Hope Coliseum · at West Virginia
Line
WVU -28.5no move
Total140.5up 1 from 139.5
| This season | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects WVU 83–53 · win probability WVU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
WVU -28.5
no move since the open
Total
140.5
model 136.0 · Under by 4.5
Model edge
WVU by 2
model vs market
Public on the spread
96% NIA
94% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: WVU has more of the edges
NIA 0, WVU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
NIA offense vs WVU defense
Offense 355th of 366 against a defense 19th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
NIA has played the 334th-hardest schedule, WVU the 62nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
WVU offense vs NIA defense
Offense 77th of 366 against a defense 278th, on the model’s ratings
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: NIA 24.8%, WVU 30.5%. Defensive: NIA 67.1%, WVU 71.4%
Free throws
Free throw rate: NIA 26.6, WVU 35.1. Allowed: NIA 33.8, WVU 29.3
Shooting
Effective FG%: NIA 50.5 and allows 52.8; WVU 51.6 and allows 48.5
Turnovers
Turnover rate: NIA 18.9%, WVU 16.8%. Forced: NIA 16.6%, WVU 17.8%
Home court
WVU at home. This season: WVU 0-0 at home, NIA 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: NIA 15%, WVU 23%. Transfers in: NIA 5, WVU 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Three-pointers
NIA hits 33.7% and allows 35.3%; WVU hits 33.0% and allows 34.3%. Threes are 40.5% and 43.0% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 64 possessions: NIA plays 63.4 a game (364th fastest), WVU 65.3 (336th). Faster games mean more points
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 20 or more | 1165 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1090 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Games with a total of 140 to 144.5 | 3570 | 72% | 50% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenWVU -28.5
no move
NowWVU -28.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 1
Now140.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
NIA +5000 · WVU -50000
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened WVU -28.5 · now WVU -28.5 · moved 0.5 toward NIAmodel WVU -30.5
model WVU -30.5
Opened 139.5 · now 141 · moved 1.5 upmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Over 140.5TotalUnder 140.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
8 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | WVU | Over | Under | NIA | WVU | |
| BetMGMMGM | -28.5-115 | +28.5-105 | 140.5-115 | 140.5-105 | +3300 | -10000 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -27.5-105 | +27.5-115 | 141-115 | 141-105 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -28.5-108 | +28.5-118 | 141.5-114 | 141.5-109 | — | — |
| BetUSBetUS | -27.5-105 | +27.5-115 | 141-115 | 141-105 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -28-105 | +28-115 | 140-120 | 140+100 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -28.5-112 | +28.5-108 | 140.5-115 | 140.5-105 | +5000 | -100000 |
| FanDuelFD | -28.5-118 | +28.5-104 | 141.5-104 | 141.5-118 | +5500 | -50000 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -27.5-101 | +27.5-111 | 141-113 | 141-103 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WVU -28.5 | WVU -30.5 | WVU +2.0 |
| Total | 140.5 | 136.0 | Under 4.5 |
| Projected score | — | NIA 52.7 · WVU 83.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WVU -18.0 | — |
| 1H total | 63.7 | — |
| 1H projected score | NIA 22.8 · WVU 40.8 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Niagara
29 games played
Straight up
7-22
24% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 63-83 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ | W 67-59 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 68-57 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 68-74 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 42-100 | +39.5 | L −18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 70-80 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 5 | @ | L 54-83 | +12.5 | L −16.5 | 129.5 | O 137 |
| Dec 7 | @ | L 43-71 | +5.5 | L −22.5 | 131.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 73-81 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 15 | @ | L 58-84 | +30.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 64-61 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | vs | L 75-83 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 9 | @ | L 53-71 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 11 | @ | L 70-79 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 14 | @ | W 59-54 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 126.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 19 | vs | L 58-68 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 61-62 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 70-71 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 30 | vs | L 79-82 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 128.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 46-58 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 128.5 | U 104 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 65-56 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 55-56 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 111 |
