Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i
Line
HAW -1.5no move
Total144.5down 2 from 146.5
| This season | HAW | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects HAW 71–70 · win probability HAW 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
HAW -1.5
no move since the open
Total
144.5
model 141.4 · Under by 3
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: HAW has more of the edges
SEA 3, HAW 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SEA 23.7%, HAW 31.3%. Defensive: SEA 68.2%, HAW 74.7%
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SEA 16.7%, HAW 18.8%. Forced: SEA 21.2%, HAW 16.8%
Context
Schedule so far
SEA has played the 114th-hardest schedule, HAW the 242nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: SEA plays 69.1 a game (175th fastest), HAW 73.0 (19th). Faster games mean more points
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SEA 50%, HAW 10%. Transfers in: SEA 3, HAW 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Shooting
Effective FG%: SEA 49.8 and allows 48.4; HAW 52.0 and allows 46.8
HAW offense vs SEA defense
Offense 136th of 366 against a defense 76th, on the model’s ratings
Home court
HAW at home. This season: HAW 0-0 at home, SEA 0-0 away
Free throws
Free throw rate: SEA 34.2, HAW 41.4. Allowed: SEA 33.0, HAW 35.6
Even
SEA offense vs HAW defense
Offense 183rd of 366 against a defense 150th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
SEA hits 33.7% and allows 32.1%; HAW hits 31.7% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 39.4% and 39.8% of their shots
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of under 3 | 1938 | 56% | 51% | 49% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1094 | 54% | 49% | 50% |
| Games with a total of 140 to 144.5 | 3570 | 72% | 50% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenHAW -1.5
no move
NowHAW -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Now144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SEA +110 · HAW -130
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened HAW -1.5 · unchangedmodel HAW -1
model HAW -1
Opened 146.5 · now 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Over 144.5TotalUnder 144.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Money is 22 pts ahead of bets on HAW
Books
8 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | HAW | Over | Under | SEA | HAW | |
| BetMGMMGM | -1.5-105 | +1.5-115 | 144.5-115 | 144.5-105 | +105 | -130 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -2-105 | +2-115 | 144.5-110 | 144.5-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -0.5+102 | +0.5-130 | 144.5-108 | 144.5-118 | +102 | -130 |
| BetUSBetUS | -2-105 | +2-115 | 144.5-110 | 144.5-110 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -1.5-105 | +1.5-115 | 144-110 | 144-110 | +110 | -130 |
| DraftKingsDK | -1.5-110 | +1.5-110 | 145.5-112 | 145.5-108 | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuelFD | -1.5-108 | +1.5-112 | 144.5-115 | 144.5-105 | +104 | -125 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -2-101 | +2-111 | 144.5-108 | 144.5-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HAW -1.5 | HAW -1.0 | SEA +0.5 |
| Total | 144.5 | 141.4 | Under 3.1 |
| Projected score | — | SEA 70.2 · HAW 71.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HAW -0.5 | — |
| 1H total | 66.2 | — |
| 1H projected score | SEA 32.9 · HAW 33.3 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Seattle U
33 games played
Straight up
19-14
58% wins
Against the spread
15-18
45% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-20
39% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | L 71-73 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 94-67 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 83-74 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ | W 77-69 | +10.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 66-52 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 71-74 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 79-78 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 70-66 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | @ | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 59-67 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 69-55 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 72-80 | +24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 76-93 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 55-68 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 75-64 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 50-71 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 69-59 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 54-56 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 110 |
