Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i
#119SEASeattle U
@
#140HAWHawai'i
LineHAW -1.5no move
Total144.5down 2 from 146.5
Season records: Seattle U and Hawai'i
SEAThis seasonHAW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HAW 71–70 · win probability HAW 54%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
HAW -1.5
no move since the open
Total
144.5
model 141.4 · Under by 3
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HAW has more of the edges

SEA 3, HAW 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HAWBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SEA 23.7%, HAW 31.3%. Defensive: SEA 68.2%, HAW 74.7%
SEABig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SEA 16.7%, HAW 18.8%. Forced: SEA 21.2%, HAW 16.8%
Context
Schedule so far
SEA has played the 114th-hardest schedule, HAW the 242nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: SEA plays 69.1 a game (175th fastest), HAW 73.0 (19th). Faster games mean more points
SEASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SEA 50%, HAW 10%. Transfers in: SEA 3, HAW 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
HAWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: SEA 49.8 and allows 48.4; HAW 52.0 and allows 46.8
SEASmall
HAW offense vs SEA defense
Offense 136th of 366 against a defense 76th, on the model’s ratings
HAWSmall
Home court
HAW at home. This season: HAW 0-0 at home, SEA 0-0 away
HAWSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: SEA 34.2, HAW 41.4. Allowed: SEA 33.0, HAW 35.6
Even
SEA offense vs HAW defense
Offense 183rd of 366 against a defense 150th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
SEA hits 33.7% and allows 32.1%; HAW hits 31.7% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 39.4% and 39.8% of their shots

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of under 3193856%51%49%
Non-conference games at this spread109454%49%50%
Games with a total of 140 to 144.5357072%50%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
SEA +110 · HAW -130
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened HAW -1.5 · unchangedmodel HAW -1
Opened 146.5 · now 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 141.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
Over 144.5TotalUnder 144.5
Bets
Money
SEAWinnerHAW
Bets
Money
Money is 22 pts ahead of bets on HAW

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
SEAHAWOverUnderSEAHAW
BetMGMMGM-1.5-105+1.5-115144.5-115144.5-105+105-130
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-2-105+2-115144.5-110144.5-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-0.5+102+0.5-130144.5-108144.5-118+102-130
BetUSBetUS-2-105+2-115144.5-110144.5-110——
BovadaBovada-1.5-105+1.5-115144-110144-110+110-130
DraftKingsDK-1.5-110+1.5-110145.5-112145.5-108+110-130
FanDuelFD-1.5-108+1.5-112144.5-115144.5-105+104-125
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-2-101+2-111144.5-108144.5-108——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadHAW -1.5HAW -1.0SEA +0.5
Total144.5141.4Under 3.1
Projected score—SEA 70.2 · HAW 71.2

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadHAW -0.5—
1H total66.2—
1H projected scoreSEA 32.9 · HAW 33.3—

Seattle U has the better starters

Position by position: Seattle U 2, Hawai'i 1, even 2
Seattle UBetterHawai'i
G T. Boston TR14.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 3.7 ast Score 76
SEABig
G C. Trujillo TR12.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.7 ast Score 39
G M. Arington4.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4 ast Score 41
Even
G I. Kerr6.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 38
F J. Yeo12.3 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.6 ast Score 45
HAWSmall
F Z. Davidson TR12.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 69
F W. Heimbrodt12.7 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.3 ast Score 72
Even
C B. Dengdit TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 62
F T. Thrastarson TR9.1 pts · 4.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 54
SEASmall
C H. Dan TR5.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 36
Seattle UBetterHawai'i
SEA offense183rd of 366 · -5.7
Even
HAW defense150th of 366 · -3.3
SEA defense76th of 366 · +0.6
SEASmall
HAW offense136th of 366 · -3.9
Backcourt-0.2 · 2 players
SEASmall
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt+0.6 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestSEA betterHAW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Seattle U
Guards
T. Boston33 min · TRM. Arington31 minK. HansenNewM. WilliamsNewJ. WhiteNewJ. HarshmanNew
Forwards
J. Yeo32 minW. Heimbrodt32 minT. Thrastarson23 min · TRY. Kawashima3 minR. Adams2 min
Centers
H. Dzellat8 min · TRL. CoulibalyNew
Hawai'i
Guards
C. Trujillo34 min · TRI. Kerr21 minT. CuffNewJ. MatingouNewL. AwanNewS. BelnapNew
Forwards
Z. Davidson24 min · TRM. Adams12 min · TRM. Joses9 min · TRK. HamptonNew
Centers
B. Dengdit23 min · TRH. Dan15 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SEAHAW
Scoring
70.1 #283Points per game78.7 #86
1.01 #312Points per possession1.08 #186
69.1 #175Pace (possessions)73.0 #19
Shooting
49.8 #249Effective FG%52.0 #148
33.7 #1863-point %31.7 #298
39.4 #1853-point attempt rate39.8 #175
34.2 #201Free throw rate41.4 #38
Possessions
16.7 #178Turnover rate18.8 #315
23.7 #347Offensive rebound rate31.3 #154
13.2 #201Assists per game13.3 #187
Defense
68.2 #34Points allowed71.2 #76
0.99 #20Points allowed per possession0.98 #10
48.4 #46Opponent effective FG%46.8 #19
32.1 #69Opponent 3-point %30.3 #13
21.2 #9Turnovers forced16.8 #167
68.2 #249Defensive rebound rate74.7 #11
7.8 #52Steals per game6.5 #175
4.9 #20Blocks per game4.0 #73

Seattle U

19-14 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · West Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Auburn85–91
  • Wvs St Thomas67–52
  • Lvs Pacific58–61
  • Wvs San Diego58–56
  • W@ LMU71–66

A week or more of rest.

Hawai'i

22-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas78–97
  • Wvs UC Irvine71–64
  • Wvs Fullerton78–63
  • Lvs Long Beach St75–84
  • Wvs UC Riverside93–74

A week or more of rest.