| Feb 13 | vs | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 15 | vs | W 70-68 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 132.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 20 | @ | L 63-76 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 22 | @ | L 62-67 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 27 | vs | W 78-76 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 1 | vs | L 66-73 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 126.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
DUQ
L 63-83
−2.5
8
@
BING
W 67-59
+10.5
10
vs
DSU
W 68-57
+5.5
17
@
LEM
L 68-74
−3.5
21
@
DUKE
L 42-100
−18.5
22
vs
HOW
L 70-80
−5.5
29
vs
DETM
L 66-70
−2.5
5
@
SIE
L 54-83
−16.5
7
@
SPU
L 43-71
−22.5
13
@
MORG
L 73-81
−6.5
15
@
VCU
L 58-84
+4.5
2
vs
SHU
W 64-61
+4.5
4
vs
FAIR
L 75-83
−4.5
9
@
IONA
L 53-71
−7.5
11
@
MAN
L 70-79
−3.5
14
@
CAN
W 59-54
+7.5
19
vs
MSM
L 58-68
−6.5
22
@
FAIR
L 61-62
+9.5
24
@
SHU
L 70-71
+8.5
30
vs
SIE
L 79-82
+6.5
1
vs
MRST
L 46-58
−2.5
3
vs
CAN
W 65-56
+6.5
7
@
QUIN
L 55-56
+11.5
13
vs
MAN
L 69-76
−4.5
15
vs
IONA
W 70-68
+5.5
20
@
MSM
L 63-76
−5.5
22
@
RID
L 62-67
−6.5
27
vs
QUIN
W 78-76
+10.5
1
vs
MRMK
L 66-73
+0.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
DUQ
L 63-83
+6.5
8
@
BING
W 67-59
−12.5
10
vs
DSU
W 68-57
−12.5
17
@
LEM
L 68-74
+3.5
21
@
DUKE
L 42-100
−4.5
22
vs
HOW
L 70-80
+11.5
29
vs
DETM
L 66-70
−6.5
5
@
SIE
L 54-83
+7.5
7
@
SPU
L 43-71
−17.5
13
@
MORG
L 73-81
+13.5
15
@
VCU
L 58-84
−1.5
2
vs
SHU
W 64-61
−14.5
4
vs
FAIR
L 75-83
+19.5
9
@
IONA
L 53-71
−16.5
11
@
MAN
L 70-79
+8.5
14
@
CAN
W 59-54
−13.5
19
vs
MSM
L 58-68
−5.5
22
@
FAIR
L 61-62
−16.5
24
@
SHU
L 70-71
+1.5
30
vs
SIE
L 79-82
+32.5
1
vs
MRST
L 46-58
−24.5
3
vs
CAN
W 65-56
−8.5
7
@
QUIN
L 55-56
−26.5
13
vs
MAN
L 69-76
+8.5
15
vs
IONA
W 70-68
+5.5
20
@
MSM
L 63-76
+8.5
22
@
RID
L 62-67
−2.5
27
vs
QUIN
W 78-76
+17.5
1
vs
MRMK
L 66-73
+12.5
over 14under 15avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
West Virginia
35 games played
Straight up
21-14
60% wins
Against the spread
18-17
51% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-22
37% overs · avg −1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 70-54 | -19.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 73-65 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 69-47 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 71-49 | -5.5 | W +16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 81-59 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 67-70 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 68-78 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 70-38 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 91-49 | -31.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 66-75 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 90-58 | -27.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 88-89 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 86-51 | -42.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 59-80 | +16.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 62-60 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 86-75 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 48-77 | +13.5 | L −15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 72-61 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 75-63 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 53-88 | +17.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 27 | vs | W 59-54 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 53-63 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 5 | @ | W 59-54 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 8 | vs | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 74-67 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 56-61 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 133.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 54-60 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 24 | @ | L 84-91 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 79-71 | +2.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 63-65 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 77-62 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 11 | vs | L 48-68 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Apr 2 | vs | W 82-77 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 159 |
| Apr 4 | vs | W 87-70 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Apr 5 | vs | W 89-82 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
MSM
W 70-54
−3.5
6
vs
CAM
