1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 8
  3. UTA @ HAW
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 8

UT Arlington Mavericks at Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i
#258UTAUT Arlington
@
#140HAWHawai'i
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
UTAThis seasonHAW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects HAW 77–67 · win probability HAW 82%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 144.0
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: HAW has more of the edges

UTA 0, HAW 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
HAWBig
UTA offense vs HAW defense
Offense 289th of 366 against a defense 150th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: UTA plays 67.3 a game (265th fastest), HAW 73.0 (19th). Faster games mean more points
HAWSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: UTA 47.2 and allows 47.5; HAW 52.0 and allows 46.8
HAWSmall
HAW offense vs UTA defense
Offense 136th of 366 against a defense 211th, on the model’s ratings
HAWSmall
Home court
HAW at home. This season: HAW 0-0 at home, UTA 0-0 away
HAWSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: UTA 42.5, HAW 41.4. Allowed: UTA 40.9, HAW 35.6
Context
Schedule so far
UTA has played the 268th-hardest schedule, HAW the 242nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: UTA 34.9%, HAW 31.3%. Defensive: UTA 69.9%, HAW 74.7%
Even
Three-pointers
UTA hits 29.1% and allows 26.9%; HAW hits 31.7% and allows 30.3%. Threes are 30.7% and 39.8% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: UTA 20.7%, HAW 18.8%. Forced: UTA 18.0%, HAW 16.8%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: UTA 7%, HAW 10%. Transfers in: UTA 5, HAW 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—HAW -10.6—
Total—144.0—
Projected score—UTA 66.7 · HAW 77.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadHAW -6.2—
1H total67.4—
1H projected scoreUTA 30.6 · HAW 36.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: UT Arlington 1, Hawai'i 1, even 3
UT ArlingtonBetterHawai'i
G M. Panoam TR0.9 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.7 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Trujillo TR12.3 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.7 ast Score 39
F T. McDaniels TR12 pts · 6.1 reb · 1 ast Score 68
UTASmall
G I. Kerr6.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.3 ast Score 38
F M. Goodman3.2 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.1 ast Score 11
HAWBig
F Z. Davidson TR12.9 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.9 ast Score 69
F B. McGlothin TR0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
C B. Dengdit TR10.8 pts · 5 reb · 1.8 ast Score 62
F N. Bundalo TR0.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
C H. Dan TR5.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 36
UT ArlingtonBetterHawai'i
UTA offense289th of 366 · -8.9
HAWBig
HAW defense150th of 366 · -3.3
UTA defense211th of 366 · -5.4
HAWSmall
HAW offense136th of 366 · -3.9
Backcourt-0.3 · 1 player
UTASmall
Backcourt-2.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
HAWSmall
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench+0.0 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.4 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestUTA betterHAW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
UT Arlington
Guards
M. Panoam6 min · TRN. Shelby3 min · TRJ. SmithNewT. HankinsNewK. MikalauskasNewJ. ParkerNew
Forwards
T. McDaniels27 min · TRM. Goodman13 minB. McGlothin5 min · TRN. Bundalo3 min · TRT. SimicNewS. HadnotNew
Hawai'i
Guards
C. Trujillo34 min · TRI. Kerr21 minT. CuffNewJ. MatingouNewL. AwanNewS. BelnapNew
Forwards
Z. Davidson24 min · TRM. Adams12 min · TRM. Joses9 min · TRK. HamptonNew
Centers
B. Dengdit23 min · TRH. Dan15 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
UTAHAW
Scoring
67.7 #320Points per game78.7 #86
1.01 #319Points per possession1.08 #186
67.3 #265Pace (possessions)73.0 #19
Shooting
47.2 #332Effective FG%52.0 #148
29.1 #3523-point %31.7 #298
30.7 #3453-point attempt rate39.8 #175
42.5 #24Free throw rate41.4 #38
Possessions
20.7 #354Turnover rate18.8 #315
34.9 #50Offensive rebound rate31.3 #154
10.7 #345Assists per game13.3 #187
Defense
67.8 #29Points allowed71.2 #76
1.01 #30Points allowed per possession0.98 #10
47.5 #29Opponent effective FG%46.8 #19
26.9 #1Opponent 3-point %30.3 #13
18.0 #93Turnovers forced16.8 #167
69.9 #166Defensive rebound rate74.7 #11
7.3 #97Steals per game6.5 #175
3.5 #148Blocks per game4.0 #73
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

UT Arlington

16-14 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Utah Valley65–67
  • Wvs Southern Utah69–63
  • W@ Abilene Chrstn64–57
  • W@ Tarleton St65–60
  • L@ CA Baptist56–68

A week or more of rest.

Hawai'i

22-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Arkansas78–97
  • Wvs UC Irvine71–64
  • Wvs Fullerton78–63
  • Lvs Long Beach St75–84
  • Wvs UC Riverside93–74

A week or more of rest.