Xfinity Mobile Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
UCLA -5.5✓ UCF covered by 1.5
UCLA -5.5✓ UCF covered by 1.5Closing total151.5Under by 5.5
 UCF | This season | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| 21-11 | Record | 23-11 |
| 15-17 | ATS | 17-17 |
| 13-19 | O/U | 17-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCF 76–81 UCLA · ✓ UCLA (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 27 | 44 | 71 |
| UCLA | 35 | 40 | 75 |
1st half: UCF 27, UCLA 35 (UCLA by 8). The model had UCLA by 2.9 and a total of 73.0 (actual 62).
Team stats
| UCF | UCLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-72 38% | Field goals | 27-68 40% |
| 12-32 38% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 5-16 31% | Free throws | 13-18 72% |
| 53 25 off | Rebounds | 41 15 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 9 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 34 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Burks F | 32 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 8-15 | 6-11 |
| Riley Kugel G | 28 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-7 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 28 | 10 | 13 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| John Bol C | 20 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Chris Johnson G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones, Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Jeremy Foumena, Kris Parker
| UCLA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent G | 40 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 4-17 | 0-3 |
| Trent Perry G | 37 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 4-12 | 0-4 |
| Eric Dailey Jr. F | 32 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 8-17 | 2-6 |
| Xavier Booker C | 26 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Skyy Clark G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Freeny G | 15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Steven Jamerson II F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Williams F | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jamar Brown G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Anthony Peoples Jr., Markell Alston, Christian Horry, Jack Seidler, Evan Manjikian, Tyler Bilodeau
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCLA -5.5
ModelUCLA -5.1
Model edgeUCF +0.4
W UCF covered
Total
Market151.5
Model156.2
Model edgeOver 4.7
L Under
Projected score
UCF 75.5 · UCLA 80.7
UCF 71 · UCLA 75
Win probability
UCLA 67%
1st half
Spread
UCLA -2.9
UCLA -8.0
Total
73.0
62 points
Projected score
UCF 35 · UCLA 37.9
UCF 27 · UCLA 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCLA -6.5
1 → UCF
CloseUCLA -5.5
1 pt toward UCF
Total
Open155.5
▼ 4
Close151.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
UCF +205 · UCLA -250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCLA -6.5 · closed UCLA -5.5 · moved 1 toward UCFmodel UCLA -5
model UCLA -5
Opened 155.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 4 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| UCLA | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UCF
32 games played
Straight up
21-11
66% wins
Against the spread
15-17
47% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs · avg +1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @ OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs CIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @ KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ ISU | L 57-87 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ COLO | W 95-86 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 27 | vs ASU | W 79-76 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vs TTU | W 88-80 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | @ HOU | L 55-79 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 8 | @CIN | L 72-92 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 14 | vs WVU | L 67-74 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 17 | vs TCU | W 82-71 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | @ UTAH | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 24 | @ BYU | W 97-84 | +14.5 | W +27.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
| Feb 28 | vs BAY | L 86-87 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 3 | vsOKST | L 104-111 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | O 215 |
| Mar 6 | @WVU | L 62-77 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 11 | vsCIN | W 66-65 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 12 | vsARIZ | L 59-81 | +15.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−15.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+12.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−3.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+13.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-79
−8.5
8
@CIN
CINL 72-92
−15.5
14
vsWVU
WVUL 67-74
−10.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-71
+12.5
21
@UTAH
UTAHW 73-71
+0.5
24
@BYU
BYUW 97-84
+27.5
28
vsBAY
BAYL 86-87
−2.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTL 104-111
−15.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 62-77
−10.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 66-65
+4.5
12
vsARIZ
ARIZL 59-81
−6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 17avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−12.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+21.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−6.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+8.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-79
−12.5
8
@CIN
CINL 72-92
+17.5
14
vsWVU
WVUL 67-74
+0.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-71
−1.5
21
@UTAH
UTAHW 73-71
−10.5
24
@BYU
BYUW 97-84
+18.5
28
vsBAY
BAYL 86-87
+13.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTL 104-111
+47.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 62-77
−3.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 66-65
