McCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech · Conference game
Closing line
UNC -9.5✓ UNC covered by 6.5
UNC -9.5✓ UNC covered by 6.5Closing total160.5Over by 5.5
| UNC | This season | GT |
|---|---|---|
| 16-4 | Record | 11-10 |
| 11-9 | ATS | 10-11 |
| 10-10 | O/U | 12-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNC 82–71 GT · ✓ UNC (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | 52 | 39 | 91 |
| GT | 37 | 38 | 75 |
1st half: UNC 52, GT 37 (UNC by 15). The model had UNC by 6.4 and a total of 71.7 (actual 89).
Team stats
| UNC | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-79 46% | Field goals | 27-60 45% |
| 8-31 26% | 3-pointers | 7-13 54% |
| 11-12 92% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 39 14 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 21 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 1 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Trimble G | 30 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 8-14 | 1-2 |
| Henri Veesaar C | 30 | 20 | 12 | 1 | 8-15 | 1-4 |
| Caleb Wilson F | 30 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 9-15 | 1-3 |
| Derek Dixon G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Jaydon Young G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Bogavac G | 26 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 6-10 | 3-7 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 22 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Kyan Evans G | 16 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Zayden High F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Elijah Davis, James Brown, Isaiah Denis, John Holbrook, Ivan Matlekovic, Evan Smith
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baye Ndongo F | 38 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 9-12 | 1-1 |
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 30 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-2 |
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 28 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Lamar Washington G | 25 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2-11 | 0-0 |
| Akai Fleming G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kam Craft G | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Chas Kelley III G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Cole Kirouac C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brandon Stores Jr., Dyllan Thompson, Eric Chatfield Jr., Mouhamed Sylla, Davi Remagen, Peyton Marshall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNC -9.5
ModelUNC -10.5
Model edgeUNC +1.0
W UNC covered
Total
Market160.5
Model153.1
Model edgeUnder 7.4
L Over
Projected score
UNC 81.8 · GT 71.3
UNC 91 · GT 75
Win probability
UNC 82%
1st half
Spread
UNC -6.4
UNC -15.0
Total
71.7
89 points
Projected score
UNC 39 · GT 32.6
UNC 52 · GT 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -9.5
no move
CloseUNC -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
▲ 5
Close160.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
UNC -550 · GT +410
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -9.5 · unchangedmodel UNC -10.5
model UNC -10.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 5 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| GT | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNC 4–1 GTUNC leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · UNC 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | GT 65 @ UNC 68 | UNC -18.5 | GT W |
| Jan 30, 2023-24 | UNC 73 @ GT 74 | GT +8.5 | GT W |
| Dec 10, 2022-23 | GT 59 @ UNC 75 | UNC -13.5 | UNC W |
| Jan 15, 2021-22 | GT 65 @ UNC 88 | UNC -12 | UNC W |
| Dec 5, 2021-22 | UNC 79 @ GT 62 | GT +3.5 | UNC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Carolina
20 games played
Straight up
16-4
80% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CARK | W 94-54 | -31.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 7 | vs KU | W 87-74 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs RAD | W 89-74 | -20.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 14 | vs NCCU | W 97-53 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs NAVY | W 73-61 | -26.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 25 | vs SBU | W 85-70 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 27 | vs MSU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | @ UK | W 67-64 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 7 | vs GTWN | W 81-61 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs UPST | W 80-62 | -29.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | vs ETSU | W 77-58 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs OSU | W 71-70 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | vs ECU | W 99-51 | -25.5 | W +22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 30 | vs FSU | W 79-66 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ SMU | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 10 | vs WAKE | W 87-84 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ STAN | L 90-95 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | @ CAL | L 78-84 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 21 | vs ND | W 91-69 | -13.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @ UVA | W 85-80 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
+8.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+10.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
−5.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
+9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−14.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+4.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−14.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
+10.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
+9.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−11.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
+1.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−1.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+22.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
+0.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
−12.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
−7.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
−9.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
−13.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+8.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+11.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCARK
CARKW 94-54
−9.5
7
vsKU
KUW 87-74
+1.5
11
vsRAD
RADW 89-74
+0.5
14
vsNCCU
NCCUW 97-53
−9.5
18
vsNAVY
NAVYW 73-61
−26.5
25
vsSBU
SBUW 85-70
+2.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 58-74
−20.5
2
@UK
UKW 67-64
−32.5
7
vsGTWN
GTWNW 81-61
−7.5
13
vsUPST
UPSTW 80-62
−9.5
16
vsETSU
ETSUW 77-58
−15.5
20
vsOSU
OSUW 71-70
−16.5
22
vsECU
ECUW 99-51
+5.5
30
vsFSU
FSUW 79-66
−21.5
3
@SMU
SMUL 83-97
+24.5
10
vsWAKE
WAKEW 87-84
+16.5
14
@STAN
STANL 90-95
+37.5
17
@CAL
CALL 78-84
+10.5
21
vsND
NDW 91-69
+10.5
24
@UVA
UVAW 85-80
+12.5
over 10under 10avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia Tech
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
10-11
48% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-9
57% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs BRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs GASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs MRST | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs LAF | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs FAMU | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ DUKE | L 79-85 | +27.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs BC | W 65-53 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs SYR | L 72-82 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ MIA | L 81-91 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | vs PITT | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCSU | W 78-74 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 24 | vs CLEM | L 63-77 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 27 | @ VT | L 65-71 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+4.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
−2.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+4.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+21.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
+5.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
−7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+5.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
−21.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
+21.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−5.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
+3.5
covered 10didn’t cover 11avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+21.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
+28.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+7.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
−27.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
+7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
+9.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
−2.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−2.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
−19.5
over 12under 9avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Carolina
16-4 overall · 4-3 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Virginia85–80
- Wvs Notre Dame91–69
- L@ California78–84
- L@ Stanford90–95
- Wvs Wake Forest87–84
A week or more of rest.
Georgia Tech
11-10 overall · 2-6 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Virginia Tech65–71
- Lvs Clemson63–77
- W@ NC State78–74
- Lvs Pitt66–89
- L@ Miami81–91
4 days since their last game.