Rupp Arena · at Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
UK -8.5✓ UK covered by 7.5
UK -8.5✓ UK covered by 7.5Closing total152.5Over by 19.5
 OU | This season | UK |
|---|---|---|
| 11-11 | Record | 15-7 |
| 7-15 | ATS | 9-13 |
| 9-13 | O/U | 10-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OU 74–84 UK · ✓ UK (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 32 | 46 | 78 |
| UK | 43 | 51 | 94 |
1st half: OU 32, UK 43 (UK by 11). The model had UK by 5.7 and a total of 73.7 (actual 75).
Team stats
| OU | UK | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-57 44% | Field goals | 30-60 50% |
| 11-32 34% | 3-pointers | 12-26 46% |
| 17-19 89% | Free throws | 22-27 81% |
| 25 6 off | Rebounds | 41 14 off |
| 14 | Assists | 21 |
| 3 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 31 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 6-11 | 5-9 |
| Tae Davis F | 29 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Nijel Pack G | 26 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Derrion Reid F | 25 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 24 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dayton Forsythe G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 16 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Kuol Atak F | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Jadon Jones, Alec Blair, Kai Rogers, Reid Lovelace, Andreas Holst, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe
| UK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh G | 35 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-4 |
| Collin Chandler G | 34 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Denzel Aberdeen G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Andrija Jelavic F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Malachi Moreno C | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brandon Garrison F | 29 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Mo Dioubate F | 18 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Jasper Johnson G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Trent Noah F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Walker Horn, Jayden Quaintance, Reece Potter, Braydon Hawthorne, Kam Williams, Zach Tow, Jaland Lowe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUK -8.5
ModelUK -9.8
Model edgeUK +1.3
W UK covered
Total
Market152.5
Model157.5
Model edgeOver 5.0
W Over
Projected score
OU 73.8 · UK 83.7
OU 78 · UK 94
Win probability
UK 81%
1st half
Spread
UK -5.7
UK -11.0
Total
73.7
75 points
Projected score
OU 34 · UK 39.7
OU 32 · UK 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUK -8.5
no move
CloseUK -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▲ 1
Close152.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
OU +360 · UK -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UK -8.5 · unchangedmodel UK -10
model UK -10
Opened 151.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
| UK | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OU 0–2 UKUK leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · UK has won the last 2 meetings · OU 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | OU 84 vs UK 85 | UK -6.5 | OU W |
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | UK 83 @ OU 82 | OU +3.5 | OU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma
22 games played
Straight up
11-11
50% wins
Against the spread
7-15
32% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-13
41% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs MISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vs FLA | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs ALA | L 81-83 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 20 | @ SC | L 76-85 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MIZ | L 87-88 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | vs ARK | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs TEX | L 69-79 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
−9.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
+3.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
−11.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+3.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−0.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 15avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
+17.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
−13.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
+10.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+23.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−5.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−7.5
over 9under 13avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kentucky
22 games played
Straight up
15-7
68% wins
Against the spread
9-13
41% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-12
45% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs NICH | W 77-51 | -31.5 | L −5.5 | 157.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 7 | vs VAL | W 107-59 | -32.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 11 | @ LOU | L 88-96 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 14 | vs EIU | W 99-53 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 18 | vs MSU | L 66-83 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs L-MD | W 88-46 | -35.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 26 | vs TNTC | W 104-54 | -37.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNC | L 64-67 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 163.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 5 | vsGONZ | L 59-94 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 9 | vs NCCU | W 103-67 | -42.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 13 | vs IU | W 72-60 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 20 | vs SJU | W 78-66 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 23 | vs BELL | W 99-85 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 3 | @ALA | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 173.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 7 | vsMIZ | L 68-73 | -12.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | vsMSST | W 92-68 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 14 | @ LSU | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ TENN | W 80-78 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vsTEX | W 85-80 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsMISS | W 72-63 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 27 | @ VAN | L 55-80 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | @ARK | W 85-77 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−5.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+15.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
−2.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+10.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−20.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
+6.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+12.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−10.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−29.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
−6.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
+8.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
+10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
−20.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−9.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−17.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+13.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+8.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
−2.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−2.5
27
@VAN
VANL 55-80
−19.5
31
@ARK
ARKW 85-77
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 13avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsNICH
NICHW 77-51
−29.5
7
vsVAL
VALW 107-59
+8.5
11
@LOU
LOUL 88-96
+10.5
14
vsEIU
EIUW 99-53
+4.5
18
vsMSU
MSUL 66-83
−3.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 88-46
−25.5
26
vsTNTC
TNTCW 104-54
+0.5
2
vsUNC
UNCL 64-67
−32.5
5
vsGONZ
GONZL 59-94
−6.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 103-67
+21.5
13
vsIU
IUW 72-60
−24.5
20
vsSJU
SJUW 78-66
−10.5
23
vsBELL
BELLW 99-85
+31.5
3
@ALA
ALAL 74-89
−10.5
7
vsMIZ
MIZL 68-73
−9.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 92-68
+7.5
14
@LSU
LSUW 75-74
−2.5
17
@TENN
TENNW 80-78
+12.5
21
vsTEX
TEXW 85-80
+12.5
24
vsMISS
MISSW 72-63
−10.5
27
@VAN
VANL 55-80
−20.5
31
@ARK
ARKW 85-77
+2.5
over 10under 12avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma
11-11 overall · 1-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas69–79
- Lvs Arkansas79–83
- L@ Missouri87–88
- L@ South Carolina76–85
- Lvs Alabama81–83
4 days since their last game.
Kentucky
15-7 overall · 6-3 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Arkansas85–77
- L@ Vanderbilt55–80
- Wvs Ole Miss72–63
- Wvs Texas85–80
- W@ Tennessee80–78
4 days since their last game.