Allen Fieldhouse · at Kansas
Line
KU -23.5moved 1 toward KU
Total144.5down 2 from 146.5
| This season | KU | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects KU 83–63 · win probability KU 95%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
KU -23.5
moved 1 toward KU
Total
144.5
model 145.9 · Over by 1.5
Model edge
FOR by 4.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
92% FOR
38% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: KU has more of the edges
FOR 3, KU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Three-pointers
FOR hits 28.9% and allows 33.4%; KU hits 34.6% and allows 30.6%. Threes are 38.3% and 35.2% of their shots
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FOR 34.1%, KU 29.3%. Defensive: FOR 73.2%, KU 70.1%
Context
Schedule so far
FOR has played the 136th-hardest schedule, KU the 2nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
FOR offense vs KU defense
Offense 119th of 366 against a defense 15th, on the model’s ratings
Shooting
Effective FG%: FOR 48.6 and allows 49.9; KU 51.2 and allows 45.0
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FOR 63%, KU 9%. Transfers in: FOR 4, KU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: FOR plays 64.8 a game (349th fastest), KU 68.8 (193rd). Faster games mean more points
Free throws
Free throw rate: FOR 26.4, KU 32.2. Allowed: FOR 30.3, KU 27.4
KU offense vs FOR defense
Offense 17th of 366 against a defense 71st, on the model’s ratings
Home court
KU at home. This season: KU 0-0 at home, FOR 0-0 away
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FOR 17.2%, KU 15.6%. Forced: FOR 17.2%, KU 13.8%
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 20 or more | 1165 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1090 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite | 6763 | 75% | 50% | 51% |
| Games with a total of 140 to 144.5 | 3570 | 72% | 50% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenKU -22.5
1 → KU
NowKU -23.5
1 pt toward KU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Now144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
FOR +2200 · KU -10000
Line movement
Median of 8 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened KU -22.5 · now KU -23.5 · moved 1 toward KUmodel KU -19
model KU -19
Opened 146.5 · now 143.5 · moved 3 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Money leans KU -23.5 · 54 pts more of the money than of the bets
Over 144.5TotalUnder 144.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
8 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOR | KU | Over | Under | FOR | KU | |
| BetMGMMGM | -23.5-115 | +23.5-105 | 143.5-115 | 143.5-105 | +2200 | -10000 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -23-110 | +23-110 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -23.5-117 | +23.5-107 | 143.5-113 | 143.5-110 | — | — |
| BetUSBetUS | -23-110 | +23-110 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-110 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -23.5-115 | +23.5-105 | 144-110 | 144-110 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -23.5-115 | +23.5-105 | 144.5-105 | 144.5-115 | +2200 | -8000 |
| FanDuelFD | -23.5-110 | +23.5-110 | 143.5-110 | 143.5-110 | +2800 | -10000 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -23-106 | +23-106 | 143.5-108 | 143.5-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | KU -23.5 | KU -19.2 | FOR +4.3 |
| Total | 144.5 | 145.9 | Over 1.4 |
| Projected score | — | FOR 63.3 · KU 82.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | KU -11.3 | — |
| 1H total | 68.3 | — |
| 1H projected score | FOR 28.5 · KU 39.8 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | |
| 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fordham
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-22
24% overs · avg −7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | L 61-72 | -14.5 | L −25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 63-61 | -12.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 71-76 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 69-53 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 88-68 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 62-72 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 69-70 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 75-54 | -11.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 82-53 | -8.5 | W +20.5 | 147.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 65-47 | -13.5 | W +4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 56-63 | +16.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 4 | vs | L 75-83 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 7 | vs | L 58-67 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 134.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 81-77 | +8.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 56-78 | +17.