CU Events Center · at Colorado
Line
COLO -18.5moved 1 toward COLO
Total152.5no move
| This season | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects COLO 85–64 · win probability COLO 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
COLO -18.5
moved 1 toward COLO
Total
152.5
model 148.7 · Under by 4
Model edge
COLO by 3
model vs market
Public on the spread
98% ACU
92% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: COLO has more of the edges
ACU 1, COLO 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ACU offense vs COLO defense
Offense 298th of 366 against a defense 80th, on the model’s ratings
Shooting
Effective FG%: ACU 47.5 and allows 56.5; COLO 52.9 and allows 52.6
COLO offense vs ACU defense
Offense 54th of 366 against a defense 200th, on the model’s ratings
Three-pointers
ACU hits 31.0% and allows 40.9%; COLO hits 35.1% and allows 36.3%. Threes are 32.8% and 35.2% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
ACU has played the 183rd-hardest schedule, COLO the 58th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Home court
COLO at home. This season: COLO 0-0 at home, ACU 0-0 away
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ACU 31.0%, COLO 29.0%. Defensive: ACU 70.9%, COLO 70.4%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: ACU plays 69.2 a game (167th fastest), COLO 71.0 (76th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ACU 25%, COLO 40%. Transfers in: ACU 3, COLO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ACU 20.8%, COLO 14.7%. Forced: ACU 23.4%, COLO 15.2%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: ACU 41.7, COLO 36.6. Allowed: ACU 53.5, COLO 36.6
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 15 to 19.5 | 993 | 94% | 48% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 632 | 93% | 49% | 53% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite | 6763 | 75% | 50% | 51% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenCOLO -17.5
1 → COLO
NowCOLO -18.5
1 pt toward COLO
Total
Open152.5
no move
Now152.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ACU +1200 · COLO -3200
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened COLO -17.5 · now COLO -18 · moved 0.5 toward COLOmodel COLO -21.5
model COLO -21.5
Opened 152.5 · now 152 · moved 0.5 downmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Over 152.5TotalUnder 152.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
8 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACU | COLO | Over | Under | ACU | COLO | |
| BetMGMMGM | -18.5-110 | +18.5-110 | 152.5-105 | 152.5-115 | +1200 | -3000 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -18-105 | +18-115 | 152-110 | 152-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -18.5-112 | +18.5-114 | 151.5-122 | 151.5-104 | +1150 | -3335 |
| BetUSBetUS | -18-105 | +18-115 | 152-110 | 152-110 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -18-105 | +18-115 | 152-110 | 152-110 | +1100 | -2800 |
| DraftKingsDK | -18.5-110 | +18.5-110 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-110 | +1400 | -3200 |
| FanDuelFD | -17.5-102 | +17.5-120 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-110 | +1400 | -4000 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -18-101 | +18-111 | 152-108 | 152-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | COLO -18.5 | COLO -21.3 | COLO +2.8 |
| Total | 152.5 | 148.7 | Under 3.8 |
| Projected score | — | ACU 63.7 · COLO 85 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | COLO -12.5 | — |
| 1H total | 69.5 | — |
| 1H projected score | ACU 28.5 · COLO 41 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | |
| 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Abilene Chrstn
30 games played
Straight up
11-19
37% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 66-76 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 49-63 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 61-50 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 58-92 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 2 | @ | W 71-63 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 77-69 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 62-96 | +34.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 19 | @ | L 67-85 | +33.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 22 | @ | W 75-68 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 1 | vs | L 64-79 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 85-68 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 84-80 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 140.