Mitchell Center · at South Alabama · Conference game
Closing line
USA -4.5✓ USM covered by 17.5
USA -4.5✓ USM covered by 17.5Closing total141.5Under by 18.5
 USM | This season | USA |
|---|---|---|
| 13-15 | Record | 19-9 |
| 13-15 | ATS | 16-12 |
| 16-12 | O/U | 15-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USM 70–75 USA · ✗ USA (66%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 35 | 33 | 68 |
| USA | 29 | 26 | 55 |
1st half: USM 35, USA 29 (USM by 6). The model had USA by 2.7 and a total of 67.6 (actual 64).
Team stats
| USM | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-49 45% | Field goals | 18-55 33% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 4-22 18% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 15-25 60% |
| 43 7 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 4 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks F | 40 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Djahi Binet F | 37 | 13 | 12 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 35 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 22 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Israel Hart G | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Curt Lewis G | 24 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 16 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 6-10 | 5-8 |
| Tegra Izay C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dalyn Brandon G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Felipe Patino, Chandler Watts, Jett Montgomery, Brewer Carruth, EJ Paymon, IJ Ezuma, Robert Cowherd, Fallou Diagne, Blake Lander
| USA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Olsen F | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2-10 | 2-8 |
| Chaze Harris G | 37 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 9-18 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Cooper G | 36 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| Randy Brady F | 32 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Hantz Louis-Jeune G | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| John Broom G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Stephen Williams F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| JJ Wheat G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Maxwell Land G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Peyton Law, Desmond Williams, Brian Hawthorne, Samuel Shoptaw
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSA -4.5
no move
CloseUSA -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open143.5
▼ 2
Close141.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
USM +170 · USA -205
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USA -4.5 · unchangedmodel USA -4.5 matches the line
model USA -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 143.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USA -4.5 | USA -4.7 | USA +0.2 | L USM covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 144.4 | Over 2.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | USM 69.8 · USA 74.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USA -2.7 | USM -6.0 |
| 1H total | 67.6 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | USM 32.4 · USA 35.1 | USM 35 · USA 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| USA | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
USM 1–8 USAUSA leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · USA has won the last 7 meetings · USM 2-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025-26 | USA 84 @ USM 78 | USM -1.5 | USA W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | USA 88 @ USM 82 | USM +7.5 | USM W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | USM 62 @ USA 75 | USA -12.5 | USA W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | USM 70 @ USA 73 | USA -3.5 | USM W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | USA 83 @ USM 64 | USM -3.5 | USA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Miss
28 games played
Straight up
13-15
46% wins
Against the spread
13-15
46% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUF | L 79-85 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ SC | L 79-83 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ GRAM | L 70-75 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNF | W 92-83 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs UTM | W 70-60 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | @ RAD | W 82-75 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | @ MIA | L 64-88 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 8 | vsGRAM | W 68-60 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | vs MISS | L 67-71 | +12.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 18 | vs UL | W 62-54 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARST | L 86-93 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | @ LSU | L 62-90 | +21.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 1 | @ ULM | W 87-73 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 3 | @UL | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 129.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs TXST | W 80-70 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsULM | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 14 | @ TROY | L 65-91 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 17 | @TXST | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @ GAST | L 62-69 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ CCU | L 67-85 | +2.5 | L −15.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vs APP | L 63-70 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 31 | vs JMU | W 73-65 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 4 | @ MRSH | L 77-81 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 7 | vs KENT | W 66-65 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 12 | vsUSA | L 78-84 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | vsTROY | W 69-65 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | vs ODU | W 86-81 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 24 | @ARST | L 84-89 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−0.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
+8.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−3.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
−5.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−6.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+4.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+3.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+7.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−4.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
