Alaska Airlines Arena · at Washington · Conference game
Closing line
WASH -12.5✓ PSU covered by 15.5
Closing total153.5Under by 30.5
| This season | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 10-14 | Record | 12-12 |
| 10-14 | ATS | 15-9 |
| 14-10 | O/U | 9-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PSU 72–83 WASH · ✗ WASH (82%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 35 | 28 | 63 |
| WASH | 32 | 28 | 60 |
1st half: PSU 35, WASH 32 (PSU by 3). The model had WASH by 6.1 and a total of 72.6 (actual 67).
Team stats
| PSU | WASH | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-52 48% | Field goals | 23-61 38% |
| 5-13 38% | 3-pointers | 6-18 33% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 8-14 57% |
| 31 4 off | Rebounds | 37 14 off |
| 4 | Assists | 11 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Reed F | 35 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-3 |
| Kayden Mingo G | 35 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 7-14 | 0-1 |
| Ivan Juric F | 22 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eli Rice G | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Melih Tunca G | 16 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Blackwood, Reggie Grodin, Tibor Mirtic, Chris Lotito
| WASH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannes Steinbach F | 38 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-2 |
| Wesley Yates III G | 38 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 5-15 | 1-7 |
| Zoom Diallo G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 3-15 | 0-2 |
| Bryson Tucker F | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Franck Kepnang C | 25 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Quimari Peterson G | 24 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Lathan Sommerville C | 13 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Ognacevic F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jasir Rencher, Mady Traore, Courtland Muldrew, Christian Nitu, Desmond Claude, JJ Mandaquit, BJ Roy, Nikola Dzepina
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWASH -11.5
1 → WASH
CloseWASH -12.5
1 pt toward WASH
Total
Open154.5
▼ 1
Close153.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
PSU +675 · WASH -1050
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WASH -11.5 · closed WASH -12.5 · moved 1 toward WASHmodel WASH -10.5
model WASH -10.5
Opened 154.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WASH -12.5 | WASH -10.5 | PSU +2.0 | W PSU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 155.3 | Over 1.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PSU 72.4 · WASH 82.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WASH -6.1 | PSU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 72.6 | 67 |
| 1H projected score | PSU 33.3 · WASH 39.4 | PSU 35 · WASH 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | |
| 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
PSU 0–1 WASHWASH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · PSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | WASH 75 @ PSU 73 | PSU -5.5 | WASH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn State
24 games played
Straight up
10-14
42% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 9 | @ | L 72-113 | +14.5 | L −26.5 | 152.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 72-76 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 21 | vs | L 46-80 | -1.5 | L −35.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 90-67 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 65-73 | +14.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 72-74 | +24.5 | W +22.5 | 169.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 85-93 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 18 | @ | L 73-96 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 148.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 22 | vs | L 71-98 | +5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 26 | @ | L 78-84 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 29 | @ | L 73-94 | +7.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 1 | vs | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 69-110 | +26.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 8 | vs | L 75-77 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FAIR
W 76-68
−7.5
8
@
NHVN
W 87-43
+25.5
11
vs
NAVY
W 80-71
−2.5
