United Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
#50MDMaryland64final
Final
#43IOWAIowa75▲ winner
Closing lineIOWA -11.5✓ MD covered by 0.5
Closing total133.5Over by 5.5
Season records: Maryland and Iowa
MDThis seasonIOWA
12-20Record20-11
15-17ATS18-13
17-15O/U17-14

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: MD 65–75 IOWA · ✓ IOWA (82%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
MD263864
IOWA255075

1st half: MD 26, IOWA 25 (MD by 1). The model had IOWA by 6.1 and a total of 65.5 (actual 51).

Team stats

MDIOWA
22-51 43%Field goals27-53 51%
7-21 33%3-pointers9-23 39%
13-21 62%Free throws12-20 60%
34 12 offRebounds25 7 off
8Assists19
7Steals9
3Blocks1
16Turnovers11
18Fouls13
24Points in paint36
10Fast-break points13

Players

MDMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Solomon Washington F3941311-40-0
Collin Metcalf C306713-30-0
Elijah Saunders F285301-51-3
David Coit G2612025-80-1
Andre Mills G249311-131-5
Bench
Darius Adams G2414326-71-2
Isaiah Watts G1812104-64-6
Guillermo Del Pino G70010-40-4
George Turkson Jr. G42001-10-0

Did not play: Nick Blake, Jaziah Harper, Aleks Alston, Myles Rice, Lukas Sotell, Pharrel Payne, Rakease Passmore

IOWAMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Bennett Stirtz G3917686-182-9
Cooper Koch F3819306-105-8
Tavion Banks G3412315-81-1
Cam Manyawu F2610434-50-0
Kael Combs G255332-50-2
Bench
Alvaro Folgueiras F184211-30-1
Isaia Howard G177233-31-1
Tate Sage G31000-10-1

Did not play: Trevin Jirak, Trey Thompson, Peyton McCollum, Joey Matteoni, Jacob Koch, Brendan Hausen

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIOWA -11.5
ModelIOWA -10.5
Model edgeMD +1.0
W MD covered
Total
Market133.5
Model139.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
W Over
Projected score
MD 64.7 · IOWA 75.2
MD 64 · IOWA 75
Win probability
IOWA 82%
1st half
Spread
IOWA -6.1
MD -1.0
Total
65.5
51 points
Projected score
MD 29.7 · IOWA 35.8
MD 26 · IOWA 25

Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward IOWA
Total
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MD +550 · IOWA -800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IOWA -10.5 · closed IOWA -11.5 · moved 1 toward IOWAmodel IOWA -10.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 4 downmodel 140
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Maryland

12-20 overall · 5-16 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Oregon70–60
  • Lvs Illinois72–78
  • L@ Wisconsin45–78
  • Lvs Rutgers65–69
  • L@ Nebraska61–74

1 day since their last game.

Iowa

20-11 overall · 10-10 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Nebraska75–84
  • Lvs Michigan68–71
  • L@ Penn State69–71
  • Wvs Ohio State74–57
  • L@ Wisconsin71–84

3 days since their last game.