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NCAAB · Sat, Nov 21

Penn @ La Salle

John Glaser Arena · at La Salle
#137PENNPenn
@
#124LASLa Salle
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PENNThis seasonLAS
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects LAS 75–71 · win probability LAS 63%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 145.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PENN has more of the edges

PENN 4, LAS 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PENNBig
Three-pointers
PENN hits 38.3% and allows 32.2%; LAS hits 30.0% and allows 36.5%. Threes are 35.4% and 31.5% of their shots
PENNBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: PENN 50.4 and allows 52.1; LAS 45.4 and allows 55.0
PENNSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PENN 15.4%, LAS 18.2%. Forced: PENN 17.3%, LAS 17.2%
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: PENN plays 69.3 a game (158th fastest), LAS 66.4 (300th). Faster games mean more points
LASSmall
Home court
LAS at home. This season: LAS 0-0 at home, PENN 0-0 away
PENNSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PENN 83%, LAS 56%. Transfers in: PENN 1, LAS 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PENN 30.0%, LAS 33.7%. Defensive: PENN 68.7%, LAS 67.7%
Context
Schedule so far
PENN has played the 125th-hardest schedule, LAS the 92nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
PENN offense vs LAS defense
Offense 138th of 366 against a defense 111th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PENN 33.9, LAS 37.5. Allowed: PENN 27.5, LAS 31.5
Even
LAS offense vs PENN defense
Offense 157th of 366 against a defense 143rd, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelLAS -3.7
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model145.2
Model edge—
Projected score
PENN 70.7 · LAS 74.5
Win probability
LAS 63%
1st half
Spread
LAS -2.1
Total
67.9
Projected score
PENN 32.9 · LAS 35
Model edge = where the model differs from the market, in points: a reason to look, not a trend. The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with. Model record › · 1st-half slate ›

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Penn 1, La Salle 1, even 3
PennBetterLa Salle
G M. Zanoni12.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 48
PENNSmall
G J. Johnson6.3 pts · 2.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 29
G A. Levine8.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.9 ast Score 61
LASSmall
G R. Dockery12.5 pts · 6.2 reb · 2.3 ast Score 91
F T. Power16.8 pts · 7.6 reb · 2.4 ast Score 81
Even
F J. Brewer11.3 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 75
F A. Gerhart5.2 pts · 4.6 reb · 1 ast Score 36
Even
F V. Zanki TR8.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 46
F L. Lueth3.2 pts · 2.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 8
Even
F A. Finkley TR5.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.7 ast Score 19
PennBetterLa Salle
PENN offense138th of 366 · -4.1
Even
LAS defense111th of 366 · -1.3
PENN defense143rd of 366 · -3.1
Even
LAS offense157th of 366 · -4.7
Backcourt-0.8 · 2 players
LASSmall
Backcourt+0.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.4 · 3 players
Even
Frontcourt-0.6 · 3 players
Bench-1.5 · 5 players
PENNSmall
Bench-3.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPENN betterLAS betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Penn
Guards
M. Zanoni29 minA. Levine25 minS. Mohammed16 min · TRJ. Jones14 minN. Polonowski6 minP. Kamin3 min
Forwards
T. Power36 minA. Gerhart20 minL. Lueth17 minD. Scantlebury15 minW. Kruse3 minF. BillyNew
Centers
M. PereiraNew
La Salle
Guards
J. Johnson30 minR. Dockery27 minK. Burton19 min · TRD. Booker8 min · TRA. Masharaliyev1 minT. MossNew
Forwards
J. Brewer27 minV. Zanki21 min · TRA. Finkley19 min · TRN. Collier14 minE. Rink12 min · TRB. Beatty10 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PENNLAS
Scoring
74.4 #181Points per game66.8 #336
1.08 #196Points per possession1.00 #322
69.3 #158Pace (possessions)66.4 #300
Shooting
50.4 #223Effective FG%45.4 #357
38.3 #133-point %30.0 #342
35.4 #2643-point attempt rate31.5 #333
33.9 #212Free throw rate37.5 #113
Possessions
15.4 #93Turnover rate18.2 #281
30.0 #200Offensive rebound rate33.7 #75
13.7 #171Assists per game12.9 #221
Defense
74.5 #173Points allowed75.0 #186
1.07 #137Points allowed per possession1.13 #293
52.1 #218Opponent effective FG%55.0 #329
32.2 #73Opponent 3-point %36.5 #324
17.3 #132Turnovers forced17.2 #136
68.7 #220Defensive rebound rate67.7 #274
6.5 #184Steals per game6.7 #155
3.1 #199Blocks per game2.6 #295
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Penn

17-12 in 2025-26 overall · 11-5 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois70–105
  • Wvs Yale88–84
  • Wvs Harvard62–60
  • W@ Brown82–61
  • Wvs Harvard64–61

A week or more of rest.

La Salle

8-23 in 2025-26 overall · 5-14 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs St Bonaventure80–99
  • L@ Saint Joseph's76–88
  • Wvs Fordham87–84
  • L@ Davidson64–71
  • Lvs G Washington77–104

A week or more of rest.