When do games go over, and when is the cover settled?
Pick a season and week, then choose when the game went over to see those games. NFL games from the past four seasons with quarter scores and a closing line.
When did they go over?
21 games · 2024 · Philadelphia Eagles · pick one to list those games
48% went over. Of the 10 overs, 0% had cashed by halftime and 40% by the end of the 3rd quarter. Covers were settled only in the 4th quarter or overtime in 14% of games.
All 21 games
2024 · Philadelphia Eagles · newest first
| Game | Line | Total | Points by quarter | Over | Cover settled | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 · Postseason |
KC -1.5 | 48.5 | 7244062 | Q4 | PHI Q1 Late over |
22–40 |
2024 · Postseason |
PHI -6.5 | 47.5 | 17425778 | Q3 | PHI Q1 | 23–55 |
2024 · Postseason |
PHI -7.5 | 43.5 | 20233150 | Q4 | LAR Q1 Late over |
22–28 |
2024 · Postseason |
PHI -5.5 | 45.5 | 10101932 | U | PHI Q1 | 10–22 |
2024 · Week 18 |
PHI -2.5 | 35.5 | 7101333 | U | PHI Q1 | 13–20 |
2024 · Week 17 |
PHI -7.5 | 37.5 | 14314148 | Q3 | PHI Q2 | 7–41 |
2024 · Week 16 |
PHI -4.5 | 47.5 | 28354169 | Q4 | WSH Q4 | 33–36 |
2024 · Week 15 |
PHI -5.5 | 43.5 | 13303340 | U | PHI Q3 | 13–27 |
2024 · Week 14 |
PHI -13.5 | 44.5 | 3243038 | U | CAR Q1 | 16–22 |
2024 · Week 13 |
BAL -3.5 | 51.5 | 9262643 | U | PHI Q2 | 24–19 |
2024 · Week 12 |
PHI -2.5 | 47.5 | 10204157 | Q4 | PHI Q2 Late over |
37–20 |
2024 · Week 11 |
PHI -4.5 | 49.5 | 7101644 | U | PHI Q4 Late cover flip |
18–26 |
2024 · Week 10 |
PHI -7.5 | 44.5 | 10203440 | U | PHI Q2 | 34–6 |
2024 · Week 9 |
PHI -7.5 | 46.5 | 7163851 | Q4 | JAX Q3 Late cover flip Late over |
23–28 |
2024 · Week 8 |
CIN -2.5 | 47.5 | 7204154 | Q4 | PHI Q2 Late over |
37–17 |
2024 · Week 7 |
PHI -3.5 | 42.5 | 0172431 | U | PHI Q2 | 28–3 |
2024 · Week 6 |
PHI -8.5 | 42.5 | 0202336 | U | CLE Q1 | 16–20 |
2024 · Week 4 |
PHI -0.5 | 43.5 | 14314649 | Q3 | TB Q1 | 16–33 |
2024 · Week 3 |
NO -2.5 | 48.5 | 33327 | U | PHI Q4 | 15–12 |
2024 · Week 2 |
PHI -5.5 | 46.5 | 0132543 | U | ATL Q1 Lead lost |
22–21 |
2024 · Week 1 |
PHI -1.5 | 49.5 | 6365763 | Q3 | PHI Q3 | 29–34 |
KC
PHI
WSH
LAR
GB
NYG
DAL
PIT
CAR
BAL
JAX
CIN
CLE
TB
NO
ATLWhen was the cover settled?
From the end of that quarter on, the side covering never changed
Q1 43% 9
Q2 29% 6
Q3 14% 3
Q4 14% 3
OT 0% 0
The team leading at halftime won 74% and covered 58% of 19 games
The team leading after 3 quarters won 81% and covered 71% of 21 games
Going into the 4th quarter
Points the game still needed after 3 quarters, and how often it got there
| Points needed | Games | Went over |
|---|---|---|
| Already over | 4 | 100% 4 |
| 4–7 | 3 | 100% 3 |
| 8–10 | 2 | 100% 2 |
| 11–14 | 3 | 33% 1 |
| 15–17 | 1 | 0% 0 |
| 18–21 | 2 | 0% 0 |
| 22+ | 6 | 0% 0 |
Quarter scores from ESPN for the past four seasons; closing lines from the ESPN odds feed. Timing is to the quarter: an over that cashed with 10 seconds left in the 3rd counts as Q3. “Settled” means the team covering at the end of that quarter covered the closing spread at the end, with no change in between. Last 5 minutes (4th quarter, plus overtime) compares the score with 5:00 left, from ESPN scoring plays, with the final. History, not a prediction: none of this has shown an edge against the market.