1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 2
  3. WEB @ ORST
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 2

Weber State Wildcats at Oregon State Beavers

Gill Coliseum · at Oregon St
#313WEBWeber St
@
#99ORSTOregon St
LineORST -17.5no move
Total158.5up 4 from 154.5
WEBThis seasonORST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ORST 85–67 · win probability ORST 94%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
ORST -17.5
no move since the open
Total
158.5
model 151.7 · Under by 7
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public on the spread
97% WEB
97% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: ORST has more of the edges

WEB 2, ORST 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ORSTBig
ORST offense vs WEB defense
Offense 95th of 366 against a defense 336th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
WEB has played the 316th-hardest schedule, ORST the 120th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WEBBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WEB 31.8%, ORST 26.8%. Defensive: WEB 72.3%, ORST 67.9%
ORSTBig
WEB offense vs ORST defense
Offense 280th of 366 against a defense 109th, on the model’s ratings
WEBSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WEB 15.7%, ORST 17.7%. Forced: WEB 16.3%, ORST 15.3%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: WEB plays 70.7 a game (85th fastest), ORST 67.2 (272nd). Faster games mean more points
ORSTSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: WEB 51.7 and allows 54.5; ORST 50.5 and allows 50.3
ORSTSmall
Home court
ORST at home. This season: ORST 0-0 at home, WEB 0-0 away
ORSTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: WEB 39.1, ORST 43.1. Allowed: WEB 36.4, ORST 35.1
Even
Three-pointers
WEB hits 34.5% and allows 33.5%; ORST hits 35.0% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 32.8% and 44.3% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WEB 9%, ORST 17%. Transfers in: WEB 2, ORST 9. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 15 to 19.599394%48%52%
Non-conference games at this spread63293%49%53%
Games with a total of 155 to 159.5155574%51%49%
A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
WEB +900 · ORST -2000
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened ORST -17.5 · unchangedmodel ORST -18
Opened 154.5 · now 159 · moved 4.5 upmodel 151.5
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
WEB +17.5SpreadORST -17.5
Bets
Money
Over 158.5TotalUnder 158.5
Bets
Money
WEBWinnerORST
Bets
Money
Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read . ⓘ

Books

8 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
WEBORSTOverUnderWEBORST
BetMGMMGM-17.5-110+17.5-110159.5-105159.5-115+1050-2500
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-17.5-110+17.5-110159-113159-107——
BetRiversBetRivers-16.5-108+16.5-118159.5-109159.5-117+900-2000
BetUSBetUS-17.5-110+17.5-110159-115159-105——
BovadaBovada-17.5-110+17.5-110159-110159-110+900-1900
DraftKingsDK-17.5-110+17.5-110155.5-115155.5-105+900-1600
FanDuelFD-16.5-102+16.5-120158.5-115158.5-105+1200-3000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-17.5-106+17.5-106159-111159-105——
Prices from The Odds API, updated 2:00 AM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadORST -17.5ORST -17.8ORST +0.3
Total158.5151.7Under 6.8
Projected score—WEB 67 · ORST 84.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadORST -10.5—
1H total70.9—
1H projected scoreWEB 30.2 · ORST 40.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Oregon St has the better starters

Position by position: Weber St 0, Oregon St 1, even 4
Weber StBetterOregon St
G A. Grayson3.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1 ast Score 6
ORSTBig
G J. Lake13.1 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.2 ast Score 87
F B. Felder TR2.3 pts · 1.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Freitag TR20 pts · 4.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 93
F D. Thompson NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G L. Smiley TR7.8 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.6 ast Score 52
C A. Ekwe TR2.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F J. Rasmussen TR13 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.3 ast Score 43
C D. Cutler1.2 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
No call
F D. Gory TR13.7 pts · 6.3 reb · 2 ast Score 80
Weber StBetterOregon St
WEB offense280th of 366 · -8.6
ORSTBig
ORST defense109th of 366 · -1.1
WEB defense336th of 366 · -8.9
ORSTBig
ORST offense95th of 366 · -0.7
Backcourt-1.7 · 1 player
ORSTBig
Backcourt+5.7 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.8 · 4 players
ORSTSmall
Frontcourt+1.1 · 2 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestWEB betterORST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Weber St
Guards
A. Grayson12 minA. JacksonNewA. PowellNewM. AbittanNewS. Marius JonesNewH. HansenNew
Forwards
B. Felder6 min · TRD. ThompsonNewD. WarlickNewC. BurgessNew
Centers
A. Ekwe10 min · TRD. Cutler6 min
Oregon St
Guards
J. Lake34 minD. Freitag34 min · TRL. Smiley21 min · TRC. Johnson16 min · TRS. Blakely Drummond1 min · TRJ. LakeNew
Forwards
J. Rasmussen32 min · TRD. Gory30 min · TRP. Pinnis4 min · TRK. TreacherNew
Centers
D. Evans9 min · TRX. Staton5 min · TRY. AklogNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WEBORST
Scoring
78.8 #82Points per game71.1 #264
1.11 #112Points per possession1.06 #232
70.7 #85Pace (possessions)67.2 #272
Shooting
51.7 #163Effective FG%50.5 #216
34.5 #1433-point %35.0 #115
32.8 #3203-point attempt rate44.3 #84
39.1 #76Free throw rate43.1 #20
Possessions
15.7 #115Turnover rate17.7 #254
31.8 #132Offensive rebound rate26.8 #303
12.6 #241Assists per game13.8 #159
Defense
79.1 #300Points allowed74.2 #159
1.12 #269Points allowed per possession1.10 #223
54.5 #316Opponent effective FG%50.3 #119
33.5 #160Opponent 3-point %32.9 #116
16.3 #204Turnovers forced15.3 #264
72.3 #56Defensive rebound rate67.9 #265
6.9 #133Steals per game5.5 #293
1.5 #360Blocks per game3.7 #115
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Weber St

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Sky Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Washington79–84
  • L@ Portland St60–84
  • W@ Idaho St83–73
  • Wvs Montana92–72
  • Wvs Montana St82–79

A week or more of rest.

Oregon St

17-16 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Pac-12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga56–65
  • Wvs San Francisco78–77
  • L@ Santa Clara72–93
  • Wvs San Diego92–82
  • Wvs Pepperdine83–73

A week or more of rest.