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 63-74 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 64-58 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 79-65 | +11.5 | W +25.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 3 | vs | L 59-63 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 67-70 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 68-64 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 135.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 70-66 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 62-59 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 63-59 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 63-82 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 84-87 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 61-49 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 110 |
| Mar 12 | vs | L 62-66 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
NJIT
L 61-72
−25.5
11
vs
WAG
W 63-61
−10.5
14
@
IONA
L 71-76
+0.5
20
vs
LIU
W 69-53
+11.5
29
vs
UALB
W 88-68
+9.5
30
vs
COLG
L 62-72
−8.5
6
vs
HC
L 69-70
−11.5
10
vs
FDU
W 75-54
+9.5
13
vs
MAN
W 82-53
+20.5
22
vs
NHVN
W 65-47
+4.5
31
@
DAY
L 56-63
+9.5
4
vs
RICH
L 75-83
−5.5
7
vs
GMU
L 58-67
−3.5
10
@
SBU
W 81-77
+12.5
14
@
SLU
L 56-78
−4.5
17
vs
DUQ
L 63-74
−9.5
21
@
DAV
L 63-68
−0.5
28
vs
LAS
W 64-58
+0.5
31
@
GW
W 79-65
+25.5
3
vs
VCU
L 59-63
+3.5
7
vs
SBU
L 67-70
−1.5
10
@
JOES
W 68-64
+7.5
14
@
URI
W 70-66
+8.5
18
vs
LUC
W 62-59
−5.5
21
vs
DAV
W 63-59
+5.5
28
@
VCU
L 63-82
−6.5
4
@
LAS
L 84-87
−6.5
7
vs
URI
W 61-49
+10.5
12
vs
GW
L 62-66
+3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
NJIT
L 61-72
−14.5
11
vs
WAG
W 63-61
−15.5
14
@
IONA
L 71-76
−10.5
20
vs
LIU
W 69-53
−23.5
29
vs
UALB
W 88-68
+12.5
30
vs
COLG
L 62-72
−8.5
6
vs
HC
L 69-70
+0.5
10
vs
FDU
W 75-54
−12.5
13
vs
MAN
W 82-53
−12.5
22
vs
NHVN
W 65-47
−15.5
31
@
DAY
L 56-63
−20.5
4
vs
RICH
L 75-83
+15.5
7
vs
GMU
L 58-67
−9.5
10
@
SBU
W 81-77
+15.5
14
@
SLU
L 56-78
−20.5
17
vs
DUQ
L 63-74
−8.5
21
@
DAV
L 63-68
−4.5
28
vs
LAS
W 64-58
−14.5
31
@
GW
W 79-65
−6.5
3
vs
VCU
L 59-63
−24.5
7
vs
SBU
L 67-70
−4.5
10
@
JOES
W 68-64
−3.5
14
@
URI
W 70-66
+1.5
18
vs
LUC
W 62-59
−14.5
21
vs
DAV
W 63-59
−9.5
28
@
VCU
L 63-82
+0.5
4
@
LAS
L 84-87
+39.5
7
vs
URI
W 61-49
−26.5
12
vs
GW
L 62-66
−16.5
over 7under 22avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas
35 games played
Straight up
24-11
69% wins
Against the spread
21-14
60% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-24
31% overs · avg −4.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 94-51 | -30.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 74-87 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 77-46 | -25.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 76-57 | -22.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs | L 66-78 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 71-61 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 71-60 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 81-76 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 56-61 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 80-60 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 77-76 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 73-49 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 90-61 | -14.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 75-81 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vs | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 13 | vs | W 84-63 | +3.5 | W +24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 16 | vs | W 80-62 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 75-69 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 86-62 | -4.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 90-82 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 2 | @ | W 64-61 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 71-59 | -18.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 9 | vs | W 82-78 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 56-74 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 18 | @ | W 81-69 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 68-84 | -8.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 23 | vs | W 69-56 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 61-84 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 60-70 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 104-85 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 157.5 | O 189 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 78-73 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 13 | vs | L 47-69 | +5.5 | L −16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 20 | vs | W 68-60 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 22 | vs | L 65-67 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
GB
W 94-51
+12.5
7
@
UNC
L 74-87
−10.5
11
vs
AMCC
W 77-46
+5.5
15
vs
PRIN
W 76-57
−3.5