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 72-82 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 134.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 15 | vs | L 58-74 | -1.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 52-74 | -3.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 29 | vs | L 70-76 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 76-79 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 55-68 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 63-65 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Feb 12 | vs | W 67-63 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 73-59 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 16 | @ | L 62-65 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 87-83 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 26 | @ | L 81-85 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 139.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Mar 5 | @ | L 48-87 | +9.5 | L −29.5 | 136.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 57-64 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 84-78 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 134.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 12 | vs | L 74-80 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vs
OMA
W 73-71
−2.5
14
@
SFA
L 66-76
−3.5
18
@
TXST
L 49-63
−12.5
24
vs
UTSA
W 61-50
+8.5
25
vs
W&M
L 58-92
−35.5
2
@
PEPP
W 71-63
+6.5
6
vs
NMSU
W 77-69
+9.5
16
@
ARIZ
L 62-96
+0.5
19
@
BYU
L 67-85
+15.5
22
@
TXSO
W 75-68
+2.5
1
vs
UTU
L 64-79
−20.5
3
vs
UVU
W 85-68
+24.5
8
@
TAR
W 84-80
+8.5
10
@
UTA
L 72-82
−6.5
15
vs
CBU
L 58-74
−17.5
17
@
SUU
L 52-74
−25.5
29
vs
UTU
L 70-76
−9.5
31
vs
SUU
L 76-79
−9.5
5
@
UVU
L 55-68
+1.5
7
@
CBU
L 63-65
+6.5
12
vs
UTA
W 67-63
+2.5
14
vs
TAR
W 73-59
+10.5
16
@
TAR
L 62-65
−4.5
21
vs
SUU
W 87-83
−4.5
26
@
UTU
L 81-85
−1.5
28
@
UVU
L 67-74
+7.5
5
@
CBU
L 48-87
−29.5
7
vs
UTA
L 57-64
−8.5
11
vs
TAR
W 84-78
+4.5
12
vs
UTU
L 74-80
−4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vs
OMA
W 73-71
−6.5
14
@
SFA
L 66-76
−0.5
18
@
TXST
L 49-63
−26.5
24
vs
UTSA
W 61-50
−33.5
25
vs
W&M
L 58-92
+2.5
2
@
PEPP
W 71-63
−3.5
6
vs
NMSU
W 77-69
+14.5
16
@
ARIZ
L 62-96
+12.5
19
@
BYU
L 67-85
+5.5
22
@
TXSO
W 75-68
+4.5
1
vs
UTU
L 64-79
+3.5
3
vs
UVU
W 85-68
+13.5
8
@
TAR
W 84-80
+23.5
10
@
UTA
L 72-82
+19.5
15
vs
CBU
L 58-74
−8.5
17
@
SUU
L 52-74
−23.5
29
vs
UTU
L 70-76
+0.5
31
vs
SUU
L 76-79
+4.5
5
@
UVU
L 55-68
−22.5
7
@
CBU
L 63-65
−7.5
12
vs
UTA
W 67-63
−4.5
14
vs
TAR
W 73-59
−2.5
16
@
TAR
L 62-65
−7.5
21
vs
SUU
W 87-83
+26.5
26
@
UTU
L 81-85
+26.5
28
@
UVU
L 67-74
+0.5
5
@
CBU
L 48-87
−1.5
7
vs
UTA
L 57-64
−10.5
11
vs
TAR
W 84-78
+27.5
12
vs
UTU
L 74-80
+11.5
over 16under 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
33 games played
Straight up
17-16
52% wins
Against the spread
17-16
52% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-16
52% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 68-77 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 61-72 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | vs | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 86-95 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 29 | @ | L 67-97 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | vs | W 87-61 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 67-86 | +7.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 78-70 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 11 | @ | L 44-78 | +13.5 | L −20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 86-90 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 83-69 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 152 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 79-70 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 62-102 | +20.5 | L −19.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | @ | W 92-78 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 7 | vs | L 79-89 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 10 | vs | L 83-92 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Apr 1 | vs | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MTST
W 84-78
−5.5
8
vs
EWU
W 102-97
−11.5
14
vs
PROV
W 97-88
+7.5
17
vs
ALST
W 94-66
+5.5
21
vs
UCD
W 95-79
+1.5
27
vs
SF
W 79-69
+11.5
28
vs
WASH
W 81-68
+15.5
1
vs
CBU
W 78-70
−5.5
6
@
CSU
L 86-91
−3.5
13
vs
UTSA
W 88-64
+1.5
17
vs
PRST
W 84-73
−5.5
20
vs
STAN
L 68-77
−11.5
28
vs
UNCO
L 81-86
−20.5
3
@
ASU
W 95-89
+7.5
7
vs
UTAH
W 85-73
+2.5
10
vs
TTU
