Maples Pavilion · at Stanford · Conference game
Closing line
SMU -1.5✓ STAN covered by 21.5
SMU -1.5✓ STAN covered by 21.5Closing total155.5Over by 14.5
| SMU | This season | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| 19-9 | Record | 17-11 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 14-14 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 11-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 81–76 STAN · ✗ SMU (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 27 | 48 | 75 |
| STAN | 34 | 61 | 95 |
1st half: SMU 27, STAN 34 (STAN by 7). The model had SMU by 2.6 and a total of 73.3 (actual 61).
Team stats
| SMU | STAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 26-51 51% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 14-27 52% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 29-32 91% |
| 28 11 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 2 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 26 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boopie Miller G | 36 | 26 | 3 | 5 | 7-16 | 2-6 |
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 35 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 8-17 | 5-7 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 28 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Corey Washington F | 28 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Toombs F | 19 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Chance Puryear G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Sam Walters F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Trey Utter, B.J. Edwards, Nigel Walls
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 37 | 22 | 1 | 6 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Benny Gealer G | 37 | 30 | 4 | 1 | 8-12 | 7-11 |
| Aidan Cammann F | 34 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Agarwal G | 19 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Donavin Young F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Cameron Grant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Kitch G | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Evan Stinson, Myles Jones, Kristers Skrinda, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure, Chisom Okpara
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSMU -1.5
ModelSMU -4.2
Model edgeSMU +2.7
L STAN covered
Total
Market155.5
Model156.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
W Over
Projected score
SMU 80.5 · STAN 76.4
SMU 75 · STAN 95
Win probability
SMU 64%
1st half
Spread
SMU -2.6
STAN -7.0
Total
73.3
61 points
Projected score
SMU 38 · STAN 35.4
SMU 27 · STAN 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -1.5
no move
CloseSMU -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SMU -115 · STAN -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -1.5 · unchangedmodel SMU -4
model SMU -4
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| STAN | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 1–1 STANSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · SMU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | SMU 68 @ STAN 73 | STAN -1.5 | STAN W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | STAN 61 @ SMU 85 | SMU -7.5 | SMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TAR | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs AMCC | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs MUR | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs BTLR | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UAPB | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs ARST | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs RAD | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ MSST | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ VAN | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs TA&M | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 13 | vs LSU | L 77-89 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 21 | vs CARK | W 99-82 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 156.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 28 | vs CSUF | W 110-63 | -21.5 | W +25.5 | 170.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 3 | vs UNC | W 97-83 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 7 | @ CLEM | L 70-74 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ DUKE | L 75-82 | +15.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs VT | W 77-76 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 17 | vs UVA | L 68-72 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 20 | @ WAKE | W 91-79 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | vs FSU | W 83-80 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ LOU | L 74-88 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 3 | vs NCSU | L 83-84 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 7 | @ PITT | W 86-67 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 10 | vs ND | W 89-81 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 14 | @ SYR | L 78-79 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 17 | vsLOU | W 95-85 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vs BC | W 94-70 | -15.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 25 | @ CAL | L 69-73 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
−1.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−12.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+0.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
−5.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
+10.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
+16.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−6.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+7.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+14.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
−10.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
−7.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+25.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+12.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−0.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+8.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−7.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−1.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+13.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−8.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−4.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+0.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+14.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
−2.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−2.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+14.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+8.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−8.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTAR
TARW 96-76
+27.5
6
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-58
−33.5
11
vsMUR
MURW 102-91
+28.5
15
vsBTLR
BTLRW 87-85
+8.5
18
vsUAPB
UAPBW 106-60
−2.5
21
vsARST
ARSTW 100-69
−3.5
24
vsRAD
RADW 89-72
−4.5
28
@MSST
MSSTW 87-81
+5.5
3
@VAN
VANL 69-88
−8.5
7
vsTA&M
TA&MW 93-80
+8.5
13
vsLSU
LSUL 77-89
+7.5
21
vsCARK
CARKW 99-82
+24.5
28
vsCSUF
CSUFW 110-63
+2.5
3
vsUNC
UNCW 97-83
+24.5
7
@CLEM
CLEML 70-74
−5.5
10
@DUKE
DUKEL 75-82
+1.5
14
vsVT
VTW 77-76
−2.5
17
vsUVA
UVAL 68-72
−13.5
20
@WAKE
WAKEW 91-79
+12.5
24
vsFSU
FSUW 83-80
−0.5
31
@LOU
LOUL 74-88
−1.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUL 83-84
+7.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 86-67
+5.5
10
vsND
NDW 89-81
+15.5
14
@SYR
SYRL 78-79
−0.5
17
vsLOU
LOUW 95-85
+11.5
21
vsBC
BCW 94-70
+13.5
25
@CAL
CALL 69-73
−21.5
over 16under 12avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stanford
28 games played
Straight up
17-11
61% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-17
39% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vsND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vsLOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vsUNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vsDUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vsCAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vsCLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vs GT | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | @BC | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | @WAKE | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 21 | @CAL | L 66-72 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 25 | vsPITT | W 75-67 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+13.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
+2.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−0.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−4.5
25
vsPITT
PITTW 75-67
−0.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+15.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
−5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 63-68
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 66-72
−11.5
25
vsPITT
PITTW 75-67
+3.5
over 11under 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
19-9 overall · 8-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ California69–73
- Wvs Boston College94–70
- Wvs Louisville95–85
- L@ Syracuse78–79
- Wvs Notre Dame89–81
3 days since their last game.
Stanford
17-11 overall · 6-9 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Pitt75–67
- L@ California66–72
- L@ Wake Forest63–68
- W@ Boston College70–64
- Wvs Georgia Tech95–72
3 days since their last game.