Trojan Arena · at Troy · Conference game
Closing line
TROY -11.5✓ TROY covered by 7.5
TROY -11.5✓ TROY covered by 7.5Closing total134.5Over by 2.5
 UL | This season | TROY |
|---|---|---|
| 10-19 | Record | 16-11 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 15-12 |
| 12-17 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UL 63–75 TROY · ✓ TROY (85%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 23 | 36 | 59 |
| TROY | 27 | 51 | 78 |
1st half: UL 23, TROY 27 (TROY by 4). The model had TROY by 7.0 and a total of 64.3 (actual 50).
Team stats
| UL | TROY | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-54 43% | Field goals | 25-50 50% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 6-8 75% | Free throws | 21-24 88% |
| 23 11 off | Rebounds | 34 14 off |
| 9 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 10 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Mejia G | 27 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Jaxon Olvera G | 26 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 8-13 | 3-4 |
| Dariyus Woodson F | 26 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| De'vion Lavergne G | 25 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 1-4 |
| Todd Jones Jr. F | 14 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karris Bilal G | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Mike Collins G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Kyran Ratliff F | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jeremiah Evans F | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Michael Mouton G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Christian Landry G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sean Elkinton, Joshua Lewis, Zeke Cook, Logan Myers, Rahman Olajuwon, Dorian Finister, Jamyron Keller
| TROY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dowd F | 38 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| Cooper Campbell G | 35 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Jerrell Bellamy C | 32 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 11-13 | 1-1 |
| Victor Valdes F | 28 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Cobi Campbell G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Cross G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kerrington Kiel F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Evan Griffin F | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Javen Colbert G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Clarton G | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Hikaru Awata G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kameryn Mitchell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corbin Green, Theo Seng, Javier Gilgeous-Glasgow
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTROY -11.5
no move
CloseTROY -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open132.5
▲ 2
Close134.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UL +550 · TROY -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TROY -11.5 · unchangedmodel TROY -12
model TROY -12
Opened 132.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 2 upmodel 137.5
model 137.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TROY -11.5 | TROY -12.0 | TROY +0.5 | W TROY covered |
| Total | 134.5 | 137.3 | Over 2.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | UL 62.7 · TROY 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TROY -7.0 | TROY -4.0 |
| 1H total | 64.3 | 50 |
| 1H projected score | UL 28.7 · TROY 35.7 | UL 23 · TROY 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UL | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| TROY | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UL 4–5 TROYTROY leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UL 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | TROY 90 @ UL 70 | UL +9.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | UL 72 @ TROY 69 | TROY -15.5 | UL W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | TROY 74 @ UL 56 | UL +9.5 | TROY W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | TROY 87 @ UL 73 | UL -2.5 | TROY W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | UL 73 @ TROY 79 | TROY -1.5 | TROY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Louisiana
29 games played
Straight up
10-19
34% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-17
41% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BALL | L 64-75 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 7 | vs SELA | W 58-52 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 11 | vs TULN | L 62-66 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | @ MCN | L 62-88 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ STAN | L 66-93 | +20.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | @ SCU | L 43-80 | +19.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 24 | @ UCD | L 56-77 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs JKST | L 45-51 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 3 | @ LAM | L 55-65 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 129.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCW | L 63-70 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ LT | L 44-65 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 126.5 | U 109 |
| Dec 18 | @ USM | L 54-62 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ ULM | W 76-62 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 136.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 28 | vs NORF | W 63-54 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 126.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 31 | vs USA | L 58-63 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSM | L 67-74 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vsULM | W 85-79 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vsTROY | L 70-90 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ TXST | L 54-59 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | @USA | W 59-56 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @ APP | L 58-72 | +9.5 | L −4.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 29 | vs GAST | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 31 | vs GASO | W 69-60 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 4 | @ JMU | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 132.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs CMU | W 85-80 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 134.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 12 | vs CCU | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
| Feb 16 | @ ODU | L 72-83 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 19 | vs ARST | L 62-79 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 21 | vsTXST | W 67-54 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 134.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−6.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
