JMA Wireless Dome · at Syracuse · Conference game
Closing line
SYR -5.5✓ PITT covered by 7.5
SYR -5.5✓ PITT covered by 7.5Closing total141.5Under by 1.5
 PITT | This season | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| 11-19 | Record | 15-15 |
| 14-16 | ATS | 14-16 |
| 18-12 | O/U | 16-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PITT 70–74 SYR · ✗ SYR (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 28 | 37 | 6 | 71 |
| SYR | 31 | 34 | 4 | 69 |
1st half: PITT 28, SYR 31 (SYR by 3). The model had SYR by 2.3 and a total of 67.8 (actual 59).
Team stats
| PITT | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-59 44% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 16-17 94% |
| 39 11 off | Rebounds | 34 9 off |
| 8 | Assists | 10 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| PITT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Dunning Jr. G | 44 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 5-10 | 2-4 |
| Damarco Minor G | 43 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 1-10 | 0-9 |
| Roman Siulepa F | 37 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Cameron Corhen F | 36 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 8-14 | 1-2 |
| Omari Witherspoon G | 22 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nojus Indrusaitis G | 30 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 7-14 | 1-7 |
| Kieran Mullen C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Macari Moore G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Henry Lau, Dishon Jackson, Amdy Ndiaye, Jajuan Nelson, Benjamin Mayhew, Papa Amadou Kante, Brandin Cummings
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donnie Freeman F | 43 | 18 | 13 | 1 | 5-14 | 0-3 |
| Naithan George G | 40 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 8-17 | 4-10 |
| Nate Kingz G | 35 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| William Kyle III F | 31 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| J.J. Starling G | 27 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 26 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Akir Souare F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tiefing Diawara, Luke Fennell, Calvin Russell III, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell, Kiyan Anthony, Sadiq White Jr.
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSYR -5.5
ModelSYR -4.0
Model edgePITT +1.5
W PITT covered
Total
Market141.5
Model144.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
PITT 70.4 · SYR 74.4
PITT 71 · SYR 69
Win probability
SYR 64%
1st half
Spread
SYR -2.3
SYR -3.0
Total
67.8
59 points
Projected score
PITT 32.7 · SYR 35
PITT 28 · SYR 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSYR -6.5
1 → PITT
CloseSYR -5.5
1 pt toward PITT
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PITT +215 · SYR -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SYR -6.5 · closed SYR -5.5 · moved 1 toward PITTmodel SYR -4
model SYR -4
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PITT | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| SYR | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PITT 5–4 SYRPITT leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · PITT 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | SYR 83 @ PITT 72 | PITT -1.5 | SYR W |
| Feb 18, 2024-25 | SYR 69 @ PITT 80 | PITT -11.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | PITT 77 @ SYR 73 | SYR +8.5 | SYR W |
| Jan 16, 2023-24 | SYR 69 @ PITT 58 | PITT -6.5 | SYR W |
| Dec 30, 2023-24 | PITT 73 @ SYR 81 | SYR -1.5 | SYR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pitt
30 games played
Straight up
11-19
37% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-12
60% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs YSU | W 74-59 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs LONG | W 78-60 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 10 | vs EMU | W 78-66 | -15.5 | L −3.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 13 | @ WVU | L 49-71 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs BUCK | W 84-50 | -16.5 | W +17.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 20 | vs UCF | L 67-77 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUIN | L 75-83 | -12.5 | L −20.5 | 140.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 28 | vs OSU | W 67-66 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 2 | vs TA&M | L 73-81 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 7 | vs HOF | L 73-80 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ VILL | L 61-79 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 17 | vs BING | W 103-63 | -24.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs PSU | W 80-46 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | @ MIA | L 69-76 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 3 | vs CLEM | L 68-73 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsSYR | L 72-83 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @ GT | W 89-66 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs LOU | L 59-100 | +7.5 | L −33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 21 | @ BC | L 62-65 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | vs NCSU | L 72-81 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vs WAKE | W 80-76 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | @CLEM | L 52-63 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 3 | @ UVA | L 47-67 | +12.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs SMU | L 67-86 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs DUKE | L 54-70 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 14 | @ UNC | L 65-79 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 21 | vs ND | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 25 | @ STAN | L 67-75 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 28 | @ CAL | W 72-56 | +6.5 | W +22.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 4 | vs FSU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
+0.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
+3.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
−3.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−16.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
+17.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−11.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
−20.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
+6.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
−4.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
−15.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
−7.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+15.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
+35.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+2.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
−1.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
−12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+21.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
−33.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−5.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
−2.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+2.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−0.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
−14.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
+1.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
−2.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+1.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+0.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
+22.5
4
vsFSU
FSUL 74-75
+0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsYSU
YSUW 74-59
−12.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 78-60
−7.5
10
vsEMU
EMUW 78-66
+2.5
13
@WVU
WVUL 49-71
−14.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 84-50
−7.5
20
vsUCF
UCFL 67-77
−5.5
23
vsQUIN
QUINL 75-83
+17.5
28
vsOSU
OSUW 67-66
−15.5
2
vsTA&M
TA&ML 73-81
+1.5
7
vsHOF
HOFL 73-80
+18.5
13
@VILL
VILLL 61-79
+1.5
17
vsBING
BINGW 103-63
+31.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 80-46
−20.5
30
@MIA
MIAL 69-76
+0.5
3
vsCLEM
CLEML 68-73
+5.5
10
vsSYR
SYRL 72-83
+12.5
14
@GT
GTW 89-66
+9.5
17
vsLOU
LOUL 59-100
+6.5
21
@BC
BCL 62-65
−10.5
24
vsNCSU
NCSUL 72-81
+8.5
27
vsWAKE
WAKEW 80-76
+5.5
31
@CLEM
CLEML 52-63
−20.5
3
@UVA
UVAL 47-67
−28.5
7
vsSMU
SMUL 67-86
+5.5
10
vsDUKE
DUKEL 54-70
−12.5
14
@UNC
UNCL 65-79
+1.5
21
vsND
NDW 73-68
+0.5
25
@STAN
STANL 67-75
+3.5
28
@CAL
CALW 72-56
−15.5
4
vsFSU
FSUL 74-75
+4.5
over 18under 12avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Syracuse
30 games played
Straight up
15-15
50% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsBING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vsHOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vs MERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vs NE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vs STO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vsCLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vsFSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vsMIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 27 | @NCSU | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsND | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 2 | @UNC | L 77-87 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @UVA | L 59-72 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vsCAL | W 107-100 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | vsSMU | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 16 | @DUKE | L 64-101 | +20.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNC | L 64-77 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @WAKE | L 83-88 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 3 | @LOU | L 62-77 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
−9.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+7.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+1.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
+0.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+0.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
+2.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
−16.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−15.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
−1.5
3
@LOU
LOUL 62-77
−0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
+4.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+10.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+5.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
−16.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+58.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
−0.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
+20.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−13.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
+18.5
3
@LOU
LOUL 62-77
−20.5
over 16under 14avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pitt
11-19 overall · 4-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida St74–75
- W@ California72–56
- L@ Stanford67–75
- Wvs Notre Dame73–68
- L@ North Carolina65–79
3 days since their last game.
Syracuse
15-15 overall · 6-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Louisville62–77
- L@ Wake Forest83–88
- Lvs North Carolina64–77
- L@ Duke64–101
- Wvs SMU79–78
4 days since their last game.