIE -2.5✓ SIE covered by 2.5
SIE -2.5✓ SIE covered by 2.5Closing total135.5Under by 14.5
 MSM | This season | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| 14-16 | Record | 20-11 |
| 18-12 | ATS | 17-14 |
| 10-20 | O/U | 11-20 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSM 67–72 SIE · ✓ SIE (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 21 | 37 | 58 |
| SIE | 35 | 28 | 63 |
1st half: MSM 21, SIE 35 (SIE by 14). The model had SIE by 3.0 and a total of 64.8 (actual 56).
Team stats
| MSM | SIE | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-61 33% | Field goals | 20-56 36% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 16-17 94% |
| 42 18 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| MSM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Lipscomb G | 37 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Arlandus Keyes G | 33 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 4-9 |
| Luke McEldon F | 31 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 8-13 | 0-0 |
| Trey Deveaux F | 20 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Arrington Jr. G | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Abdou Khadre Kebe G | 26 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Justin Amadi F | 24 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Patrick Haigh G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Yakhya Diop F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mason So G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin May, John Miller IV, Noah Rogers, Elijah Espinosa, Jaxon Hartman, Anastasios Rozakeas
| SIE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Doty G | 38 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 3-15 | 1-6 |
| Justice Shoats G | 38 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Brendan Coyle G | 37 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6-13 | 5-12 |
| Riley Mulvey C | 34 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Francis Folefac F | 30 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Jones G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Isaiah Henderson G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Danny Murray, Owen Schlager, Antonio Chandler, Cooper Nadler, Tajae Jones, Chris Torres, Tasman Goodrick, Mosi Clayton, Marcus Jackson, Reid Ducharme
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSIE -2.5
ModelSIE -5.2
Model edgeSIE +2.7
W SIE covered
Total
Market135.5
Model138.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
L Under
Projected score
MSM 66.6 · SIE 71.8
MSM 58 · SIE 63
Win probability
SIE 68%
1st half
Spread
SIE -3.0
SIE -14.0
Total
64.8
56 points
Projected score
MSM 30.9 · SIE 33.9
MSM 21 · SIE 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSIE -3.5
1 → MSM
CloseSIE -2.5
1 pt toward MSM
Total
Open131.5
▲ 4
Close135.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MSM +130 · SIE -155
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SIE -3.5 · closed SIE -2.5 · moved 1 toward MSMmodel SIE -5
model SIE -5
Opened 131.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 4 upmodel 138.5
model 138.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSM | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| SIE | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
MSM 3–4 SIESIE leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · MSM 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025-26 | SIE 67 @ MSM 50 | MSM +2.5 | SIE W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | SIE 79 @ MSM 85 | MSM -1.5 | MSM W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | MSM 68 @ SIE 82 | SIE -3.5 | SIE W |
| Feb 4, 2023-24 | MSM 68 @ SIE 61 | SIE +7.5 | SIE W |
| Dec 3, 2023-24 | SIE 48 @ MSM 80 | MSM -8.5 | MSM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mount St Marys
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-20
33% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WVU | L 54-70 | +19.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 7 | vs BUCK | L 62-73 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ SFPA | W 74-66 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 16 | @ CIN | L 55-72 | +25.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | @ MD | L 90-95 | +17.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 23 | @ WMU | L 60-83 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 25 | @ OSU | L 60-113 | +30.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 29 | vs HOW | W 79-75 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 3 | vs SHU | L 80-87 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 5 | @ MRST | L 56-64 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 13 | @ L-MD | W 81-73 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ DREX | L 67-75 | +4.5 | L −3.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs IONA | W 66-59 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | @ MRMK | L 65-75 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 4 | @ QUIN | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 9 | vs SPU | W 70-65 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 11 | vsSIE | L 50-67 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 17 | @ CAN | W 78-68 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 19 | @ NIA | W 68-58 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | vsQUIN | L 62-77 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 24 | vs RID | W 71-61 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 30 | @SPU | L 58-66 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 1 | vs MAN | W 72-65 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | vsMRMK | L 70-87 | +2.5 | L −14.5 | 134.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | @IONA | W 83-76 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 13 | @RID | W 65-55 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 20 | vsNIA | W 76-63 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 22 | vsCAN | W 68-47 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 27 | @SHU | L 69-77 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 1 | @ FAIR | W 69-47 | +4.5 | W +26.5 | 145.5 | U 116 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
+3.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−12.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
+1.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
+8.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+12.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−21.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
−22.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+1.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
−5.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
+0.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+5.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
−3.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
