1. NCAAB
  2. Sun, Nov 29
  3. HAMP @ AMER
NCAAB · Sun, Nov 29

Hampton Pirates at American University Eagles

Bender Arena · at American
#159HAMPHampton
@
#153AMERAmerican
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
HAMPThis seasonAMER
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects AMER 73–70 · win probability AMER 62%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 143.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

HAMP 4, AMER 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
AMERBig
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: HAMP 18%, AMER 96%. Transfers in: HAMP 6, AMER 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
HAMPBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: HAMP 39.2, AMER 28.7. Allowed: HAMP 46.5, AMER 42.1
AMERSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: HAMP 17.1%, AMER 15.6%. Forced: HAMP 17.2%, AMER 19.2%
HAMPSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: HAMP 32.9%, AMER 26.9%. Defensive: HAMP 70.0%, AMER 70.6%
AMERSmall
HAMP offense vs AMER defense
Offense 186th of 366 against a defense 122nd, on the model’s ratings
AMERSmall
Home court
AMER at home. This season: AMER 0-0 at home, HAMP 0-0 away
HAMPSmall
Three-pointers
HAMP hits 28.8% and allows 32.1%; AMER hits 33.0% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 37.0% and 46.5% of their shots
HAMPSmall
AMER offense vs HAMP defense
Offense 201st of 366 against a defense 153rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
HAMP has played the 217th-hardest schedule, AMER the 263rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: HAMP 45.7 and allows 52.0; AMER 51.5 and allows 54.4
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: HAMP plays 66.5 a game (295th fastest), AMER 66.7 (289th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—AMER -3.4—
Total—143.5—
Projected score—HAMP 70 · AMER 73.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadAMER -1.9—
1H total67.1—
1H projected scoreHAMP 32.6 · AMER 34.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Hampton 2, American 2, even 1
HamptonBetterAmerican
G J. Mitchell TR14.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 0.9 ast Score 56
HAMPSmall
G W. Nausadis7.5 pts · 1.4 reb · 1.5 ast Score 25
G S. Hubbard TR16.5 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 70
AMERSmall
G M. Collins13.2 pts · 4.7 reb · 1.9 ast Score 97
G A. Davis TR9.3 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.7 ast Score 59
Even
F G. Jones12.4 pts · 4.9 reb · 2 ast Score 55
F M. Frazier TR12 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 77
HAMPBig
F M. Mayock8.4 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.6 ast Score 36
F C. Robinson TR8.2 pts · 4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 25
AMERSmall
F J. Iturbe10.4 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 55
HamptonBetterAmerican
HAMP offense186th of 366 · -5.7
AMERSmall
AMER defense122nd of 366 · -2.1
HAMP defense153rd of 366 · -3.4
Even
AMER offense201st of 366 · -6.3
Backcourt+0.1 · 3 players
AMERSmall
Backcourt+1.4 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.1 · 2 players
HAMPSmall
Frontcourt-1.4 · 3 players
Bench-2.1 · 5 players
Even
Bench-2.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestHAMP betterAMER betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Hampton
Guards
J. Mitchell33 min · TRS. Hubbard31 min · TRA. Davis24 min · TRE. Strothers19 minT. Jackson17 min · TRA. Haskins10 min
Forwards
M. Frazier29 min · TRC. Robinson26 min · TRP. Da CruzNewW. PrestonNewZ. IbekweNewS. TabeNew
American
Guards
W. Nausadis23 minM. Collins22 minK. Sebastian22 minD. Hogans6 minJ. Anderson2 minM. Casey1 min
Forwards
G. Jones31 minM. Mayock29 minJ. Iturbe26 minC. McDonald18 minC. Eagan11 minN. JonesNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
HAMPAMER
Scoring
68.0 #312Points per game72.0 #242
1.02 #301Points per possession1.08 #190
66.5 #295Pace (possessions)66.7 #289
Shooting
45.7 #356Effective FG%51.5 #169
28.8 #3573-point %33.0 #235
37.0 #2293-point attempt rate46.5 #39
39.2 #73Free throw rate28.7 #335
Possessions
17.1 #205Turnover rate15.6 #110
32.9 #90Offensive rebound rate26.9 #299
11.2 #329Assists per game12.5 #248
Defense
72.1 #108Points allowed72.7 #124
1.08 #176Points allowed per possession1.09 #200
52.0 #212Opponent effective FG%54.4 #313
32.1 #65Opponent 3-point %35.5 #283
17.2 #137Turnovers forced19.2 #40
70.0 #165Defensive rebound rate70.6 #127
6.3 #207Steals per game7.3 #100
3.0 #232Blocks per game1.4 #363
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Hampton

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Towson68–74
  • L@ William & Mary85–94
  • Wvs Northeastern76–65
  • Lvs Charleston71–85
  • L@ Stony Brook72–79

A week or more of rest.

American

14-16 in 2025-26 overall · 9-10 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Boston U73–75
  • Lvs Boston U65–68
  • Lvs Lehigh73–78
  • W@ Lafayette75–61
  • W@ Bucknell75–57

A week or more of rest.