Enterprise Center · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
PUR -25.5✓ PUR covered by 7.5
PUR -25.5✓ PUR covered by 7.5Closing total159.5Over by 15.5
 QUC | This season | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| 20-13 | Record | 27-8 |
| 15-18 | ATS | 15-20 |
| 21-12 | O/U | 17-18 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUC 69–95 PUR · ✓ PUR (99%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 33 | 38 | 71 |
| PUR | 45 | 59 | 104 |
1st half: QUC 33, PUR 45 (PUR by 12). The model had PUR by 15.4 and a total of 76.3 (actual 78).
Team stats
| QUC | PUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-65 46% | Field goals | 41-65 63% |
| 7-25 28% | 3-pointers | 14-24 58% |
| 4-5 80% | Free throws | 8-12 67% |
| 19 8 off | Rebounds | 41 15 off |
| 20 | Assists | 24 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Ashby G | 33 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Yoav Berman F | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-4 |
| Nasir Mann G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 5-10 | 0-3 |
| Carson Schwieger F | 25 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Avantae Parker F | 18 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Watford G | 25 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Maban Jabriel G | 21 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Gus Larson F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henry G | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kam Clark G | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Reid Celestin F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Crider, Saif-Allah Zatari, Seamus Wilson, Jimma James, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Matthew Walter, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly
| PUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braden Smith G | 32 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 10-15 | 4-6 |
| Trey Kaufman-Renn F | 25 | 25 | 9 | 3 | 12-18 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Cox G | 25 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Fletcher Loyer G | 25 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 4-8 |
| Oscar Cluff C | 22 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Benter G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Gicarri Harris G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Omer Mayer G | 17 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Daniel Jacobsen C | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Liam Murphy F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Jack Lusk, Aaron Fine, Raleigh Burgess, Sam King, Jace Rayl, Antione West Jr
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPUR -25.5
ModelPUR -26.1
Model edgePUR +0.6
W PUR covered
Total
Market159.5
Model163.4
Model edgeOver 3.9
W Over
Projected score
QUC 68.7 · PUR 94.7
QUC 71 · PUR 104
Win probability
PUR 99%
1st half
Spread
PUR -15.4
PUR -12.0
Total
76.3
78 points
Projected score
QUC 30.5 · PUR 45.8
QUC 33 · PUR 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPUR -23.5
2 → PUR
ClosePUR -25.5
2 pts toward PUR
Total
Open165.5
▼ 6
Close159.5
Down 6 since the open
Moneyline
QUC +2200 · PUR -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PUR -23.5 · closed PUR -25.5 · moved 2 toward PURmodel PUR -26
model PUR -26
Opened 165.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 6 downmodel 163.5
model 163.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| PUR | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Queens University Royals
33 games played
Straight up
20-13
61% wins
Against the spread
15-18
45% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-12
64% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIN | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ VILL | L 74-94 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ DUQ | L 81-87 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHU | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNCG | W 101-94 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | @ FUR | L 79-90 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 28 | @ UVA | L 69-94 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | vs GWEB | W 107-74 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 12 | vs SCST | W 102-78 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ WAKE | L 73-111 | +18.5 | L −19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 16 | @ ARK | L 80-108 | +23.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ AUB | L 65-106 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 1 | vs EKU | W 91-89 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs BELL | W 98-76 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 169.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 8 | @ JAX | W 77-51 | -4.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNF | W 89-82 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 15 | @ FGCU | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 17 | @ STET | W 87-81 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNA | W 87-62 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @ WGA | L 66-74 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 28 | vs CARK | L 90-100 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 31 | @BELL | L 75-78 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 5 | vsJAX | W 93-84 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | vsUNF | W 91-72 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 11 | vs APSU | L 87-95 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 14 | vs LIP | W 87-81 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @UNA | W 85-78 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | vsWGA | W 91-84 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 25 | @EKU | W 96-79 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 28 | @CARK | L 79-84 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Mar 6 | vsWGA | W 71-63 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 7 | vsAPSU | W 90-83 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 8 | vsCARK | W 98-93 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 157.5 | O 191 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−3.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
−2.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+6.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
+11.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
−0.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
−2.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+0.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+18.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
−19.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
−4.5
29
@AUB
AUBL 65-106
−15.5
1
vsEKU
EKUW 91-89
−2.5
3
vsBELL
BELLW 98-76
+14.5
8
@JAX
JAXW 77-51
+21.5
10
@UNF
UNFW 89-82
−4.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUW 85-74
+12.5
17
@STET
STETW 87-81
−4.5
21
vsUNA
UNAW 87-62
+12.5
24
@WGA
WGAL 66-74
−15.5
28
vsCARK
CARKL 90-100
−15.5
31
@BELL
BELLL 75-78
−8.5
5
vsJAX
JAXW 93-84
+0.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 91-72
+3.5
11
vsAPSU
APSUL 87-95
−10.5
14
vsLIP
LIPW 87-81
+2.5
18
@UNA
UNAW 85-78
−1.5
21
vsWGA
WGAW 91-84
−4.5
25
@EKU
EKUW 96-79
+14.5
28
@CARK
CARKL 79-84
−2.5
6
vsWGA
WGAW 71-63
−0.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 90-83
+9.5
8
vsCARK
CARKW 98-93
