1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. WOF @ MER
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Wofford Terriers at Mercer Bears

Hawkins Arena · at Mercer · Conference game
#249WOFWofford
@
#242MERMercer
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WOFThis seasonMER
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects MER 78–74 · win probability MER 65%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 151.8
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: MER has more of the edges

WOF 1, MER 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MERBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: WOF 36.2, MER 39.2. Allowed: WOF 36.9, MER 29.7
Context
Schedule so far
WOF has played the 283rd-hardest schedule, MER the 193rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
MERSmall
Home court
MER at home. This season: MER 0-0 at home, WOF 0-0 away
WOFSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WOF 29.8%, MER 32.6%. Defensive: WOF 71.0%, MER 66.8%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WOF 52.5 and allows 53.8; MER 53.1 and allows 52.5
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WOF 13.4%, MER 15.0%. Forced: WOF 15.0%, MER 17.0%
Even
MER offense vs WOF defense
Offense 223rd of 366 against a defense 258th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WOF 43%, MER 28%. Transfers in: WOF 1, MER 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
WOF offense vs MER defense
Offense 241st of 366 against a defense 268th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: WOF plays 68.7 a game (198th fastest), MER 69.5 (148th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
WOF hits 35.0% and allows 36.4%; MER hits 35.6% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 43.1% and 39.2% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—MER -4.3—
Total—151.8—
Projected score—WOF 73.7 · MER 78

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadMER -2.5—
1H total71.0—
1H projected scoreWOF 34.2 · MER 36.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Mercer has the better starters

Position by position: Wofford 1, Mercer 2, even 2
WoffordBetterMercer
G L. Flynn5.6 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 10
MERSmall
G B. Shoulders9.5 pts · 6.6 reb · 1.8 ast Score 41
G C. Watley9.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 28
Even
G Q. Perkins8.7 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.6 ast Score 22
G C. Arias TR6.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
MERSmall
F K. Steele TR8 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 62
F B. Sumpter6.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 34
WOFSmall
F M. Mabor Makoi TR1.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.1 ast Score 10
F C. Richards3 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
F P. Padegimas NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
WoffordBetterMercer
WOF offense241st of 366 · -7.3
Even
MER defense268th of 366 · -6.8
WOF defense258th of 366 · -6.7
Even
MER offense223rd of 366 · -6.8
Backcourt-5.7 · 3 players
MERSmall
Backcourt-3.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.4 · 2 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players
Bench-0.2 · 2 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestWOF betterMER betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Wofford
Guards
L. Flynn27 minC. Watley25 minC. Arias18 min · TRD. Miller2 minG. Collins2 minC. LoweNew
Forwards
B. Sumpter23 minC. Richards8 minC. SiskNew
Centers
E. RamseyNew
Mercer
Guards
B. Shoulders32 minQ. Perkins24 minM. KoveosNewD. BarrNewH. LyttleNewK. LamonteNew
Forwards
K. Steele21 min · TRM. Mabor Makoi8 min · TRP. PadegimasNewS. MayhughNewD. KovacevicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WOFMER
Scoring
78.4 #90Points per game80.1 #65
1.14 #74Points per possession1.15 #55
68.7 #198Pace (possessions)69.5 #148
Shooting
52.5 #127Effective FG%53.1 #98
35.0 #1193-point %35.6 #87
43.1 #1123-point attempt rate39.2 #188
36.2 #144Free throw rate39.2 #74
Possessions
13.4 #12Turnover rate15.0 #67
29.8 #212Offensive rebound rate32.6 #102
13.8 #161Assists per game12.7 #240
Defense
78.6 #282Points allowed77.8 #263
1.15 #317Points allowed per possession1.12 #273
53.8 #294Opponent effective FG%52.5 #242
36.4 #322Opponent 3-point %36.2 #311
15.0 #291Turnovers forced17.0 #155
71.0 #101Defensive rebound rate66.8 #303
5.6 #283Steals per game7.1 #115
3.1 #201Blocks per game3.2 #186
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wofford

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNC Greensboro72–75
  • Lvs The Citadel90–93
  • W@ ETSU72–69
  • Lvs Furman67–76
  • Wvs VMI82–76

A week or more of rest.

Mercer

16-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs W Carolina73–77
  • Wvs ETSU82–76
  • L@ W Carolina74–78
  • Wvs Samford89–86
  • Lvs Chattanooga90–94

A week or more of rest.