Bon Secours Wellness Arena · Neutral site · NCAA Tournament
Closing line
OSU -2.5✓ TCU covered by 4.5
OSU -2.5✓ TCU covered by 4.5Closing total145.5Under by 15.5
 TCU | This season | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| 22-11 | Record | 21-12 |
| 18-15 | ATS | 18-15 |
| 15-18 | O/U | 16-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TCU 75–77 OSU · ✗ OSU (59%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 39 | 27 | 66 |
| OSU | 24 | 40 | 64 |
1st half: TCU 39, OSU 24 (TCU by 15). The model had OSU by 1.5 and a total of 71.0 (actual 63).
Team stats
| TCU | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-60 40% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 6-23 26% |
| 9-14 64% | Free throws | 10-11 91% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Robinson G | 37 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 6-11 | 4-6 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 36 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-3 |
| Brock Harding G | 29 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| David Punch F | 28 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 25 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 28 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Tanner Toolson G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ashton Simmons, Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart, RJ Jones, Trey Stuart, Malick Diallo, Jace Posey, Kayden Edwards
| OSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Thornton G | 40 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Devin Royal F | 39 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| John Mobley Jr. G | 39 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6-17 | 3-11 |
| Amare Bynum F | 35 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 5-8 | 0-3 |
| Christoph Tilly C | 31 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 4-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Taison Chatman G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Cupps G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Brandon Noel F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ivan Njegovan C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mathieu Grujicic, Myles Herro, Braylen Nash, Puff Johnson, Colin White, Josh Ojianwuna
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOSU -2.5
ModelOSU -2.7
Model edgeOSU +0.2
L TCU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model151.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
L Under
Projected score
TCU 74.6 · OSU 77.3
TCU 66 · OSU 64
Win probability
OSU 59%
1st half
Spread
OSU -1.5
TCU -15.0
Total
71.0
63 points
Projected score
TCU 34.8 · OSU 36.3
TCU 39 · OSU 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOSU -4.5
2 → TCU
CloseOSU -2.5
2 pts toward TCU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TCU +120 · OSU -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OSU -4.5 · closed OSU -2.5 · moved 2 toward TCUmodel OSU -2.5 matches the line
model OSU -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
| OSU | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
TCU
33 games played
Straight up
22-11
67% wins
Against the spread
18-15
55% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-18
45% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Against the spread
18-1555%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 5 | vs ND | L 85-87 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 7 | @ UNT | W 65-55 | -9.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 15 | vs UIW | W 69-65 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 18 | vs ORU | W 72-53 | -23.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAMU | W 80-56 | -29.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 29 | vs JKST | W 115-64 | -30.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs BAY | W 69-63 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 6 | @ KU | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARIZ | L 73-86 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | @ BYU | L 70-76 | +13.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ UTAH | L 79-82 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 20 | vs OKST | W 68-65 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 161.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 24 | @BAY | W 97-90 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | vs HOU | L 70-79 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 1 | @ COLO | L 61-87 | -1.5 | L −27.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 7 | vs KSU | W 84-82 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 10 | vs ISU | W 62-55 | +7.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | @OKST | W 95-92 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 156.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 17 | @ UCF | L 71-82 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | vs WVU | W 60-54 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 24 | vs ASU | W 90-78 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @KSU | W 77-68 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ TTU | W 73-65 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 7 | vs CIN | W 73-63 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Mar 11 | vsOKST | W 95-88 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 12 | vsKU | L 73-78 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
−8.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
+0.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−15.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−4.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−5.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+20.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
+3.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+2.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
−5.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
+7.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
−7.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−5.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+11.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
−0.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−27.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
−7.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
+14.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+1.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 71-82
−12.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 60-54
+1.5
24
vsASU
ASUW 90-78
+5.5
28
@KSU
KSUW 77-68
+5.5
3
@TTU
TTUW 73-65
+16.5
7
vsCIN
CINW 73-63
+7.5
11
vsOKST
OKSTW 95-88
−0.5
12
vsKU
KUL 73-78
−0.5