15
vs
LAS
W 83-69
+5.5
19
vs
HARV
W 84-80
−8.5
22
vs
PROV
L 65-77
−8.5
25
vs
BU
W 96-87
−5.5
29
vs
SHU
W 90-59
+16.5
2
vs
CAM
W 87-76
−3.5
9
@
IU
L 72-113
−26.5
13
vs
MSU
L 72-76
+8.5
21
vs
PITT
L 46-80
−35.5
29
vs
NCCU
W 90-67
−0.5
3
vs
ILL
L 65-73
+6.5
6
vs
MICH
L 72-74
+22.5
10
@
PUR
L 85-93
+14.5
14
vs
UCLA
L 60-71
−6.5
18
@
MD
L 73-96
−21.5
22
vs
WIS
L 71-98
−21.5
26
@
OSU
L 78-84
+5.5
29
@
NU
L 73-94
−13.5
1
vs
MINN
W 77-75
+4.5
5
@
MICH
L 69-110
−14.5
8
vs
USC
L 75-77
+1.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
FAIR
W 76-68
−7.5
8
@
NHVN
W 87-43
−13.5
11
vs
NAVY
W 80-71
−4.5
15
vs
LAS
W 83-69
+6.5
19
vs
HARV
W 84-80
+21.5
22
vs
PROV
L 65-77
−23.5
25
vs
BU
W 96-87
+40.5
29
vs
SHU
W 90-59
−11.5
2
vs
CAM
W 87-76
+8.5
9
@
IU
L 72-113
+32.5
13
vs
MSU
L 72-76
+2.5
21
vs
PITT
L 46-80
−20.5
29
vs
NCCU
W 90-67
+6.5
3
vs
ILL
L 65-73
−18.5
6
vs
MICH
L 72-74
−23.5
10
@
PUR
L 85-93
+25.5
14
vs
UCLA
L 60-71
−17.5
18
@
MD
L 73-96
+20.5
22
vs
WIS
L 71-98
+11.5
26
@
OSU
L 78-84
+8.5
29
@
NU
L 73-94
+18.5
1
vs
MINN
W 77-75
+9.5
5
@
MICH
L 69-110
+17.5
8
vs
USC
L 75-77
−5.5
over 14under 10avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Washington
24 games played
Straight up
12-12
50% wins
Against the spread
15-9
63% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-15
38% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 94-50 | -34.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 84-70 | -27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 69-78 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | @ | W 81-69 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 99-93 | -23.5 | L −17.5 | 157.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 83-66 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 68-81 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 80-82 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 105-69 | -25.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 19 | @ | L 66-70 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 86-56 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 74-65 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 80-90 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 73-81 | +16.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 11 | vs | W 81-74 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 72-82 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 63-80 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 66-76 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 25 | vs | W 72-57 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 29 | @ | L 66-75 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 76-62 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | vs | L 74-84 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UAPB
W 94-50
+9.5
6
vs
DEN
W 84-70
−13.5
9
@
BAY
L 69-78
−2.5
14
@
WSU
W 81-69
+3.5
18
vs
SOU
W 99-93
−17.5
27
vs
NEV
W 83-66
+13.5
28
vs
COLO
L 68-81
−15.5
3
vs
UCLA
L 80-82
+0.5
6
@
USC
W 84-76
+12.5
13
vs
SUU
W 105-69
+10.5
19
@
SEA
L 66-70
−11.5
22
vs
USD
W 86-56
+11.5
29
vs
UTAH
W 74-65
−3.5
4
@
IU
L 80-90
−0.5
7
@
PUR
L 73-81
+8.5
11
vs
OSU
W 81-74
+5.5
14
vs
MICH
L 72-82
+2.5
17
vs
MSU
L 63-80
−13.5
21
@
NEB
L 66-76
+0.5
25
vs
ORE
W 72-57
+7.5
29
@
ILL
L 66-75
+3.5
31
@
NU
W 76-62
+15.5
4
vs
IOWA
L 74-84
−7.5
7
@
UCLA
L 73-77
+0.5
covered 15didn’t cover 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UAPB
W 94-50
−16.5
6
vs
DEN
W 84-70
+0.5
9
@
BAY
L 69-78
−9.5
14
@
WSU
W 81-69
−8.5
18
vs
SOU
W 99-93
+34.5
27
vs
NEV
W 83-66
+3.5
28
vs
COLO
L 68-81
−2.5
3
vs
UCLA
L 80-82
+20.5
6
@
USC
W 84-76
+5.5
13
vs
SUU
W 105-69
+20.5
19
@
SEA
L 66-70
−15.5
22
vs
USD
W 86-56
−17.5
29
vs
UTAH
W 74-65
−18.5
4
@
IU
L 80-90
+17.5
7
@
PUR
L 73-81
−0.5
11
vs
OSU
W 81-74
−0.5
14
vs
MICH
L 72-82
−11.5
17
vs
MSU
L 63-80
−2.5
21
@
NEB
L 66-76
−10.5
25
vs
ORE
W 72-57
−14.5
29
@
ILL
L 66-75
−12.5
31
@
NU
W 76-62
−8.5
4
vs
IOWA
L 74-84
+16.5
7
@
UCLA
L 73-77
+5.5
over 9under 15avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn State
10-14 overall · 1-12 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs USC75–77
- L@ Michigan69–110
- Wvs Minnesota77–75
- L@ Northwestern73–94
- L@ Ohio State78–84
3 days since their last game.
Washington
12-12 overall · 4-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCLA73–77
- Lvs Iowa74–84
- W@ Northwestern76–62
- L@ Illinois66–75
- Wvs Oregon72–57
4 days since their last game.