−17.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
−4.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−5.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
−15.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−5.5
31
vsJMU
JMUW 73-65
+6.5
4
@MRSH
MRSHL 77-81
+6.5
7
vsKENT
KENTW 66-65
+5.5
12
vsUSA
USAL 78-84
−7.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 69-65
+9.5
21
vsODU
ODUW 86-81
+0.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 84-89
+4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 15avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−14.5
13
vsMISS
MISSL 67-71
−0.5
18
vsUL
ULW 62-54
−16.5
20
vsARST
ARSTL 86-93
+23.5
29
@LSU
LSUL 62-90
−2.5
1
@ULM
ULMW 87-73
+7.5
3
@UL
ULW 74-67
+11.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 80-70
+5.5
10
vsULM
ULMW 70-60
−25.5
14
@TROY
TROYL 65-91
+10.5
17
@TXST
TXSTL 67-74
+0.5
22
@GAST
GASTL 62-69
−13.5
24
@CCU
CCUL 67-85
+10.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 63-70
−1.5
31
vsJMU
JMUW 73-65
−5.5
4
@MRSH
MRSHL 77-81
+9.5
7
vsKENT
KENTW 66-65
−19.5
12
vsUSA
USAL 78-84
+26.5
14
vsTROY
TROYW 69-65
−10.5
21
vsODU
ODUW 86-81
+19.5
24
@ARST
ARSTL 84-89
+14.5
over 16under 12avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Alabama
28 games played
Straight up
19-9
68% wins
Against the spread
16-12
57% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TOL | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 6 | vs ALCN | W 76-70 | -18.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 13 | vs CMU | W 66-64 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs COPP | W 72-62 | -18.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ JXST | W 71-65 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 21 | @ UAB | L 72-80 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTSA | W 82-58 | -1.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 2 | vs NMSU | W 77-75 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 5 | @ ETSU | L 65-91 | +7.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs UNT | L 57-58 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 17 | @ULM | W 96-92 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | @TXST | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @UL | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 127.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 3 | @TROY | L 49-59 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 10 | vs GASO | W 87-71 | -2.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vsARST | W 91-87 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 17 | vsUL | L 56-59 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 129.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 22 | @JMU | W 90-83 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 29 | vsCCU | W 53-48 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | U 101 |
| Jan 31 | vsGAST | W 69-67 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 4 | @APP | L 57-65 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vsBUF | W 81-69 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @USM | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 14 | @ARST | W 92-88 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 16 | @MRSH | L 80-84 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 19 | vsTXST | L 82-90 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 21 | vsTROY | W 65-54 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 25 | vsULM | W 89-54 | -14.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
+4.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
−12.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−3.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
−8.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+8.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
−0.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
+22.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+4.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
−18.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−2.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
−5.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
+1.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
+1.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−0.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+13.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+8.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−12.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+11.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
+1.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−3.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−2.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+8.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+7.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+12.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+2.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
−11.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
+13.5
25
vsULM
ULMW 89-54
+20.5
covered 16didn’t cover 12avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TOL
TOLW 76-74
−0.5
6
vsALCN
ALCNW 76-70
+4.5
13
vsCMU
CMUW 66-64
−12.5
15
vsCOPP
COPPW 72-62
+0.5
19
@JXST
JXSTW 71-65
+0.5
21
@UAB
UABL 72-80
+2.5
30
@UTSA
UTSAW 82-58
−1.5
2
vsNMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+16.5
5
@ETSU
ETSUL 65-91
+12.5
14
vsUNT
UNTL 57-58
−20.5
17
@ULM
ULMW 96-92
+39.5
20
@TXST
TXSTL 65-67
−4.5
31
@UL
ULW 63-58
−6.5
3
@TROY
TROYL 49-59
−40.5
10
vsGASO
GASOW 87-71
+9.5
15
vsARST
ARSTW 91-87
+23.5
17
vsUL
ULL 56-59
−14.5
22
@JMU
JMUW 90-83
+34.5
29
vsCCU
CCUW 53-48
−38.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 69-67
−4.5
4
@APP
APPL 57-65
−9.5
7
vsBUF
BUFW 81-69
+4.5
12
@USM
USMW 84-78
+26.5
14
@ARST
ARSTW 92-88
+30.5
16
@MRSH
MRSHL 80-84
+13.5
19
vsTXST
TXSTL 82-90
+34.5
21
vsTROY
TROYW 65-54
−23.5
25
vsULM
ULMW 89-54
−10.5
over 15under 13avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Miss
13-15 overall · 8-9 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas St84–89
- Wvs Old Dominion86–81
- Wvs Troy69–65
- Lvs South Alabama78–84
- Wvs Kent State66–65
3 days since their last game.
South Alabama
19-9 overall · 11-6 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe89–54
- Wvs Troy65–54
- Lvs Texas St82–90
- L@ Marshall80–84
- W@ Arkansas St92–88
2 days since their last game.