Cotterell Court · at Colgate · Conference game
Closing line
COLG -8.5✓ LAF covered by 9.5
COLG -8.5✓ LAF covered by 9.5Closing total148.5Under by 9.5
 LAF | This season | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| 8-20 | Record | 15-12 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 11-16 |
| 15-12 | O/U | 15-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAF 69–78 COLG · ✗ COLG (77%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| COLG | 25 | 44 | 69 |
1st half: LAF 31, COLG 25 (LAF by 6). The model had COLG by 5.0 and a total of 68.9 (actual 56).
Team stats
| LAF | COLG | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-63 43% | Field goals | 26-56 46% |
| 7-26 27% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 9-15 60% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 37 12 off | Rebounds | 34 6 off |
| 12 | Assists | 18 |
| 1 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Butler G | 37 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Phillips G | 35 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 1-8 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 30 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Caleb Williams G | 29 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-15 | 0-8 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Misha Bednostin C | 19 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Pettit G | 15 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
Did not play: Chris Rubayo, TJ Berger, Beckett Currie, Justin Vander Baan, Ashton Wallace, Luke Azzinaro, Malik Rasul, Folabomi Fayemi, Luka Savicevic, Joshua Wyche, Luke Bevilacqua
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Tweedy G | 35 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Jalen Cox G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 7-15 | 0-3 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 32 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 27 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Sam Wright F | 27 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-10 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 20 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cooper Wright F | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jonathan Niv, Charlie Pugh, Ethan Brown, Blake Forrest, Cameron Brennan, Stevie Clark, Brady Cummins, Parker Jones
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketCOLG -8.5
ModelCOLG -8.5
Model edge—
LAF covered
Total
Market148.5
Model147.3
Model edgeUnder 1.3
W Under
Projected score
LAF 69.4 · COLG 77.9
LAF 70 · COLG 69
Win probability
COLG 77%
1st half
Spread
COLG -5.0
LAF -6.0
Total
68.9
56 points
Projected score
LAF 32 · COLG 36.9
LAF 31 · COLG 25
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLG -8.5
no move
CloseCOLG -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 4
Close148.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
LAF +350 · COLG -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLG -8.5 · unchangedmodel COLG -8.5 matches the line
model COLG -8.5 = line ✓
Opened 144.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 4 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAF | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| COLG | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
LAF 2–8 COLGCOLG leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · LAF 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025-26 | COLG 85 @ LAF 77 | LAF +6.5 | COLG W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LAF 76 @ COLG 61 | COLG -8.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | COLG 90 @ LAF 67 | LAF +1.5 | COLG W |
| Feb 19, 2023-24 | COLG 67 @ LAF 62 | LAF +8.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | LAF 69 @ COLG 64 | COLG -13.5 | LAF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lafayette
28 games played
Straight up
8-20
29% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @ PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vsCOLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vs BU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 14 | @ BUCK | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs HC | W 74-55 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @BU | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @ LEH | L 59-64 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 28 | vsBUCK | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @ AMER | W 67-65 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 4 | vsNAVY | L 50-65 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 7 | @ ARMY | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 11 | vsL-MD | L 54-68 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | vsLEH | L 69-78 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 18 | @HC | W 86-83 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 22 | vsAMER | L 61-75 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
−4.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
+16.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+0.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−2.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
−2.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
+7.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−11.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
+1.5
11
vsL-MD
L-MDL 54-68
−17.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 69-78
−11.5
18
@HC
HCW 86-83
+4.5
22
vsAMER
AMERL 61-75
−10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
+7.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
−9.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+4.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−20.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
+21.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
−10.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−24.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
−19.5
11
vsL-MD
L-MDL 54-68
−25.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 69-78
+6.5
18
@HC
HCW 86-83
+29.5
22
vsAMER
AMERL 61-75
−5.5
over 15under 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colgate
27 games played
Straight up
15-12
56% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MSU | L 69-80 | +22.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 7 | vs NE | L 65-68 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs DREX | W 90-83 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ ILL | L 65-84 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 17 | @ SIE | W 72-69 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 20 | @COR | L 94-95 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 28 | vs UALB | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs FOR | W 72-62 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 10 | @ SBU | L 77-85 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 21 | @ FLA | L 60-90 | +27.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 28 | vs HARV | L 69-78 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 31 | @LAF | W 85-77 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @ARMY | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | vsAMER | W 64-62 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vsLEH | L 77-78 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 14 | @L-MD | W 86-80 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | vsBUCK | W 95-76 | -8.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 21 | @AMER | L 66-70 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | vsBU | W 80-79 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsHC | W 79-74 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 31 | @LEH | L 76-77 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 4 | vsARMY | W 69-55 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 7 | @BUCK | W 78-59 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | @HC | W 74-70 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 14 | vsNAVY | L 80-84 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 16 | @BU | L 58-85 | -2.5 | L −29.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 21 | vsL-MD | W 101-98 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 199 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+11.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−8.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+3.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
+11.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
+9.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+4.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
+8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+1.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−2.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
−12.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+1.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−0.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−3.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
−12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
−2.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 95-76
+10.5
21
@AMER
AMERL 66-70
−2.5
24
vsBU
BUW 80-79
−6.5
28
vsHC
HCW 79-74
−5.5
31
@LEH
LEHL 76-77
−4.5
4
vsARMY
ARMYW 69-55
+3.5
7
@BUCK
BUCKW 78-59
+13.5
11
@HC
HCW 74-70
−4.5
14
vsNAVY
NAVYL 80-84
−5.5
16
@BU
BUL 58-85
−29.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 101-98
−5.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MSU
MSUL 69-80
+4.5
7
vsNE
NEL 65-68
−14.5
11
vsDREX
DREXW 90-83
+29.5
14
@ILL
ILLL 65-84
−15.5
17
@SIE
SIEW 72-69
−5.5
20
@COR
CORL 94-95
+27.5
28
vsUALB
UALBW 69-67
−5.5
30
vsFOR
FORW 72-62
−8.5
10
@SBU
SBUL 77-85
+19.5
21
@FLA
FLAL 60-90
−6.5
28
vsHARV
HARVL 69-78
+5.5
31
@LAF
LAFW 85-77
+15.5
3
@ARMY
ARMYW 76-69
−2.5
7
vsAMER
AMERW 64-62
−22.5
10
vsLEH
LEHL 77-78
+12.5
14
@L-MD
L-MDW 86-80
+15.5
17
vsBUCK
BUCKW 95-76
+31.5
21
@AMER
AMERL 66-70
−10.5
24
vsBU
BUW 80-79
+11.5
28
vsHC
HCW 79-74
+8.5
31
@LEH
LEHL 76-77
+6.5
4
vsARMY
ARMYW 69-55
−26.5
7
@BUCK
BUCKW 78-59
−4.5
11
@HC
HCW 74-70
+1.5
14
vsNAVY
NAVYL 80-84
+24.5
16
@BU
BUL 58-85
−2.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 101-98
+48.5
over 15under 12avg +5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lafayette
8-20 overall · 6-10 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs American61–75
- W@ Holy Cross86–83
- Lvs Lehigh69–78
- Lvs Loyola MD54–68
- W@ Army63–60
3 days since their last game.
Colgate
15-12 overall · 11-5 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Loyola MD101–98
- L@ Boston U58–85
- Lvs Navy80–84
- W@ Holy Cross74–70
- W@ Bucknell78–59
4 days since their last game.