−18.5
12
vsARIZ
ARIZL 59-81
−19.5
over 13under 19avg +1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCLA
34 games played
Straight up
23-11
68% wins
Against the spread
17-17
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-17
50% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs EWU | W 80-74 | -29.5 | L −23.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 7 | vs PEPP | W 74-63 | -29.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 10 | vs WGA | W 83-62 | -30.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | vsARIZ | L 65-69 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 18 | vs SAC | W 79-48 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs PRES | W 86-46 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs CAL | L 72-80 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ WASH | W 82-80 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs ORE | W 74-63 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 13 | vs GONZ | L 72-82 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 17 | vsASU | W 90-77 | -9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 19 | vs CP | W 108-87 | -24.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 23 | vs UCR | W 97-65 | -24.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ IOWA | L 61-74 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ WIS | L 72-80 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 10 | vs MD | W 67-55 | -13.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 14 | @ PSU | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 17 | @ OSU | L 74-86 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs PUR | W 69-67 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vs NU | W 71-64 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 28 | @ORE | W 73-57 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 31 | vs IU | L 97-98 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 3 | vs RUTG | W 98-66 | -13.5 | W +18.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vsWASH | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ MICH | L 56-86 | +15.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | @ MSU | L 59-82 | +8.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 21 | vs ILL | W 95-94 | +6.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 189 |
| Feb 24 | vs USC | W 81-62 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 28 | @ MINN | L 73-78 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 3 | vs NEB | W 72-52 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 7 | @USC | W 89-68 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 12 | vsRUTG | W 72-59 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 13 | vsMSU | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Mar 14 | vsPUR | L 66-73 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
−23.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−18.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−9.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−2.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
+3.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+14.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
−15.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
−0.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
+2.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+0.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+3.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
−3.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+7.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−6.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−4.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−1.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
+6.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
−7.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
+7.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−0.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
+11.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
−4.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+18.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
−0.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
17
@MSU
MSUL 59-82
−14.5
21
vsILL
ILLW 95-94
+7.5
24
vsUSC
USCW 81-62
+12.5
28
@MINN
MINNL 73-78
−6.5
3
vsNEB
NEBW 72-52
+18.5
7
@USC
USCW 89-68
+16.5
12
vsRUTG
RUTGW 72-59
+2.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 88-84
+9.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 66-73
+0.5
covered 17didn’t cover 17avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsEWU
EWUW 80-74
+4.5
7
vsPEPP
PEPPW 74-63
−15.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 83-62
−1.5
14
vsARIZ
ARIZL 65-69
−19.5
18
vsSAC
SACW 79-48
−19.5
21
vsPRES
PRESW 86-46
+0.5
25
vsCAL
CALL 72-80
+8.5
3
@WASH
WASHW 82-80
+20.5
6
vsORE
OREW 74-63
−9.5
13
vsGONZ
GONZL 72-82
+6.5
17
vsASU
ASUW 90-77
+24.5
19
vsCP
CPW 108-87
+33.5
23
vsUCR
UCRW 97-65
+13.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 61-74
−5.5
6
@WIS
WISL 72-80
−0.5
10
vsMD
MDW 67-55
−25.5
14
@PSU
PSUW 71-60
−17.5
17
@OSU
OSUL 74-86
+13.5
20
vsPUR
PURW 69-67
−11.5
24
vsNU
NUW 71-64
−8.5
28
@ORE
OREW 73-57
−6.5
31
vsIU
IUL 97-98
+50.5
3
vsRUTG
RUTGW 98-66
+21.5
7
vsWASH
WASHW 77-73
+5.5
14
@MICH
MICHL 56-86
−14.5
17
@MSU
MSUL 59-82
+1.5
21
vsILL
ILLW 95-94
+42.5
24
vsUSC
USCW 81-62
−7.5
28
@MINN
MINNL 73-78
+14.5
3
vsNEB
NEBW 72-52
−20.5
7
@USC
USCW 89-68
+5.5
12
vsRUTG
RUTGW 72-59
−10.5
13
vsMSU
MSUW 88-84
+30.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 66-73
−4.5
over 17under 17avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UCF
21-11 overall · 10-10 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona59–81
- Wvs Cincinnati66–65
- L@ West Virginia62–77
- Lvs Oklahoma St104–111
- Lvs Baylor86–87
A week or more of rest.
UCLA
23-11 overall · 15-8 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue66–73
- Wvs Michigan St88–84
- Wvs Rutgers72–59
- W@ USC89–68
- Wvs Nebraska72–52
6 days since their last game.