covered 18didn’t cover 15avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
5
vsND
NDL 85-87
+30.5
7
@UNT
UNTW 65-55
−15.5
15
vsUIW
UIWW 69-65
−9.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 72-53
−22.5
21
vsFAMU
FAMUW 80-56
−6.5
29
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-64
+35.5
3
vsBAY
BAYW 69-63
−22.5
6
@KU
KUL 100-104
+60.5
10
vsARIZ
ARIZL 73-86
+1.5
14
@BYU
BYUL 70-76
−16.5
17
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-82
+6.5
20
vsOKST
OKSTW 68-65
−28.5
24
@BAY
BAYW 97-90
+39.5
28
vsHOU
HOUL 70-79
+9.5
1
@COLO
COLOL 61-87
−5.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 84-82
+10.5
10
vsISU
ISUW 62-55
−30.5
14
@OKST
OKSTW 95-92
+30.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 71-82
−1.5
21
vsWVU
WVUW 60-54
−19.5
24
vsASU
ASUW 90-78
+18.5
28
@KSU
KSUW 77-68
−14.5
3
@TTU
TTUW 73-65
−9.5
7
vsCIN
CINW 73-63
−4.5
11
vsOKST
OKSTW 95-88
+24.5
12
vsKU
KUL 73-78
+4.5
over 15under 18avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio State
33 games played
Straight up
21-12
64% wins
Against the spread
18-15
55% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-17
48% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs IUIN | W 118-102 | -33.5 | L −17.5 | 172.5 | O 220 |
| Nov 7 | vs PFW | W 94-68 | -24.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs APP | W 75-53 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | vsND | W 64-63 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 20 | vs WMU | W 91-58 | -26.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSM | W 113-60 | -30.5 | W +22.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 28 | @ PITT | L 66-67 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ NU | W 86-82 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 9 | vs ILL | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 13 | vsWVU | W 89-88 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 20 | vs UNC | L 70-71 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 23 | vs GRAM | W 89-63 | -28.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 2 | @ RUTG | W 80-73 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 5 | vs NEB | L 69-72 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 8 | @ ORE | W 72-62 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 11 | @ WASH | L 74-81 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCLA | W 86-74 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 20 | vs MINN | W 82-74 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 23 | @MICH | L 62-74 | +16.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | vs PSU | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 31 | @WIS | L 82-92 | +4.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 5 | @ MD | W 82-62 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 8 | vsMICH | L 61-82 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 11 | vs USC | W 89-82 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vs UVA | L 66-70 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 17 | vsWIS | W 86-69 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 22 | @ MSU | L 60-66 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Feb 25 | @ IOWA | L 57-74 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 1 | vs PUR | W 82-74 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 4 | @PSU | W 94-62 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 7 | vs IU | W 91-78 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Mar 12 | vsIOWA | W 72-69 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Mar 13 | vsMICH | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
−17.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+1.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−1.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−8.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
+6.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+22.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−6.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+2.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
−4.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
−2.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
+1.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−2.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
−2.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−5.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
+11.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−5.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+7.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+0.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
+4.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
−5.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
−5.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
+13.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−12.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
−0.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
+1.5
17
vsWIS
WISW 86-69
+15.5
22
@MSU
MSUL 60-66
+4.5
25
@IOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−10.5
1
vsPUR
PURW 82-74
+14.5
4
@PSU
PSUW 94-62
+24.5
7
vsIU
IUW 91-78
+9.5
12
vsIOWA
IOWAW 72-69
+4.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 67-71
+8.5
covered 18didn’t cover 15avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsIUIN
IUINW 118-102
+47.5
7
vsPFW
PFWW 94-68
+2.5
11
vsAPP
APPW 75-53
−19.5
16
vsND
NDW 64-63
−29.5
20
vsWMU
WMUW 91-58
−10.5
25
vsMSM
MSMW 113-60
+21.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 66-67
−15.5
6
@NU
NUW 86-82
+12.5
9
vsILL
ILLL 80-88
+5.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 89-88
+31.5
20
vsUNC
UNCL 70-71
−16.5
23
vsGRAM
GRAMW 89-63
−1.5
2
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-73
+1.5
5
vsNEB
NEBL 69-72
−14.5
8
@ORE
OREW 72-62
−18.5
11
@WASH
WASHL 74-81
−0.5
17
vsUCLA
UCLAW 86-74
+13.5
20
vsMINN
MINNW 82-74
+12.5
23
@MICH
MICHL 62-74
−29.5
26
vsPSU
PSUW 84-78
+8.5
31
@WIS
WISL 82-92
+18.5
5
@MD
MDW 82-62
−6.5
8
vsMICH
MICHL 61-82
−18.5
11
vsUSC
USCW 89-82
+18.5
14
vsUVA
UVAL 66-70
−10.5
17
vsWIS
WISW 86-69
−2.5
22
@MSU
MSUL 60-66
−20.5
25
@IOWA
IOWAL 57-74
−10.5
1
vsPUR
PURW 82-74
+6.5
4
@PSU
PSUW 94-62
+3.5
7
vsIU
IUW 91-78
+20.5
12
vsIOWA
IOWAW 72-69
+0.5
13
vsMICH
MICHL 67-71
−17.5
over 16under 17avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
TCU
22-11 overall · 12-8 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kansas73–78
- Wvs Oklahoma St95–88
- Wvs Cincinnati73–63
- W@ Texas Tech73–65
- W@ Kansas St77–68
A week or more of rest.
Ohio State
21-12 overall · 13-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan67–71
- Wvs Iowa72–69
- Wvs Indiana91–78
- W@ Penn State94–62
- Wvs Purdue82–74
6 days since their last game.