Sojka Pavilion · at Bucknell · Conference game
Closing line
AMER -3.5✓ AMER covered by 14.5
AMER -3.5✓ AMER covered by 14.5Closing total140.5Under by 8.5
| AMER | This season | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| 12-13 | Record | 8-19 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 11-16 |
| 13-12 | O/U | 10-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 72–71 BUCK · ✓ AMER (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 36 | 39 | 75 |
| BUCK | 30 | 27 | 57 |
1st half: AMER 36, BUCK 30 (AMER by 6). The model had AMER by 1.1 and a total of 66.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| AMER | BUCK | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-52 40% | Field goals | 22-50 44% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 3-17 18% |
| 25-31 81% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 27 8 off | Rebounds | 34 8 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 25 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Mayock F | 34 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 30 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 3-7 |
| Greg Jones F | 25 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 20 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 18 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 26 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 7-14 | 0-2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 25 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Chris Eagan F | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Dean Hogans G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Luke Brown F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kamran Prince, Carson McDonald, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Gibraltar Coleman, Noah Jones, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly, Adrian Samuels
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Achile Spadone G | 38 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 7-10 | 3-6 |
| Amon Dorries C | 38 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 7-13 | 0-2 |
| Pat Curtin G | 29 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 6-15 | 0-3 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Williams G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 32 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Quin Berger G | 22 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Grgur Brcic F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Matt Lange G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kellen Welch F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Fulton, Ruot Bijiek, Brady Muller, Brandon McCreesh
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAMER -3.5
ModelAMER -1.7
Model edgeBUCK +1.8
L AMER covered
Total
Market140.5
Model142.8
Model edgeOver 2.3
L Under
Projected score
AMER 72.3 · BUCK 70.6
AMER 75 · BUCK 57
Win probability
AMER 56%
1st half
Spread
AMER -1.1
AMER -6.0
Total
66.9
66 points
Projected score
AMER 34 · BUCK 32.9
AMER 36 · BUCK 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -2.5
1 → AMER
CloseAMER -3.5
1 pt toward AMER
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
AMER -175 · BUCK +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -2.5 · closed AMER -3.5 · moved 1 toward AMERmodel AMER -1.5
model AMER -1.5
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| BUCK | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
AMER 5–6 BUCKBUCK leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · BUCK has won the last 2 meetings · AMER 5-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025-26 | BUCK 60 @ AMER 59 | AMER -7.5 | BUCK W |
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | AMER 49 @ BUCK 71 | BUCK -3.5 | BUCK W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | BUCK 58 @ AMER 68 | AMER -3.5 | AMER W |
| Mar 7, 2023-24 | BUCK 80 @ AMER 57 | AMER -5.5 | BUCK W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | BUCK 66 @ AMER 75 | AMER -4.5 | AMER W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
25 games played
Straight up
12-13
48% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-12
52% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs L-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vs HC | L 73-84 | -8.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vs NAVY | W 65-51 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 18 | @ ARMY | W 78-67 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 21 | vsCOLG | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @HC | W 76-67 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 28 | @L-MD | L 68-77 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 31 | vs LAF | L 65-67 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 4 | vsBUCK | L 59-60 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 7 | @NAVY | L 73-82 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ LEH | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 14 | vsARMY | W 75-63 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
−19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
+16.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
+2.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+4.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−13.5
31
vsLAF
LAFL 65-67
−7.5
4
vsBUCK
BUCKL 59-60
−8.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 73-82
−4.5
11
@LEH
LEHL 82-90
−9.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 75-63
+2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
+19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
−23.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
−2.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
−10.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+3.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−2.5
31
vsLAF
LAFL 65-67
−10.5
4
vsBUCK
BUCKL 59-60
−22.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 73-82
+20.5
11
@LEH
LEHL 82-90
+31.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 75-63
−6.5
over 13under 12avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bucknell
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-17
37% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DEL | W 78-70 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | @ MSM | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ PRIN | L 63-73 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 14 | vs HOF | L 77-83 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 17 | @ PITT | L 50-84 | +16.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | @ SJU | L 49-97 | +28.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs BGSU | L 66-71 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 26 | vs BUF | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs COR | L 72-101 | +5.5 | L −23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 3 | @ AKR | L 77-97 | +23.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMBC | L 66-73 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | @ RID | W 51-38 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 89 |
| Dec 20 | @ IOWA | L 39-94 | +25.5 | L −29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @HC | L 58-65 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsLEH | W 72-65 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | @NAVY | L 55-76 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 10 | vsL-MD | W 70-67 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vsLAF | W 76-69 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | @COLG | L 76-95 | +8.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 21 | vsARMY | L 84-87 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 24 | @L-MD | L 62-67 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | @LAF | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | vsBU | W 103-97 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 4 | @AMER | W 60-59 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 7 | vsCOLG | L 59-78 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 9 | vsNAVY | L 60-76 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 14 | @BU | L 69-82 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
+5.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
+12.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−5.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
−1.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−17.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−19.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
+5.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
+2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
−23.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+3.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−8.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
+10.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−29.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−8.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
+2.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−12.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−3.5
14
vsLAF
LAFW 76-69
+4.5
17
@COLG
COLGL 76-95
−10.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYL 84-87
−7.5
24
@L-MD
L-MDL 62-67
−2.5
28
@LAF
LAFL 79-81
+2.5
31
vsBU
BUW 103-97
+7.5
4
@AMER
AMERW 60-59
+8.5
7
vsCOLG
COLGL 59-78
−13.5
9
vsNAVY
NAVYL 60-76
−9.5
14
@BU
BUL 69-82
−7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDEL
DELW 78-70
−1.5
7
@MSM
MSMW 73-62
−8.5
11
@PRIN
PRINL 63-73
−10.5
14
vsHOF
HOFL 77-83
+20.5
17
@PITT
PITTL 50-84
−7.5
20
@SJU
SJUL 49-97
−12.5
24
vsBGSU
BGSUL 66-71
−7.5
26
vsBUF
BUFL 71-73
−2.5
30
vsCOR
CORL 72-101
+13.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 77-97
+16.5
6
vsUMBC
UMBCL 66-73
−4.5
9
@RID
RIDW 51-38
−46.5
20
@IOWA
IOWAL 39-94
−0.5
31
@HC
HCL 58-65
−10.5
3
vsLEH
LEHW 72-65
−0.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 55-76
−6.5
10
vsL-MD
L-MDW 70-67
−6.5
14
vsLAF
LAFW 76-69
+7.5
17
@COLG
COLGL 76-95
+31.5
21
vsARMY
ARMYL 84-87
+26.5
24
@L-MD
L-MDL 62-67
−18.5
28
@LAF
LAFL 79-81
+21.5
31
vsBU
BUW 103-97
+61.5
4
@AMER
AMERW 60-59
−22.5
7
vsCOLG
COLGL 59-78
−4.5
9
vsNAVY
NAVYL 60-76
+0.5
14
@BU
BUL 69-82
+13.5
over 10under 17avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
12-13 overall · 7-7 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Army75–63
- L@ Lehigh82–90
- L@ Navy73–82
- Lvs Bucknell59–60
- Lvs Lafayette65–67
4 days since their last game.
Bucknell
8-19 overall · 5-9 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Boston U69–82
- Lvs Navy60–76
- Lvs Colgate59–78
- W@ American60–59
- Wvs Boston U103–97
4 days since their last game.