+9.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−6.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−3.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
+6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−14.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+6.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
+6.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−10.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
+0.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−2.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
+0.5
5
vsMRMK
MRMKL 70-87
−14.5
7
@IONA
IONAW 83-76
+10.5
13
@RID
RIDW 65-55
+4.5
20
vsNIA
NIAW 76-63
+5.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 68-47
+13.5
27
@SHU
SHUL 69-77
−5.5
1
@FAIR
FAIRW 69-47
+26.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WVU
WVUL 54-70
−12.5
7
vsBUCK
BUCKL 62-73
−8.5
11
@SFPA
SFPAW 74-66
−9.5
16
@CIN
CINL 55-72
−18.5
19
@MD
MDL 90-95
+39.5
23
@WMU
WMUL 60-83
−7.5
25
@OSU
OSUL 60-113
+21.5
29
vsHOW
HOWW 79-75
+7.5
3
vsSHU
SHUL 80-87
+14.5
5
@MRST
MRSTL 56-64
−16.5
13
@L-MD
L-MDW 81-73
+2.5
19
@DREX
DREXL 67-75
+4.5
29
vsIONA
IONAW 66-59
−28.5
2
@MRMK
MRMKL 65-75
−1.5
4
@QUIN
QUINL 69-80
−1.5
9
vsSPU
SPUW 70-65
−6.5
11
vsSIE
SIEL 50-67
−22.5
17
@CAN
CANW 78-68
+10.5
19
@NIA
NIAW 68-58
−5.5
22
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-77
−9.5
24
vsRID
RIDW 71-61
−7.5
30
@SPU
SPUL 58-66
−14.5
1
vsMAN
MANW 72-65
−10.5
5
vsMRMK
MRMKL 70-87
+22.5
7
@IONA
IONAW 83-76
+17.5
13
@RID
RIDW 65-55
−17.5
20
vsNIA
NIAW 76-63
+8.5
22
vsCAN
CANW 68-47
−22.5
27
@SHU
SHUL 69-77
−4.5
1
@FAIR
FAIRW 69-47
−29.5
over 10under 20avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Siena
31 games played
Straight up
20-11
65% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-20
35% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BRY | W 82-66 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ BRWN | W 62-46 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 12 | @ SBU | L 66-75 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs COLG | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | vs UALB | W 73-63 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | @ HC | W 73-69 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs LONG | W 70-63 | -5.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | @ AMER | W 59-55 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs ME | W 64-60 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 5 | vsNIA | W 83-54 | -12.5 | W +16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | vsCAN | W 74-52 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ UVM | L 69-83 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ IU | L 60-81 | +21.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | @IONA | L 72-75 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 4 | @RID | W 74-65 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 9 | vsMRMK | L 59-63 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @MSM | W 67-50 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 14 | vsSHU | L 80-86 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | @MAN | W 74-59 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 19 | vsFAIR | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 22 | vsMRST | W 69-50 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 133.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 30 | @NIA | W 82-79 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | @CAN | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsIONA | W 79-72 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @SPU | L 65-70 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 13 | vsQUIN | L 62-74 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 15 | @MRST | W 67-63 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 20 | @MRMK | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 22 | vsSPU | W 72-63 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 27 | @FAIR | L 58-72 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 1 | vsRID | W 76-61 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
+2.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
+12.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−9.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−0.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
−5.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
+1.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
+1.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−5.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+16.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
+4.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
−11.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−4.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+0.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−9.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
+14.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
−14.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
+8.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+1.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
+17.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
−6.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+6.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
−1.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−6.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−15.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
+6.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
−4.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
+3.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−15.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
+0.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBRY
BRYW 82-66
−0.5
7
@BRWN
BRWNW 62-46
−34.5
12
@SBU
SBUL 66-75
+0.5
17
vsCOLG
COLGL 69-72
−5.5
21
vsUALB
UALBW 73-63
−4.5
24
@HC
HCW 73-69
+4.5
28
vsLONG
LONGW 70-63
−12.5
29
@AMER
AMERW 59-55
−23.5
30
vsME
MEW 64-60
−3.5
5
vsNIA
NIAW 83-54
+7.5
7
vsCAN
CANW 74-52
−5.5
17
@UVM
UVML 69-83
+17.5
22
@IU
IUL 60-81
−4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 72-75
−2.5
4
@RID
RIDW 74-65
+3.5
9
vsMRMK
MRMKL 59-63
−10.5
11
@MSM
MSMW 67-50
−22.5
14
vsSHU
SHUL 80-86
+26.5
17
@MAN
MANW 74-59
−11.5
19
vsFAIR
FAIRW 85-77
+19.5
22
vsMRST
MRSTW 69-50
−14.5
30
@NIA
NIAW 82-79
+32.5
1
@CAN
CANW 78-63
+5.5
5
vsIONA
IONAW 79-72
+10.5
7
@SPU
SPUL 65-70
−0.5
13
vsQUIN
QUINL 62-74
−8.5
15
@MRST
MRSTW 67-63
−3.5
20
@MRMK
MRMKL 72-79
+17.5
22
vsSPU
SPUW 72-63
−0.5
27
@FAIR
FAIRL 58-72
−12.5
1
vsRID
RIDW 76-61
−0.5
over 11under 20avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mount St Marys
14-16 overall · 11-9 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Fairfield69–47
- L@ Sacred Heart69–77
- Wvs Canisius68–47
- Wvs Niagara76–63
- W@ Rider65–55
6 days since their last game.
Siena
20-11 overall · 13-7 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider76–61
- L@ Fairfield58–72
- Wvs Saint Peter's72–63
- L@ Merrimack72–79
- W@ Marist67–63
6 days since their last game.