LJVM Coliseum · at Wake Forest · Conference game
Closing line
WAKE -4.5✓ WAKE covered by 0.5
WAKE -4.5✓ WAKE covered by 0.5Closing total150.5Under by 19.5
 STAN | This season | WAKE |
|---|---|---|
| 16-9 | Record | 12-12 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 9-15 |
| 10-15 | O/U | 15-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STAN 74–79 WAKE · ✓ WAKE (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 39 | 24 | 63 |
| WAKE | 30 | 38 | 68 |
1st half: STAN 39, WAKE 30 (STAN by 9). The model had WAKE by 2.6 and a total of 71.4 (actual 69).
Team stats
| STAN | WAKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-52 42% | Field goals | 18-43 42% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 9-14 64% | Free throws | 28-32 88% |
| 27 7 off | Rebounds | 28 5 off |
| 8 | Assists | 7 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 38 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 10-21 | 3-6 |
| Benny Gealer G | 35 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-9 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 22 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 14 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Donavin Young F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Cammann F | 33 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Jaylen Thompson F | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Evan Stinson, Kristers Skrinda, Myles Jones, Ethan Kitch, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure, Chisom Okpara, Cameron Grant
| WAKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juke Harris G | 40 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 6-15 | 1-6 |
| Tre'Von Spillers F | 25 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Cooper Schwieger F | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Myles Colvin G | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Akins G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaac Carr G | 31 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Mekhi Mason G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-6 |
| Omaha Biliew F | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Marqus Marion F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dimitrije Kovacevic, Anson Beard Jr., Owen Kmety, Jaylen Cross, Nate Calmese, Will Underwood, Vincent Ricchiuti
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWAKE -4.5
ModelWAKE -4.7
Model edgeWAKE +0.2
W WAKE covered
Total
Market150.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
L Under
Projected score
STAN 74 · WAKE 78.7
STAN 63 · WAKE 68
Win probability
WAKE 66%
1st half
Spread
WAKE -2.6
STAN -9.0
Total
71.4
69 points
Projected score
STAN 34.4 · WAKE 37
STAN 39 · WAKE 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWAKE -4.5
no move
CloseWAKE -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
STAN +154 · WAKE -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WAKE -4.5 · unchangedmodel WAKE -4.5 matches the line
model WAKE -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| WAKE | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STAN 0–2 WAKEWAKE leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · WAKE has won the last 2 meetings · STAN 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024-25 | WAKE 79 @ STAN 73 | STAN -1.5 | WAKE W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | STAN 67 @ WAKE 80 | WAKE -5.5 | WAKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stanford
25 games played
Straight up
16-9
64% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-15
40% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vs ND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vs LOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @ UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vs UNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vs DUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs CAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vs CLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vs GT | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | @ BC | W 70-64 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+13.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
+2.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+15.5
11
@BC
BCW 70-64
−5.5
over 10under 15avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wake Forest
24 games played
Straight up
12-12
50% wins
Against the spread
9-15
38% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-9
63% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AMER | W 88-74 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MORE | W 81-65 | -22.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 11 | vs MICH | L 84-85 | +15.5 | W +14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 16 | vs UML | W 109-75 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 20 | vs TTU | L 83-84 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs MEM | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAM | W 99-51 | -17.5 | W +30.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 28 | vs NE | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs OU | L 68-86 | -4.5 | L −22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs WVU | W 75-66 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 14 | vs QUC | W 111-73 | -18.5 | W +19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | vs LONG | W 71-68 | -24.5 | L −21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs VAN | L 67-98 | +5.5 | L −25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ NCSU | L 57-70 | +10.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vsVT | W 81-78 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 7 | vsMIA | L 77-81 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | @UNC | L 84-87 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 17 | @FSU | W 69-68 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vs SMU | L 79-91 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 24 | @DUKE | L 69-90 | +19.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 27 | @ PITT | L 76-80 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vsNCSU | L 78-96 | +5.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 7 | vsLOU | L 80-88 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 11 | @GT | W 83-67 | -3.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
−5.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+14.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+3.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+8.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−1.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
+30.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
−4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−22.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
+11.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+19.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−21.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
−25.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−2.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
−2.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
−5.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+7.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−0.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
−13.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
−1.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
−2.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
−12.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+1.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
+12.5
covered 9didn’t cover 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAMER
AMERW 88-74
+22.5
7
vsMORE
MOREW 81-65
−6.5
11
vsMICH
MICHL 84-85
+0.5
16
vsUML
UMLW 109-75
+18.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 69-68
−23.5
25
vsCAM
CAMW 99-51
−9.5
28
vsNE
NEW 86-73
+4.5
2
vsOU
OUL 68-86
−5.5
6
vsWVU
WVUW 75-66
−2.5
14
vsQUC
QUCW 111-73
+18.5
17
vsLONG
LONGW 71-68
−24.5
21
vsVAN
VANL 67-98
+0.5
31
@NCSU
NCSUL 57-70
−32.5
3
vsVT
VTW 81-78
+5.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 77-81
+0.5
10
@UNC
UNCL 84-87
+16.5
17
@FSU
FSUW 69-68
−31.5
20
vsSMU
SMUL 79-91
+12.5
24
@DUKE
DUKEL 69-90
+5.5
27
@PITT
PITTL 76-80
+5.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUL 78-96
+17.5
7
vsLOU
LOUL 80-88
+5.5
11
@GT
GTW 83-67
−8.5
over 15under 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stanford
16-9 overall · 5-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Boston College70–64
- Wvs Georgia Tech95–72
- Lvs Clemson64–66
- L@ Florida St80–88
- L@ Miami70–79
3 days since their last game.
Wake Forest
12-12 overall · 3-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia Tech83–67
- Lvs Louisville80–88
- Lvs NC State78–96
- L@ Pitt76–80
- L@ Duke69–90
3 days since their last game.