18
vs
DUKE
L 66-78
−1.5
24
vs
ND
W 71-61
+4.5
25
vs
SYR
W 71-60
+6.5
26
vs
TENN
W 81-76
+12.5
2
vs
CONN
L 56-61
−1.5
7
vs
MIZ
W 80-60
+14.5
13
@
NCSU
W 77-76
+2.5
16
vs
TOW
W 73-49
+9.5
22
vs
DAV
W 90-61
+14.5
3
@
UCF
L 75-81
−10.5
6
vs
TCU
W 104-100
−2.5
10
@
WVU
L 75-86
−13.5
13
vs
ISU
W 84-63
+24.5
16
vs
BAY
W 80-62
+10.5
20
@
COLO
W 75-69
+1.5
24
@
KSU
W 86-62
+19.5
31
vs
BYU
W 90-82
+5.5
2
@
TTU
W 64-61
+6.5
7
vs
UTAH
W 71-59
−6.5
9
vs
ARIZ
W 82-78
+9.5
14
@
ISU
L 56-74
−10.5
18
@
OKST
W 81-69
+4.5
21
vs
CIN
L 68-84
−24.5
23
vs
HOU
W 69-56
+15.5
28
@
ARIZ
L 61-84
−13.5
3
@
ASU
L 60-70
−15.5
7
vs
KSU
W 104-85
+1.5
12
vs
TCU
W 78-73
+0.5
13
vs
HOU
L 47-69
−16.5
20
vs
CBU
W 68-60
−6.5
22
vs
SJU
L 65-67
+1.5
covered 21didn’t cover 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
GB
W 94-51
−7.5
7
@
UNC
L 74-87
+1.5
11
vs
AMCC
W 77-46
−22.5
15
vs
PRIN
W 76-57
−11.5
18
vs
DUKE
L 66-78
−5.5
24
vs
ND
W 71-61
−11.5
25
vs
SYR
W 71-60
−13.5
26
vs
TENN
W 81-76
+16.5
2
vs
CONN
L 56-61
−24.5
7
vs
MIZ
W 80-60
−10.5
13
@
NCSU
W 77-76
+4.5
16
vs
TOW
W 73-49
−15.5
22
vs
DAV
W 90-61
+11.5
3
@
UCF
L 75-81
−1.5
6
vs
TCU
W 104-100
+60.5
10
@
WVU
L 75-86
+21.5
13
vs
ISU
W 84-63
−5.5
16
vs
BAY
W 80-62
−14.5
20
@
COLO
W 75-69
−11.5
24
@
KSU
W 86-62
−10.5
31
vs
BYU
W 90-82
+12.5
2
@
TTU
W 64-61
−30.5
7
vs
UTAH
W 71-59
−20.5
9
vs
ARIZ
W 82-78
+7.5
14
@
ISU
L 56-74
−17.5
18
@
OKST
W 81-69
−8.5
21
vs
CIN
L 68-84
+12.5
23
vs
HOU
W 69-56
−13.5
28
@
ARIZ
L 61-84
−6.5
3
@
ASU
L 60-70
−21.5
7
vs
KSU
W 104-85
+31.5
12
vs
TCU
W 78-73
+4.5
13
vs
HOU
L 47-69
−23.5
20
vs
CBU
W 68-60
−14.5
22
vs
SJU
L 65-67
−12.5
over 11under 24avg −4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas has the better starters
Position by position: Fordham 0, Kansas 3, even 2
FordhamBetterKansas
G A. Lindsey TR17.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 4.9 ast
Score 79
=Even
G L. Blyden TR16.5 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.5 ast
Score 85
G L. Patrick TR15 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 68
→KUSmall
G D. Parker TR18.6 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 94
F R. Schulte10.4 pts · 9.2 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 82
=Even
F K. Dawes TR12.5 pts · 8.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 91
F A. Jacobs7.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 27
→KUBig
F T. Kaufman-Renn TR14.2 pts · 8.3 reb · 2.5 ast
Score 98
C J. Whitbourn8.4 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 63
→KUSmall
C C. Reeves TR11 pts · 7.8 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 94
FordhamBetterKansas
FOR offense119th of 366 · -2.7
→KUSmall
KU defense15th of 366 · +6.3
FOR defense71st of 366 · +0.8
→KUSmall
KU offense17th of 366 · +8.6
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
→KUBig
Backcourt+5.7 · 2 players
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
→KUBig
Frontcourt+13.0 · 3 players
Bench+0.2 · 5 players
=Even
Bench+0.1 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestFOR betterKU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
A. Lindsey38 min · TRL. Patrick29 min · TRK. Odih5 min · TRJ. Laboy4 min · TRA. Crotty1 minM. Miller1 min
Forwards
R. Schulte31 minA. Jacobs29 minA. Bodija19 minR. Akhuar19 minF. Siaca BeyNew
Centers
J. Whitbourn24 minO. EssamNew
Guards
L. Blyden34 min · TRD. Parker30 min · TRK. Rosario12 minW. Thengvall2 minT. StokesNewT. PerryNew
Forwards
K. Dawes31 min · TRT. Kaufman-Renn28 min · TRD. AdkinsNewA. RichmondNewG. MordiniNew
Centers
C. Reeves21 min · TRP. Mbiya5 min
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 67.5 #323 | Points per game | 75.1 #161 |
| 1.04 #262 | Points per possession | 1.09 #152 |
| 64.8 #349 | Pace (possessions) | 68.8 #193 |
| Shooting | ||
| 48.6 #300 | Effective FG% | 51.2 #186 |
| 28.9 #356 | 3-point % | 34.6 #139 |
| 38.3 #205 | 3-point attempt rate | 35.2 #268 |
| 26.4 #354 | Free throw rate | 32.2 #255 |
| Possessions | ||
| 17.2 #219 | Turnover rate | 15.6 #111 |
| 34.1 #64 | Offensive rebound rate | 29.3 #227 |
| 13.2 #200 | Assists per game | 13.9 #150 |
| Defense | ||
| 66.3 #17 | Points allowed | 69.1 #47 |
| 1.02 #47 | Points allowed per possession | 1.00 #28 |
| 49.9 #95 | Opponent effective FG% | 45.0 #2 |
| 33.4 #149 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.6 #24 |
| 17.2 #138 | Turnovers forced | 13.8 #340 |
| 73.2 #29 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.1 #152 |
| 7.0 #126 | Steals per game | 5.4 #310 |
| 2.2 #335 | Blocks per game | 5.8 #6 |
Fordham
14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs G Washington62–66
- Wvs Rhode Island61–49
- L@ La Salle84–87
- L@ VCU63–82
- Wvs Davidson63–59
A week or more of rest.
Kansas
24-11 in 2025-26 overall · 13-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs St John's65–67
- Wvs CA Baptist68–60
- Lvs Houston47–69
- Wvs TCU78–73
- Wvs Kansas St104–85
A week or more of rest.