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 18avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−8.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
+17.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+5.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
−20.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
+44.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
+15.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+2.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+19.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+22.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
+18.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
+18.5
29
@AUB
AUBL 65-106
−0.5
1
vsEKU
EKUW 91-89
+15.5
3
vsBELL
BELLW 98-76
+4.5
8
@JAX
JAXW 77-51
−26.5
10
@UNF
UNFW 89-82
−2.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUW 85-74
−7.5
17
@STET
STETW 87-81
+5.5
21
vsUNA
UNAW 87-62
−13.5
24
@WGA
WGAL 66-74
−22.5
28
vsCARK
CARKL 90-100
+31.5
31
@BELL
BELLL 75-78
−10.5
5
vsJAX
JAXW 93-84
+30.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 91-72
−15.5
11
vsAPSU
APSUL 87-95
+20.5
14
vsLIP
LIPW 87-81
+2.5
18
@UNA
UNAW 85-78
+6.5
21
vsWGA
WGAW 91-84
+13.5
25
@EKU
EKUW 96-79
+9.5
28
@CARK
CARKL 79-84
−0.5
6
vsWGA
WGAW 71-63
−30.5
7
vsAPSU
APSUW 90-83
+11.5
8
vsCARK
CARKW 98-93
+33.5
over 21under 12avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Purdue
35 games played
Straight up
27-8
77% wins
Against the spread
15-20
43% covers · avg −0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-18
49% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs EVAN | W 82-51 | -33.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 7 | vs OAK | W 87-77 | -31.5 | L −21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ ALA | W 87-80 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 172.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs AKR | W 97-79 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 20 | vs MEM | W 80-71 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 21 | vs TTU | W 86-56 | -3.5 | W +26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | vs EIU | W 109-62 | -40.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 2 | @ RUTG | W 81-65 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | vs ISU | L 58-81 | -4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs MINN | W 85-57 | -19.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs MARQ | W 79-59 | -16.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 20 | vsAUB | W 88-60 | -7.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs KENT | W 101-60 | -24.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 3 | @ WIS | W 89-73 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 7 | vs WASH | W 81-73 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs PSU | W 93-85 | -22.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs IOWA | W 79-72 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ USC | W 69-64 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 20 | @ UCLA | L 67-69 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs ILL | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 27 | @ IU | L 67-72 | -4.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 1 | @ MD | W 93-63 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs ORE | W 68-64 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 10 | @ NEB | W 80-77 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @IOWA | W 78-57 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vs MICH | L 80-91 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 20 | vsIU | W 93-64 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 26 | vs MSU | L 74-76 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 1 | @ OSU | L 74-82 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 4 | @ NU | W 70-66 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 7 | vsWIS | L 93-97 | -9.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 190 |
| Mar 12 | vsNU | W 81-68 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 13 | vsNEB | W 74-58 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 14 | vsUCLA | W 73-66 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 15 | vsMICH | W 80-72 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−2.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
−21.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
+10.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
−0.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
+26.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+6.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
+2.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−27.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
+8.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
+3.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
+20.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+16.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+10.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−8.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
−14.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
−3.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−4.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−7.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
−11.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−9.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+14.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−15.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+5.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
+18.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
−8.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+17.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
−7.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
−14.5
4
@NU
NUW 70-66
−8.5
7
vsWIS
WISL 93-97
−13.5
12
vsNU
NUW 81-68
−0.5
13
vsNEB
NEBW 74-58
+11.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 73-66
−0.5
15
vsMICH
MICHW 80-72
+12.5
covered 15didn’t cover 20avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsEVAN
EVANW 82-51
−17.5
7
vsOAK
OAKW 87-77
+5.5
13
@ALA
ALAW 87-80
−5.5
16
vsAKR
AKRW 97-79
+12.5
20
vsMEM
MEMW 80-71
−5.5
21
vsTTU
TTUW 86-56
−11.5
28
vsEIU
EIUW 109-62
+29.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-65
−0.5
6
vsISU
ISUL 58-81
−15.5
10
vsMINN
MINNW 85-57
−1.5
13
vsMARQ
MARQW 79-59
−16.5
20
vsAUB
AUBW 88-60
−4.5
29
vsKENT
KENTW 101-60
+5.5
3
@WIS
WISW 89-73
+8.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 81-73
−0.5
10
vsPSU
PSUW 93-85
+25.5
14
vsIOWA
IOWAW 79-72
+5.5
17
@USC
USCW 69-64
−22.5
20
@UCLA
UCLAL 67-69
−11.5
24
vsILL
ILLL 82-88
+17.5
27
@IU
IUL 67-72
−11.5
1
@MD
MDW 93-63
+7.5
7
vsORE
OREW 68-64
−12.5
10
@NEB
NEBW 80-77
+10.5
14
@IOWA
IOWAW 78-57
−7.5
17
vsMICH
MICHL 80-91
+14.5
20
vsIU
IUW 93-64
+6.5
26
vsMSU
MSUL 74-76
+6.5
1
@OSU
OSUL 74-82
+6.5
4
@NU
NUW 70-66
−9.5
7
vsWIS
WISL 93-97
+35.5
12
vsNU
NUW 81-68
+9.5
13
vsNEB
NEBW 74-58
−13.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 73-66
−4.5
15
vsMICH
MICHW 80-72
+2.5
over 17under 18avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Queens University Royals
20-13 overall · 16-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs C Arkansas98–93
- Wvs Austin Peay90–83
- Wvs West Georgia71–63
- L@ C Arkansas79–84
- W@ E Kentucky96–79
A week or more of rest.
Purdue
27-8 overall · 17-7 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Michigan80–72
- Wvs UCLA73–66
- Wvs Nebraska74–58
- Wvs Northwestern81–68
- Lvs Wisconsin93–97
5 days since their last game.