Case Gym · at Boston U · Conference game
Closing line
BU -5.5✓ BU covered by 3.5
BU -5.5✓ BU covered by 3.5Closing total145.5Over by 1.5
 L-MD | This season | BU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-15 | Record | 8-15 |
| 12-10 | ATS | 9-14 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 14-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: L-MD 74–80 BU · ✓ BU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 33 | 36 | 69 |
| BU | 37 | 41 | 78 |
1st half: L-MD 33, BU 37 (BU by 4). The model had BU by 3.3 and a total of 72.0 (actual 70).
Team stats
| L-MD | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 8-35 23% | 3-pointers | 12-30 40% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 14-18 78% |
| 23 4 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 8 | Assists | 17 |
| 11 | Steals | 4 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| L-MD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Speed G | 34 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3-9 | 1-6 |
| Jordan Stiemke G | 34 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-6 |
| Emmett Adair F | 29 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Tyson Commander G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Sam Springer F | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacob Theodosiou G | 22 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 10-13 | 2-5 |
| Sebastien Emenalo F | 18 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Carter Berg-McLean G | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Troy Cicero Jr. G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Everett Barnes F | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Ben Menker, Peter Sposito, Goap Kodi, Jonas Sirtautas, Garrett Brennan
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 39 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Chance Gladden G | 37 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Sam Hughes F | 33 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-11 | 3-8 |
| Ben Defty C | 31 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Azmar Abdullah G | 28 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donte Tisinger Jr. G | 24 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Quinn Nielsen F | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrew Bhesania, Peter Carr, Malcolm Chimezie, Spencer Joyner, Kyrone Alexander, Ethan Okwuosa, Matai Baptiste, Otto Landrum, Ben Roy
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBU -5.5
ModelBU -5.8
Model edgeBU +0.3
W BU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model153.8
Model edgeOver 8.3
W Over
Projected score
L-MD 74 · BU 79.8
L-MD 69 · BU 78
Win probability
BU 69%
1st half
Spread
BU -3.3
BU -4.0
Total
72.0
70 points
Projected score
L-MD 34.3 · BU 37.6
L-MD 33 · BU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBU -3.5
2 → BU
CloseBU -5.5
2 pts toward BU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
L-MD +195 · BU -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BU -3.5 · closed BU -5.5 · moved 2 toward BUmodel BU -6
model BU -6
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| BU | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
L-MD 3–7 BUBU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · L-MD 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | BU 57 @ L-MD 74 | L-MD +1.5 | L-MD W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | L-MD 66 @ BU 68 | BU -4.5 | L-MD W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | BU 67 @ L-MD 69 | L-MD -0.5 | L-MD W |
| Feb 25, 2023-24 | L-MD 79 @ BU 82 | BU -7.5 | L-MD W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | BU 60 @ L-MD 58 | L-MD +1.5 | BU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Loyola MD
22 games played
Straight up
7-15
32% wins
Against the spread
12-10
55% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TOW | L 56-67 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs NJIT | L 64-66 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs STO | W 74-63 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 16 | @ FAIR | L 82-85 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 19 | @ DUQ | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ UK | L 46-88 | +35.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 30 | vs COPP | W 95-84 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 3 | @ HAMP | L 71-93 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ VMI | L 70-86 | -2.5 | L −18.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs MSM | L 73-81 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 21 | @ GMU | L 79-86 | +23.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | @ AMER | L 69-84 | +8.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs LAF | L 64-79 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | @ ARMY | W 84-76 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ BUCK | L 67-70 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLG | L 80-86 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 17 | vsBU | W 74-57 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 19 | @ LEH | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 24 | vsBUCK | W 67-62 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 28 | vsAMER | W 77-68 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 31 | @ NAVY | L 71-87 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | vsLEH | W 89-84 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−2.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−12.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
+4.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+2.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+0.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−6.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+1.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
−15.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
−18.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
−5.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+16.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−6.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−13.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+12.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
+3.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+2.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
+18.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
−3.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
+2.5
28
vsAMER
AMERW 77-68
+13.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 71-87
−6.5
4
vsLEH
LEHW 89-84
+2.5
covered 12didn’t cover 10avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTOW
TOWL 56-67
−18.5
11
vsNJIT
NJITL 64-66
−9.5
15
vsSTO
STOW 74-63
−1.5
16
@FAIR
FAIRL 82-85
+31.5
19
@DUQ
DUQL 78-92
+19.5
21
@UK
UKL 46-88
−25.5
30
vsCOPP
COPPW 95-84
+35.5
3
@HAMP
HAMPL 71-93
+21.5
9
@VMI
VMIL 70-86
+4.5
13
vsMSM
MSML 73-81
+2.5
21
@GMU
GMUL 79-86
+18.5
31
@AMER
AMERL 69-84
−1.5
3
vsLAF
LAFL 64-79
−9.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 84-76
+13.5
10
@BUCK
BUCKL 67-70
−6.5
14
vsCOLG
COLGL 80-86
+15.5
17
vsBU
BUW 74-57
−17.5
19
@LEH
LEHL 81-88
+19.5
24
vsBUCK
BUCKW 67-62
−18.5
28
vsAMER
AMERW 77-68
−2.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 71-87
+14.5
4
vsLEH
LEHW 89-84
+23.5
over 12under 10avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
23 games played
Straight up
8-15
35% wins
Against the spread
9-14
39% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-9
61% overs · avg +11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NE | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ NU | L 52-76 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 12 | vs BRWN | W 90-77 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRMK | L 79-91 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ COLU | L 49-54 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 22 | vs HARV | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ PSU | L 87-96 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | @ NKU | L 65-74 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNH | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs ME | L 59-69 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | @ DART | L 64-77 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 21 | vs UML | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | @NAVY | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vsAMER | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @LAF | W 83-67 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsARMY | W 100-91 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 14 | vsLEH | L 91-93 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @L-MD | L 57-74 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 21 | vsLAF | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @COLG | L 79-80 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsNAVY | L 50-58 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 31 | @BUCK | L 97-103 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 2 | @ HC | W 72-64 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
−14.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−0.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+5.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+5.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−1.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
−11.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−18.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−10.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+6.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
−0.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−3.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+14.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
−6.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−18.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
−0.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+6.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-58
−6.5
31
@BUCK
BUCKL 97-103
−7.5
2
@HC
HCW 72-64
+5.5
covered 9didn’t cover 14avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
+34.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−41.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+12.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+40.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−4.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
+35.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−3.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+18.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
+21.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−16.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+7.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+50.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
+39.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−17.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
+4.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+11.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-58
−30.5
31
@BUCK
BUCKL 97-103
+61.5
2
@HC
HCW 72-64
−3.5
over 14under 9avg +11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Loyola MD
7-15 overall · 5-6 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lehigh89–84
- L@ Navy71–87
- Wvs American77–68
- Wvs Bucknell67–62
- L@ Lehigh81–88
3 days since their last game.
Boston U
8-15 overall · 4-7 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Holy Cross72–64
- L@ Bucknell97–103
- Lvs Navy50–58
- L@ Colgate79–80
- Wvs Lafayette77–73
5 days since their last game.