W 73-65
−7.5
9
vs
LEH
W 69-47
+4.5
13
vs
PITT
W 71-49
+16.5
17
vs
LAF
W 81-59
−2.5
21
vs
CLEM
L 67-70
+1.5
23
vs
XAV
L 68-78
−15.5
30
vs
MERC
W 70-38
+10.5
3
vs
COPP
W 91-49
+10.5
6
vs
WAKE
L 66-75
−11.5
9
vs
LR
W 90-58
+4.5
13
vs
OSU
L 88-89
+2.5
22
vs
MVSU
W 86-51
−7.5
2
@
ISU
L 59-80
−4.5
6
vs
CIN
W 62-60
+3.5
10
vs
KU
W 86-75
+13.5
13
@
HOU
L 48-77
−15.5
17
vs
COLO
W 72-61
+4.5
21
@
ASU
W 75-63
+13.5
24
@
ARIZ
L 53-88
−17.5
27
vs
KSU
W 59-54
−2.5
31
vs
BAY
L 53-63
−12.5
5
@
CIN
W 59-54
+10.5
8
vs
TTU
L 63-70
−2.5
14
@
UCF
W 74-67
+10.5
18
vs
UTAH
L 56-61
−15.5
21
@
TCU
L 54-60
−1.5
24
@
OKST
L 84-91
−5.5
28
vs
BYU
W 79-71
+10.5
3
@
KSU
L 63-65
−5.5
6
vs
UCF
W 77-62
+10.5
11
vs
BYU
L 48-68
−16.5
2
vs
STAN
W 82-77
+2.5
4
vs
CREI
W 87-70
+15.5
5
vs
OU
W 89-82
+10.5
covered 18didn’t cover 17avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
MSM
W 70-54
−12.5
6
vs
CAM
W 73-65
−0.5
9
vs
LEH
W 69-47
−23.5
13
vs
PITT
W 71-49
−14.5
17
vs
LAF
W 81-59
+4.5
21
vs
CLEM
L 67-70
+4.5
23
vs
XAV
L 68-78
+5.5
30
vs
MERC
W 70-38
−19.5
3
vs
COPP
W 91-49
+5.5
6
vs
WAKE
L 66-75
−2.5
9
vs
LR
W 90-58
+15.5
13
vs
OSU
L 88-89
+31.5
22
vs
MVSU
W 86-51
−0.5
2
@
ISU
L 59-80
−3.5
6
vs
CIN
W 62-60
−10.5
10
vs
KU
W 86-75
+21.5
13
@
HOU
L 48-77
−2.5
17
vs
COLO
W 72-61
−8.5
21
@
ASU
W 75-63
−7.5
24
@
ARIZ
L 53-88
−2.5
27
vs
KSU
W 59-54
−33.5
31
vs
BAY
L 53-63
−23.5
5
@
CIN
W 59-54
−14.5
8
vs
TTU
L 63-70
−6.5
14
@
UCF
W 74-67
+0.5
18
vs
UTAH
L 56-61
−16.5
21
@
TCU
L 54-60
−19.5
24
@
OKST
L 84-91
+30.5
28
vs
BYU
W 79-71
+8.5
3
@
KSU
L 63-65
−15.5
6
vs
UCF
W 77-62
−3.5
11
vs
BYU
L 48-68
−25.5
2
vs
STAN
W 82-77
+23.5
4
vs
CREI
W 87-70
+19.5
5
vs
OU
W 89-82
+29.5
over 13under 22avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
West Virginia has the better starters
Position by position: Niagara 0, West Virginia 5, even 0
NiagaraBetterWest Virginia
G T. Walters7.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 27
→WVUBig
G F. Bizjack TR17.1 pts · 2.2 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 88
G C. Farrell TR6 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 11
→WVUBig
G S. Traore TR9 pts · 3.4 reb · 2 ast
Score 46
G L. Woods TR4.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 15
→WVUBig
G M. Somerville TR8 pts · 3 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 54
G B. Rieber TR3.9 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 7
→WVUBig
F B. Lorient11.9 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 91
G T. Blackshear TR6.3 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 43
→WVUBig
F J. Buchanan TR12.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 89
NiagaraBetterWest Virginia
NIA offense355th of 366 · -13.3
→WVUBig
WVU defense19th of 366 · +5.5
NIA defense278th of 366 · -7.0
→WVUBig
WVU offense77th of 366 · +0.9
Backcourt-8.7 · 5 players
→WVUBig
Backcourt+1.3 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
=No call
Frontcourt+6.2 · 2 players
Bench-1.5 · 2 players
→WVUBig
Bench+1.6 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestNIA betterWVU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
T. Walters22 minC. Farrell21 min · TRL. Woods18 min · TRB. Rieber16 min · TRT. Blackshear14 min · TRG. Dalmau7 min
Forwards
V. Todorovic10 min · TRN. SlingerlandNewF. RottaNewB. AngelettiNewD. EmokhareNew
Guards
F. Bizjack34 min · TRS. Traore29 min · TRM. Somerville26 min · TRJ. Sanon21 min · TRA. Jenkins16 minM. FeenaneNew
Forwards
B. Lorient29 minJ. Buchanan28 min · TRM. OlejaszNew
Centers
M. Sylla21 min · TRA. DioumNewA. SeiniNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 63.3 #355 | Points per game | 70.6 #271 |
| 1.00 #330 | Points per possession | 1.08 #183 |
| 63.4 #364 | Pace (possessions) | 65.3 #336 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.5 #214 | Effective FG% | 51.6 #166 |
| 33.7 #188 | 3-point % | 33.0 #227 |
| 40.5 #159 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.0 #118 |
| 26.6 #353 | Free throw rate | 35.1 #173 |
| Possessions | ||
| 18.9 #318 | Turnover rate | 16.8 #188 |
| 24.8 #344 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.5 #178 |
| 13.8 #162 | Assists per game | 12.8 #228 |
| Defense | ||
| 71.7 #98 | Points allowed | 65.7 #11 |
| 1.13 #300 | Points allowed per possession | 1.01 #34 |
| 52.8 #260 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.5 #50 |
| 35.3 #268 | Opponent 3-point % | 34.3 #201 |
| 16.6 #177 | Turnovers forced | 17.8 #108 |
| 67.1 #297 | Defensive rebound rate | 71.4 #86 |
| 5.6 #284 | Steals per game | 6.3 #195 |
| 2.8 #254 | Blocks per game | 3.1 #204 |
Niagara
7-22 in 2025-26 overall · 5-15 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Merrimack66–73
- Wvs Quinnipiac78–76
- L@ Rider62–67
- L@ Mount St Marys63–76
- Wvs Iona70–68
A week or more of rest.
West Virginia
21-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma89–82
- Wvs Creighton87–70
- Wvs Stanford82–77
- Lvs BYU48–68
- Wvs UCF77–62
A week or more of rest.