+2.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
+1.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
−10.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
−6.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−11.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−11.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
+0.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+5.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−11.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
+3.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+12.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
+5.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−1.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
−3.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
−1.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 70-90
−10.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 54-59
+3.5
17
@USA
USAW 59-56
+12.5
22
@APP
APPL 58-72
−4.5
29
vsGAST
GASTW 82-72
+11.5
31
vsGASO
GASOW 69-60
+11.5
4
@JMU
JMUW 64-61
+12.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 85-80
+2.5
12
vsCCU
CCUL 65-69
−2.5
16
@ODU
ODUL 72-83
−4.5
19
vsARST
ARSTL 62-79
−8.5
21
vsTXST
TXSTW 67-54
+16.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BALL
BALLL 64-75
−2.5
7
vsSELA
SELAW 58-52
−25.5
11
vsTULN
TULNL 62-66
−7.5
14
@MCN
MCNL 62-88
+15.5
18
@STAN
STANL 66-93
+19.5
21
@SCU
SCUL 43-80
−17.5
24
@UCD
UCDL 56-77
−3.5
28
vsJKST
JKSTL 45-51
−40.5
3
@LAM
LAML 55-65
−9.5
6
vsUNCW
UNCWL 63-70
+2.5
13
@LT
LTL 44-65
−17.5
18
@USM
USML 54-62
−16.5
20
@ULM
ULMW 76-62
+1.5
28
vsNORF
NORFW 63-54
−9.5
31
vsUSA
USAL 58-63
−6.5
3
vsUSM
USML 67-74
+11.5
8
vsULM
ULMW 85-79
+24.5
10
vsTROY
TROYL 70-90
+23.5
14
@TXST
TXSTL 54-59
−20.5
17
@USA
USAW 59-56
−14.5
22
@APP
APPL 58-72
+5.5
29
vsGAST
GASTW 82-72
+24.5
31
vsGASO
GASOW 69-60
−15.5
4
@JMU
JMUW 64-61
−7.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 85-80
+30.5
12
vsCCU
CCUL 65-69
+1.5
16
@ODU
ODUL 72-83
+19.5
19
vsARST
ARSTL 62-79
−3.5
21
vsTXST
TXSTW 67-54
−13.5
over 12under 17avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Troy
27 games played
Straight up
16-11
59% wins
Against the spread
15-12
56% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ KENT | W 103-97 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | O 200 |
| Nov 7 | @ FUR | W 64-61 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ LMU | L 63-74 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ CSUN | L 85-94 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | @ SDSU | W 108-107 | +14.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 20 | @ USC | L 106-107 | +18.5 | W +17.5 | 159.5 | O 213 |
| Nov 24 | vs TOL | L 68-75 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs SFPA | W 74-64 | -21.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | vs WGA | L 89-93 | -17.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 14 | @ UAB | W 86-85 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 20 | vs MRSH | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vsTXST | W 100-80 | -8.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vsUSA | W 59-49 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 7 | @ARST | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 10 | @UL | W 90-70 | -9.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | vsUSM | W 91-65 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | vsARST | W 99-74 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 21 | @ODU | W 83-77 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 24 | @GASO | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 29 | vsJMU | L 64-73 | -9.5 | L −18.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 31 | vsAPP | L 44-66 | -7.5 | L −29.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 4 | @GAST | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 7 | vs AKR | W 79-69 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | @TXST | L 62-74 | -5.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | @USM | L 65-69 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 18 | @ULM | W 77-76 | -17.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | @USA | L 54-65 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+9.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
+5.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−6.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
−13.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+15.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+17.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−9.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−11.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
−21.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+7.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
+2.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+11.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
+0.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−7.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+10.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+17.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+21.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+0.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+0.5
29
vsJMU
JMUL 64-73
−18.5
31
vsAPP
APPL 44-66
−29.5
4
@GAST
GASTW 74-63
+4.5
7
vsAKR
AKRW 79-69
+12.5
11
@TXST
TXSTL 62-74
−17.5
14
@USM
USML 65-69
−9.5
18
@ULM
ULMW 77-76
−16.5
21
@USA
USAL 54-65
−13.5
covered 15didn’t cover 12avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@KENT
KENTW 103-97
+57.5
7
@FUR
FURW 64-61
−27.5
14
@LMU
LMUL 63-74
−3.5
16
@CSUN
CSUNL 85-94
+21.5
18
@SDSU
SDSUW 108-107
+77.5
20
@USC
USCL 106-107
+53.5
24
vsTOL
TOLL 68-75
−16.5
26
vsSFPA
SFPAW 74-64
−13.5
1
vsWGA
WGAL 89-93
+31.5
14
@UAB
UABW 86-85
+15.5
20
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-63
−22.5
31
vsTXST
TXSTW 100-80
+34.5
3
vsUSA
USAW 59-49
−40.5
7
@ARST
ARSTL 74-86
−0.5
10
@UL
ULW 90-70
+23.5
14
vsUSM
USMW 91-65
+10.5
17
vsARST
ARSTW 99-74
+7.5
21
@ODU
ODUW 83-77
+7.5
24
@GASO
GASOW 83-78
+1.5
29
vsJMU
JMUL 64-73
−10.5
31
vsAPP
APPL 44-66
−27.5
4
@GAST
GASTW 74-63
−7.5
7
vsAKR
AKRW 79-69
−9.5
11
@TXST
TXSTL 62-74
−4.5
14
@USM
USML 65-69
−10.5
18
@ULM
ULMW 77-76
−0.5
21
@USA
USAL 54-65
−23.5
over 12under 15avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Louisiana
10-19 overall · 7-9 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas St67–54
- Lvs Arkansas St62–79
- L@ Old Dominion72–83
- Lvs Coastal65–69
- Wvs C Michigan85–80
3 days since their last game.
Troy
16-11 overall · 10-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Alabama54–65
- W@ UL Monroe77–76
- L@ Southern Miss65–69
- L@ Texas St62–74
- Wvs Akron79–69
3 days since their last game.