Addition Financial Arena · at UCF · Conference game
Closing line
UCF -1.5✓ BAY covered by 2.5
UCF -1.5✓ BAY covered by 2.5Closing total159.5Over by 13.5
 BAY | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 13-14 | Record | 20-7 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 15-12 | O/U | 11-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BAY 82–82 UCF · ✗ UCF (51%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 56 | 31 | 87 |
| UCF | 42 | 44 | 86 |
1st half: BAY 56, UCF 42 (BAY by 14). The model had UCF by 0.1 and a total of 76.6 (actual 98).
Team stats
| BAY | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-64 47% | Field goals | 31-60 52% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 18-22 82% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 35 16 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 19 | Assists | 22 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 8 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Carr G | 38 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Obi Agbim G | 36 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 31 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 29 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Caden Powell C | 21 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 26 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Michael Rataj G | 19 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Maikcol Perez, Mayo Soyoye, Drew Perry, Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Will Kuykendall, James Goodis, James Nnaji, JJ White
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kugel G | 34 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 10-19 | 4-7 |
| Themus Fulks G | 32 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 3-12 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Burks F | 31 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 26 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| John Bol C | 22 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devan Cambridge F | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Chris Johnson G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Kris Parker G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Foumena C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones, Poohpha Warakulnukroh
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCF -2.5
1 → BAY
CloseUCF -1.5
1 pt toward BAY
Total
Open159.5
no move
Close159.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BAY +105 · UCF -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCF -2.5 · closed UCF -1.5 · moved 1 toward BAYmodel UCF -0.5
model UCF -0.5
Opened 159.5 · unchangedmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCF -1.5 | UCF -0.3 | BAY +1.2 | W BAY covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 164.0 | Over 4.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BAY 81.8 · UCF 82.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCF -0.1 | BAY -14.0 |
| 1H total | 76.6 | 98 |
| 1H projected score | BAY 38.3 · UCF 38.3 | BAY 56 · UCF 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| UCF | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BAY 2–0 UCFBAY leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · BAY has won the last 2 meetings · BAY 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UCF 76 @ BAY 91 | BAY -10.5 | BAY W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | BAY 77 @ UCF 69 | UCF +3.5 | BAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Baylor
27 games played
Straight up
13-14
48% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-12
56% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @ TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @ KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vs TTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 28 | @ CIN | L 57-67 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @ WVU | W 63-53 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 4 | vs COLO | W 86-67 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 7 | @ISU | L 69-72 | +14.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | vs BYU | L 94-99 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 193 |
| Feb 14 | vs LOU | L 71-82 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ KSU | L 74-90 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 21 | vs ASU | W 73-68 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 24 | vs ARIZ | L 80-87 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−6.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
+12.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
+11.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
+11.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
−1.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−3.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
−19.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−3.5
24
vsARIZ
ARIZL 80-87
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
28
@CIN
CINL 57-67
−21.5
31
@WVU
WVUW 63-53
−23.5
4
vsCOLO
COLOW 86-67
−2.5
7
@ISU
ISUL 69-72
−10.5
10
vsBYU
BYUL 94-99
+34.5
14
vsLOU
LOUL 71-82
−9.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 74-90
+4.5
21
vsASU
ASUW 73-68
−16.5
24
vsARIZ
ARIZL 80-87
+11.5
over 15under 12avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
27 games played
Straight up
20-7
74% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-16
41% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vsKU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vsCIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | vsARIZ | L 77-84 | +9.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 20 | @ISU | L 57-87 | +14.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @COLO | W 95-86 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 27 | vsASU | W 79-76 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 31 | vsTTU | W 88-80 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | @HOU | L 55-79 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 8 | @CIN | L 72-92 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 14 | vsWVU | L 67-74 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Feb 17 | vsTCU | W 82-71 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 21 | @ UTAH | W 73-71 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 24 | @BYU | W 97-84 | +14.5 | W +27.5 | 162.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
+2.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−15.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+12.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−3.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+13.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-79
−8.5
8
@CIN
CINL 72-92
−15.5
14
vsWVU
WVUL 67-74
−10.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-71
+12.5
21
@UTAH
UTAHW 73-71
+0.5
24
@BYU
BYUW 97-84
+27.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
17
vsARIZ
ARIZL 77-84
−4.5
20
@ISU
ISUL 57-87
−12.5
24
@COLO
COLOW 95-86
+21.5
27
vsASU
ASUW 79-76
−6.5
31
vsTTU
TTUW 88-80
+8.5
4
@HOU
HOUL 55-79
−12.5
8
@CIN
CINL 72-92
+17.5
14
vsWVU
WVUL 67-74
+0.5
17
vsTCU
TCUW 82-71
−1.5
21
@UTAH
UTAHW 73-71
−10.5
24
@BYU
BYUW 97-84
+18.5
over 11under 16avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Baylor
13-14 overall · 4-11 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arizona80–87
- Wvs Arizona St73–68
- L@ Kansas St74–90
- Lvs Louisville71–82
- Lvs BYU94–99
4 days since their last game.
UCF
20-7 overall · 9-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ BYU97–84
- W@ Utah73–71
- Wvs TCU82–71
- Lvs West Virginia67–74
- L@ Cincinnati72–92
4 days since their last game.