| Jan 28 | @ | L 58-70 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 4 | vs | W 83-81 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 53-54 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 11 | @ | L 72-84 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 15 | vs | W 60-50 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 70-72 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 133.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 71-59 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 25 | @ | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 71-66 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Mar 6 | vs | W 58-56 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 114 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 58-61 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 129.5 | U 119 |
| Mar 17 | vs | W 67-52 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 145.5 | U 119 |
| Mar 22 | @ | L 85-91 | +14.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEN
W 84-73
−2.5
8
vs
CP
L 71-73
−12.5
12
vs
EWU
W 94-67
+18.5
15
vs
IDST
W 83-74
−2.5
21
@
STAN
W 77-69
+18.5
28
vs
TXST
W 66-52
+6.5
29
vs
UCSB
L 71-74
−5.5
7
vs
UTEP
W 75-68
−5.5
17
@
UCD
W 79-78
−1.5
19
vs
WASH
W 70-66
+11.5
22
@
UTSA
W 71-68
−7.5
28
vs
SF
L 59-67
−10.5
30
vs
WSU
W 69-55
+7.5
2
@
GONZ
L 72-80
+16.5
4
@
SMC
L 76-93
−5.5
8
@
ORST
L 55-68
−17.5
15
vs
USD
W 75-64
+1.5
17
vs
GONZ
L 50-71
−11.5
21
vs
LMU
W 69-59
+5.5
24
@
PAC
L 54-56
−0.5
28
@
WSU
L 58-70
−10.5
4
vs
PEPP
W 83-81
−10.5
7
@
PORT
L 53-54
−4.5
11
@
SCU
L 72-84
+0.5
15
vs
ORST
W 60-50
+3.5
18
vs
SMC
L 70-72
+7.5
21
vs
PORT
W 71-59
+4.5
25
@
PEPP
W 87-80
−0.5
28
@
LMU
W 71-66
+6.5
6
vs
USD
W 58-56
−6.5
7
vs
PAC
L 58-61
−1.5
17
vs
STMN
W 67-52
+12.5
22
@
AUB
L 85-91
+8.5
covered 15didn’t cover 18avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
DEN
W 84-73
+20.5
8
vs
CP
L 71-73
−20.5
12
vs
EWU
W 94-67
+12.5
15
vs
IDST
W 83-74
+18.5
21
@
STAN
W 77-69
−6.5
28
vs
TXST
W 66-52
−18.5
29
vs
UCSB
L 71-74
+2.5
7
vs
UTEP
W 75-68
+6.5
17
@
UCD
W 79-78
+13.5
19
vs
WASH
W 70-66
−15.5
22
@
UTSA
W 71-68
−9.5
28
vs
SF
L 59-67
−20.5
30
vs
WSU
W 69-55
−20.5
2
@
GONZ
L 72-80
−3.5
4
@
SMC
L 76-93
+29.5
8
@
ORST
L 55-68
−16.5
15
vs
USD
W 75-64
−8.5
17
vs
GONZ
L 50-71
−29.5
21
vs
LMU
W 69-59
−13.5
24
@
PAC
L 54-56
−27.5
28
@
WSU
L 58-70
−14.5
4
vs
PEPP
W 83-81
+24.5
7
@
PORT
L 53-54
−36.5
11
@
SCU
L 72-84
+8.5
15
vs
ORST
W 60-50
−26.5
18
vs
SMC
L 70-72
+8.5
21
vs
PORT
W 71-59
−10.5
25
@
PEPP
W 87-80
+21.5
28
@
LMU
W 71-66
+0.5
6
vs
USD
W 58-56
−25.5
7
vs
PAC
L 58-61
−10.5
17
vs
STMN
W 67-52
−26.5
22
@
AUB
L 85-91
+30.5
over 13under 20avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hawai'i
31 games played
Straight up
22-9
71% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 59-60 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 100-74 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 88-56 | -41.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 68-62 | -16.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs | L 76-83 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 92-55 | -18.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | vs | W 75-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 69-59 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 66-61 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @ | W 88-45 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @ | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 62-77 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 22 | vs | W 98-71 | -17.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 89-68 | -10.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 29 | @ | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 89-82 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 72-67 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 12 | @ | W 89-74 | -13.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 60-84 | -2.5 | L −26.5 | 162.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 19 | vs | L 75-86 | -11.5 | L −22.5 | 160.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 78-75 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 26 | @ | W 77-73 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 87-85 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 5 | vs | W 93-74 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 75-84 | -14.5 | L −23.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 71-64 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 19 | vs | L 78-97 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