L 71-73
+3.5
14
@
CIN
L 68-77
−0.5
17
@
WVU
L 61-72
−4.5
20
vs
KU
L 69-75
−1.5
24
vs
UCF
L 86-95
−12.5
29
@
ISU
L 67-97
−12.5
1
vs
TCU
W 87-61
+27.5
4
@
BAY
L 67-86
−11.5
7
vs
ASU
W 78-70
+4.5
11
@
TTU
L 44-78
−20.5
14
@
BYU
L 86-90
+11.5
21
vs
OKST
W 83-69
+10.5
25
vs
KSU
W 79-70
+3.5
28
@
HOU
L 62-102
−19.5
3
@
UTAH
W 92-78
+12.5
7
vs
ARIZ
L 79-89
+3.5
10
vs
OKST
L 83-92
−10.5
1
vs
OU
L 86-90
+5.5
covered 17didn’t cover 16avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MTST
W 84-78
+13.5
8
vs
EWU
W 102-97
+46.5
14
vs
PROV
W 97-88
+21.5
17
vs
ALST
W 94-66
+3.5
21
vs
UCD
W 95-79
+21.5
27
vs
SF
W 79-69
−2.5
28
vs
WASH
W 81-68
−2.5
1
vs
CBU
W 78-70
−2.5
6
@
CSU
L 86-91
+27.5
13
vs
UTSA
W 88-64
−2.5
17
vs
PRST
W 84-73
+6.5
20
vs
STAN
L 68-77
−9.5
28
vs
UNCO
L 81-86
+8.5
3
@
ASU
W 95-89
+27.5
7
vs
UTAH
W 85-73
−4.5
10
vs
TTU
L 71-73
−17.5
14
@
CIN
L 68-77
−0.5
17
@
WVU
L 61-72
−8.5
20
vs
KU
L 69-75
−11.5
24
vs
UCF
L 86-95
+21.5
29
@
ISU
L 67-97
+11.5
1
vs
TCU
W 87-61
−5.5
4
@
BAY
L 67-86
−2.5
7
vs
ASU
W 78-70
−10.5
11
@
TTU
L 44-78
−33.5
14
@
BYU
L 86-90
+14.5
21
vs
OKST
W 83-69
−10.5
25
vs
KSU
W 79-70
−14.5
28
@
HOU
L 62-102
+24.5
3
@
UTAH
W 92-78
+21.5
7
vs
ARIZ
L 79-89
+11.5
10
vs
OKST
L 83-92
+10.5
1
vs
OU
L 86-90
+13.5
over 17under 16avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado has the better starters
Position by position: Abilene Chrstn 0, Colorado 2, even 3
Abilene ChrstnBetterColorado
G N. Bolanga TR11.6 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 38
→COLOBig
G B. Hargress14.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 93
G Y. Rivera7.4 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.3 ast
Score 41
→COLOBig
F J. Neely TR17.7 pts · 11.4 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 96
G I. Dye1.7 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast
Not ranked
=No call
F I. Niagu TR4.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 42
G E. Boisdur TR1.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.3 ast
Not ranked
=No call
F D. Gomez TR5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast
Not ranked
F C. Hornecker5.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 48
=Even
C N. Feddersen TR9 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast
Score 59
Abilene ChrstnBetterColorado
ACU offense298th of 366 · -9.2
→COLOBig
COLO defense80th of 366 · +0.3
ACU defense200th of 366 · -5.0
→COLOBig
COLO offense54th of 366 · +3.2
Backcourt-3.6 · 4 players
→COLOBig
Backcourt+3.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
→COLOBig
Frontcourt+5.3 · 4 players
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
←ACUSmall
Bench-2.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestACU betterCOLO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
N. Bolanga34 min · TRY. Rivera25 minI. Dye6 minE. Boisdur6 min · TRT. Pons5 min · TRI. Neyhart3 min
Forwards
C. Hornecker16 minV. Yimga MoukouriNewS. RowleyNewW. Marie-AnaisNew
Guards
B. Hargress33 minJ. Sanders18 minJ. Holland18 minI. Inman10 minA. JonesNewR. PortelaNew
Forwards
J. Neely33 min · TRI. Niagu21 min · TRD. Gomez20 min · TRN. Randall1 minG. MalualNewC. HillNew
Centers
N. Feddersen21 min · TRE. JacobsenNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 67.9 #313 | Points per game | 80.2 #63 |
| 0.98 #340 | Points per possession | 1.13 #80 |
| 69.2 #167 | Pace (possessions) | 71.0 #76 |
| Shooting | ||
| 47.5 #326 | Effective FG% | 52.9 #108 |
| 31.0 #319 | 3-point % | 35.1 #104 |
| 32.8 #318 | 3-point attempt rate | 35.2 #267 |
| 41.7 #34 | Free throw rate | 36.6 #139 |
| Possessions | ||
| 20.8 #356 | Turnover rate | 14.7 #46 |
| 31.0 #164 | Offensive rebound rate | 29.0 #235 |
| 12.5 #249 | Assists per game | 15.4 #67 |
| Defense | ||
| 73.9 #151 | Points allowed | 79.8 #313 |
| 1.07 #123 | Points allowed per possession | 1.12 #272 |
| 56.5 #352 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.6 #243 |
| 40.9 #365 | Opponent 3-point % | 36.3 #319 |
| 23.4 #3 | Turnovers forced | 15.2 #267 |
| 70.9 #113 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.4 #144 |
| 9.6 #4 | Steals per game | 6.3 #196 |
| 2.6 #298 | Blocks per game | 3.3 #170 |
Abilene Chrstn
11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Utah Tech74–80
- Wvs Tarleton St84–78
- Lvs UT Arlington57–64
- L@ CA Baptist48–87
- L@ Utah Valley67–74
A week or more of rest.
Colorado
17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Oklahoma86–90
- Lvs Oklahoma St83–92
- Lvs Arizona79–89
- W@ Utah92–78
- L@ Houston62–102
A week or more of rest.