CU Events Center · at Colorado
#254ACUAbilene Chrstn
@
#65COLOColorado
LineCOLO -18.5moved 1 toward COLO
Total152.5no move
Season records: Abilene Chrstn and Colorado
ACUThis seasonCOLO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COLO 85–64 · win probability COLO 97%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
COLO -18.5
moved 1 toward COLO
Total
152.5
model 148.7 · Under by 4
Model edge
COLO by 3
model vs market
Public on the spread
98% ACU
92% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COLO has more of the edges

ACU 1, COLO 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
COLOBig
ACU offense vs COLO defense
Offense 298th of 366 against a defense 80th, on the model’s ratings
COLOBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: ACU 47.5 and allows 56.5; COLO 52.9 and allows 52.6
COLOBig
COLO offense vs ACU defense
Offense 54th of 366 against a defense 200th, on the model’s ratings
COLOBig
Three-pointers
ACU hits 31.0% and allows 40.9%; COLO hits 35.1% and allows 36.3%. Threes are 32.8% and 35.2% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
ACU has played the 183rd-hardest schedule, COLO the 58th. A record against a soft schedule means less
COLOSmall
Home court
COLO at home. This season: COLO 0-0 at home, ACU 0-0 away
ACUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ACU 31.0%, COLO 29.0%. Defensive: ACU 70.9%, COLO 70.4%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: ACU plays 69.2 a game (167th fastest), COLO 71.0 (76th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ACU 25%, COLO 40%. Transfers in: ACU 3, COLO 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ACU 20.8%, COLO 14.7%. Forced: ACU 23.4%, COLO 15.2%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: ACU 41.7, COLO 36.6. Allowed: ACU 53.5, COLO 36.6

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 15 to 19.599394%48%52%
Non-conference games at this spread63293%49%53%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 150 to 154.5275575%51%50%

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward COLO
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
ACU +1200 · COLO -3200
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened COLO -17.5 · now COLO -18 · moved 0.5 toward COLOmodel COLO -21.5
Opened 152.5 · now 152 · moved 0.5 downmodel 148.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
ACU +18.5SpreadCOLO -18.5
Bets
Money
Over 152.5TotalUnder 152.5
Bets
Money
ACUWinnerCOLO
Bets
Money

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
ACUCOLOOverUnderACUCOLO
BetMGMMGM-18.5-110+18.5-110152.5-105152.5-115+1200-3000
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-18-105+18-115152-110152-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-18.5-112+18.5-114151.5-122151.5-104+1150-3335
BetUSBetUS-18-105+18-115152-110152-110——
BovadaBovada-18-105+18-115152-110152-110+1100-2800
DraftKingsDK-18.5-110+18.5-110152.5-110152.5-110+1400-3200
FanDuelFD-17.5-102+17.5-120152.5-110152.5-110+1400-4000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-18-101+18-111152-108152-108——

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadCOLO -18.5COLO -21.3COLO +2.8
Total152.5148.7Under 3.8
Projected score—ACU 63.7 · COLO 85

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadCOLO -12.5—
1H total69.5—
1H projected scoreACU 28.5 · COLO 41—

Colorado has the better starters

Position by position: Abilene Chrstn 0, Colorado 2, even 3
Abilene ChrstnBetterColorado
G N. Bolanga TR11.6 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 38
COLOBig
G B. Hargress14.7 pts · 2.2 reb · 4.5 ast Score 93
G Y. Rivera7.4 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 41
COLOBig
F J. Neely TR17.7 pts · 11.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 96
G I. Dye1.7 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F I. Niagu TR4.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 42
G E. Boisdur TR1.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Gomez TR5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
F C. Hornecker5.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 48
Even
C N. Feddersen TR9 pts · 5 reb · 1 ast Score 59
Abilene ChrstnBetterColorado
ACU offense298th of 366 · -9.2
COLOBig
COLO defense80th of 366 · +0.3
ACU defense200th of 366 · -5.0
COLOBig
COLO offense54th of 366 · +3.2
Backcourt-3.6 · 4 players
COLOBig
Backcourt+3.6 · 1 player
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
COLOBig
Frontcourt+5.3 · 4 players
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
ACUSmall
Bench-2.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestACU betterCOLO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Abilene Chrstn
Guards
N. Bolanga34 min · TRY. Rivera25 minI. Dye6 minE. Boisdur6 min · TRT. Pons5 min · TRI. Neyhart3 min
Forwards
C. Hornecker16 minV. Yimga MoukouriNewS. RowleyNewW. Marie-AnaisNew
Colorado
Guards
B. Hargress33 minJ. Sanders18 minJ. Holland18 minI. Inman10 minA. JonesNewR. PortelaNew
Forwards
J. Neely33 min · TRI. Niagu21 min · TRD. Gomez20 min · TRN. Randall1 minG. MalualNewC. HillNew
Centers
N. Feddersen21 min · TRE. JacobsenNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ACUCOLO
Scoring
67.9 #313Points per game80.2 #63
0.98 #340Points per possession1.13 #80
69.2 #167Pace (possessions)71.0 #76
Shooting
47.5 #326Effective FG%52.9 #108
31.0 #3193-point %35.1 #104
32.8 #3183-point attempt rate35.2 #267
41.7 #34Free throw rate36.6 #139
Possessions
20.8 #356Turnover rate14.7 #46
31.0 #164Offensive rebound rate29.0 #235
12.5 #249Assists per game15.4 #67
Defense
73.9 #151Points allowed79.8 #313
1.07 #123Points allowed per possession1.12 #272
56.5 #352Opponent effective FG%52.6 #243
40.9 #365Opponent 3-point %36.3 #319
23.4 #3Turnovers forced15.2 #267
70.9 #113Defensive rebound rate70.4 #144
9.6 #4Steals per game6.3 #196
2.6 #298Blocks per game3.3 #170

Abilene Chrstn

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Utah Tech74–80
  • Wvs Tarleton St84–78
  • Lvs UT Arlington57–64
  • L@ CA Baptist48–87
  • L@ Utah Valley67–74

A week or more of rest.

Colorado

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Oklahoma86–90
  • Lvs Oklahoma St83–92
  • Lvs Arizona79–89
  • W@ Utah92–78
  • L@ Houston62–102

A week or more of rest.