ORE
L 59-60
+10.5
10
vs
ETAM
W 100-74
+7.5
12
vs
MVSU
W 88-56
−9.5
14
vs
MAN
W 86-56
+14.5
15
vs
UTU
W 68-62
−10.5
20
vs
ASU
L 76-83
−8.5
28
vs
UND
W 92-55
+18.5
13
vs
UTEP
W 66-61
−7.5
1
@
UCR
W 88-45
+34.5
3
@
UCSD
L 73-83
−7.5
10
vs
UCI
W 67-66
−3.5
15
@
CP
W 86-66
+14.5
17
@
UCSB
L 62-77
−17.5
22
vs
CSUB
W 98-71
+9.5
24
vs
CSUN
W 89-68
+10.5
29
@
UCI
L 76-87
−9.5
31
@
LBSU
W 89-82
−1.5
7
vs
UCSD
W 72-67
−1.5
12
@
CSUB
W 89-74
+1.5
14
@
CSUN
L 60-84
−26.5
19
vs
CP
L 75-86
−22.5
21
vs
UCSB
W 78-75
−2.5
26
@
UCD
W 77-73
+2.5
28
@
CSUF
W 87-85
−1.5
5
vs
UCR
W 93-74
+6.5
7
vs
LBSU
L 75-84
−23.5
13
vs
CSUF
W 78-63
+9.5
14
vs
UCI
W 71-64
+8.5
19
vs
ARK
L 78-97
−4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
ORE
L 59-60
−25.5
10
vs
ETAM
W 100-74
+28.5
12
vs
MVSU
W 88-56
−7.5
14
vs
MAN
W 86-56
−14.5
15
vs
UTU
W 68-62
−19.5
20
vs
ASU
L 76-83
+15.5
28
vs
UND
W 92-55
−2.5
13
vs
UTEP
W 66-61
−11.5
1
@
UCR
W 88-45
−16.5
3
@
UCSD
L 73-83
+7.5
10
vs
UCI
W 67-66
−7.5
15
@
CP
W 86-66
−8.5
17
@
UCSB
L 62-77
−4.5
22
vs
CSUB
W 98-71
+24.5
24
vs
CSUN
W 89-68
−1.5
29
@
UCI
L 76-87
+18.5
31
@
LBSU
W 89-82
+26.5
7
vs
UCSD
W 72-67
−10.5
12
@
CSUB
W 89-74
+11.5
14
@
CSUN
L 60-84
−18.5
19
vs
CP
L 75-86
+0.5
21
vs
UCSB
W 78-75
+7.5
26
@
UCD
W 77-73
+3.5
28
@
CSUF
W 87-85
+13.5
5
vs
UCR
W 93-74
+16.5
7
vs
LBSU
L 75-84
+8.5
13
vs
CSUF
W 78-63
−16.5
14
vs
UCI
W 71-64
−6.5
19
vs
ARK
L 78-97
+16.5
over 14under 15avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Seattle U has the better starters
Position by position: Seattle U 2, Hawai'i 1, even 2
Seattle UBetterHawai'i
G T. Boston TR14.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast
Score 76
←SEABig
G C. Trujillo TR12.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 39
G M. Arington4.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast
Score 41
=Even
G I. Kerr6.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 38
F J. Yeo12.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 45
→HAWSmall
F Z. Davidson TR12.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 69
F W. Heimbrodt12.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 72
=Even
C B. Dengdit TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 62
F T. Thrastarson TR9.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 54
←SEASmall
C H. Dan TR5.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.3 ast
Score 36
Seattle UBetterHawai'i
SEA offense183rd of 366 · -5.7
=Even
HAW defense150th of 366 · -3.3
SEA defense76th of 366 · +0.6
←SEASmall
HAW offense136th of 366 · -3.9
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
←SEASmall
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
=Even
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
=Even
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestSEA betterHAW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
T. Boston33 min · TRM. Arington31 minK. HansenNewM. WilliamsNewJ. WhiteNewJ. HarshmanNew
Forwards
J. Yeo32 minW. Heimbrodt32 minT. Thrastarson23 min · TRY. Kawashima3 minR. Adams2 min
Centers
H. Dzellat8 min · TRL. CoulibalyNew
Guards
C. Trujillo34 min · TRI. Kerr21 minT. CuffNewJ. MatingouNewL. AwanNewS. BelnapNew
Forwards
Z. Davidson24 min · TRM. Adams12 min · TRM. Joses9 min · TRK. HamptonNew
Centers
B. Dengdit23 min · TRH. Dan15 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 70.1 #283 | Points per game | 78.7 #86 |
| 1.01 #312 | Points per possession | 1.08 #186 |
| 69.1 #175 | Pace (possessions) | 73.0 #19 |
| Shooting | ||
| 49.8 #249 | Effective FG% | 52.0 #148 |
| 33.7 #186 | 3-point % | 31.7 #298 |
| 39.4 #185 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.8 #175 |
| 34.2 #201 | Free throw rate | 41.4 #38 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.7 #178 | Turnover rate | 18.8 #315 |
| 23.7 #347 | Offensive rebound rate | 31.3 #154 |
| 13.2 #201 | Assists per game | 13.3 #187 |
| Defense | ||
| 68.2 #34 | Points allowed | 71.2 #76 |
| 0.99 #20 | Points allowed per possession | 0.98 #10 |
| 48.4 #46 | Opponent effective FG% | 46.8 #19 |
| 32.1 #69 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.3 #13 |
| 21.2 #9 | Turnovers forced | 16.8 #167 |
| 68.2 #249 | Defensive rebound rate | 74.7 #11 |
| 7.8 #52 | Steals per game | 6.5 #175 |
| 4.9 #20 | Blocks per game | 4.0 #73 |
Seattle U
19-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Auburn85–91
- Wvs St Thomas67–52
- Lvs Pacific58–61
- Wvs San Diego58–56
- W@ LMU71–66
A week or more of rest.
Hawai'i
22-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas78–97
- Wvs UC Irvine71–64
- Wvs Fullerton78–63
- Lvs Long Beach St75–84
- Wvs UC Riverside93–74
A week or more of rest.