Mizzou Arena · at Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
MIZ -4.5✓ OU covered by 3.5
MIZ -4.5✓ OU covered by 3.5Closing total151.5Over by 23.5
 OU | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | Record | 13-6 |
| 6-13 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 8-11 | O/U | 7-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OU 76–80 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (63%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 37 | 44 | 6 | 87 |
| MIZ | 36 | 45 | 7 | 88 |
1st half: OU 37, MIZ 36 (OU by 1). The model had MIZ by 2.2 and a total of 72.7 (actual 73).
Team stats
| OU | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-54 48% | Field goals | 29-65 45% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 23-30 77% | Free throws | 24-33 73% |
| 29 5 off | Rebounds | 41 17 off |
| 12 | Assists | 9 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 24 | Fouls | 21 |
| 12 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrion Reid F | 44 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Xzayvier Brown G | 38 | 19 | 1 | 6 | 5-11 | 2-6 |
| Nijel Pack G | 36 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 8-13 | 5-8 |
| Tae Davis F | 31 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 26 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Jadon Jones G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Dayton Forsythe G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Kuol Atak, Reid Lovelace, Andreas Holst, Alec Blair, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe, Kai Rogers
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 41 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 7-14 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Stone G | 41 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 7-16 | 2-8 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 39 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 27 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Crews G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Pierce G | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Trent Burns C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Annor Boateng G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Northweather F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jevon Porter, Aaron Rowe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIZ -4.5
ModelMIZ -3.9
Model edgeOU +0.6
W OU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model155.4
Model edgeOver 3.9
W Over
Projected score
OU 75.7 · MIZ 79.6
OU 87 · MIZ 88
Win probability
MIZ 63%
1st half
Spread
MIZ -2.2
OU -1.0
Total
72.7
73 points
Projected score
OU 35.3 · MIZ 37.5
OU 37 · MIZ 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -4.5
no move
CloseMIZ -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open152.5
▼ 1
Close151.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
OU +170 · MIZ -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -4.5 · unchangedmodel MIZ -4
model MIZ -4
Opened 152.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| MIZ | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OU 1–1 MIZSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · OU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | MIZ 84 @ OU 96 | OU +4.5 | OU W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | OU 58 @ MIZ 82 | MIZ -9.5 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma
19 games played
Straight up
11-8
58% wins
Against the spread
6-13
32% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs MISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vs FLA | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs ALA | L 81-83 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 20 | @ SC | L 76-85 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
−9.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
+3.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
−11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 13avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
+17.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
−13.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
+10.5
over 8under 11avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-12
37% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vsFLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs AUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @ LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs UGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
over 7under 12avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma
11-8 overall · 1-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ South Carolina76–85
- Lvs Alabama81–83
- Lvs Florida79–96
- L@ Texas A&M76–83
- L@ Mississippi St53–72
4 days since their last game.
Missouri
13-6 overall · 3-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Georgia72–74
- L@ LSU70–78
- Wvs Auburn84–74
- L@ Ole Miss69–76
- W@ Kentucky73–68
4 days since their last game.