1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 7
  3. LAM @ ACU
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 7

Lamar Cardinals at Abilene Christian Wildcats

Moody Coliseum (Abilene) · at Abilene Chrstn
#293LAMLamar
@
#254ACUAbilene Chrstn
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
LAMThis seasonACU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects ACU 71–68 · win probability ACU 63%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 138.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

LAM 4, ACU 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
ACUBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: LAM 27.9, ACU 41.7. Allowed: LAM 44.4, ACU 53.5
Context
Schedule so far
LAM has played the 328th-hardest schedule, ACU the 183rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
ACUBig
LAM offense vs ACU defense
Offense 334th of 366 against a defense 200th, on the model’s ratings
LAMSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: LAM 47.8 and allows 50.9; ACU 47.5 and allows 56.5
LAMSmall
Three-pointers
LAM hits 32.9% and allows 35.3%; ACU hits 31.0% and allows 40.9%. Threes are 33.9% and 32.8% of their shots
LAMSmall
ACU offense vs LAM defense
Offense 298th of 366 against a defense 213th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: LAM plays 66.1 a game (311th fastest), ACU 69.2 (167th). Faster games mean more points
LAMSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LAM 35.7%, ACU 31.0%. Defensive: LAM 70.6%, ACU 70.9%
ACUSmall
Home court
ACU at home. This season: ACU 0-0 at home, LAM 0-0 away
ACUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LAM 0%, ACU 25%. Transfers in: LAM 6, ACU 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LAM 18.1%, ACU 20.8%. Forced: LAM 17.3%, ACU 23.4%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—ACU -3.8—
Total—138.7—
Projected score—LAM 67.5 · ACU 71.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadACU -2.1—
1H total64.9—
1H projected scoreLAM 31.4 · ACU 33.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Abilene Chrstn has the better starters

Position by position: Lamar 0, Abilene Chrstn 2, even 3
LamarBetterAbilene Chrstn
G F. Radakovic TR9.7 pts · 4.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 38
Even
G N. Bolanga TR11.6 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 38
G N. Moretti TR5.9 pts · 2 reb · 3.2 ast Score 24
ACUSmall
G Y. Rivera7.4 pts · 1.5 reb · 2.3 ast Score 41
G Q. Berry TR6.1 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.2 ast Score 61
No call
G I. Dye1.7 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked
G M. Collins TR1.4 pts · 0.7 reb · 1 ast Score 12
No call
G E. Boisdur TR1.3 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
F M. Ljubicic TR5.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 7
ACUBig
F C. Hornecker5.2 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 48
LamarBetterAbilene Chrstn
LAM offense334th of 366 · -10.9
ACUBig
ACU defense200th of 366 · -5.0
LAM defense213th of 366 · -5.4
LAMSmall
ACU offense298th of 366 · -9.2
Backcourt-4.6 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-3.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-2.4 · 1 player
ACUSmall
Frontcourt-0.2 · 1 player
Bench-0.8 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestLAM betterACU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Lamar
Guards
F. Radakovic27 min · TRN. Moretti27 min · TRQ. Berry18 min · TRM. Collins9 min · TRJ. JonesNewS. LynchNew
Forwards
M. Ljubicic20 min · TRM. Reed7 min · TRC. HinkerNewA. AgotNewD. EasonNew
Abilene Chrstn
Guards
N. Bolanga34 min · TRY. Rivera25 minI. Dye6 minE. Boisdur6 min · TRT. Pons5 min · TRI. Neyhart3 min
Forwards
C. Hornecker16 minV. Yimga MoukouriNewS. RowleyNewW. Marie-AnaisNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
LAMACU
Scoring
68.4 #308Points per game67.9 #313
1.04 #279Points per possession0.98 #340
66.1 #311Pace (possessions)69.2 #167
Shooting
47.8 #318Effective FG%47.5 #326
32.9 #2383-point %31.0 #319
33.9 #2973-point attempt rate32.8 #318
27.9 #344Free throw rate41.7 #34
Possessions
18.1 #273Turnover rate20.8 #356
35.7 #31Offensive rebound rate31.0 #164
13.9 #157Assists per game12.5 #249
Defense
70.5 #64Points allowed73.9 #151
1.07 #122Points allowed per possession1.07 #123
50.9 #153Opponent effective FG%56.5 #352
35.3 #266Opponent 3-point %40.9 #365
17.3 #130Turnovers forced23.4 #3
70.6 #130Defensive rebound rate70.9 #113
6.1 #227Steals per game9.6 #4
4.2 #54Blocks per game2.6 #298
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Lamar

10-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Southland Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Hou Christian53–75
  • L@ Incarnate Word60–72
  • Lvs Nicholls52–53
  • Lvs LSU N Orleans71–77
  • L@ UT Rio Grande65–70

A week or more of rest.

Abilene Chrstn

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 6-14 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Utah Tech74–80
  • Wvs Tarleton St84–78
  • Lvs UT Arlington57–64
  • L@ CA Baptist48–87
  • L@ Utah Valley67–74

A week or more of rest.