1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. STO @ FOR
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Stonehill Skyhawks at Fordham Rams

Rose Hill Gym · at Fordham
#349STOStonehill
@
#100FORFordham
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
STOThis seasonFOR
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects FOR 78–56 · win probability FOR 97%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 134.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: FOR has more of the edges

STO 0, FOR 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
FORBig
STO offense vs FOR defense
Offense 363rd of 366 against a defense 71st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
STO has played the 352nd-hardest schedule, FOR the 136th. A record against a soft schedule means less
FORBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: STO 19.4%, FOR 17.2%. Forced: STO 13.4%, FOR 17.2%
FORBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: STO 27.5%, FOR 34.1%. Defensive: STO 72.9%, FOR 73.2%
FORSmall
FOR offense vs STO defense
Offense 119th of 366 against a defense 225th, on the model’s ratings
FORSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: STO 28%, FOR 63%. Transfers in: STO 6, FOR 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: STO plays 67.6 a game (244th fastest), FOR 64.8 (349th). Faster games mean more points
FORSmall
Home court
FOR at home. This season: FOR 0-0 at home, STO 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
STO hits 31.7% and allows 33.4%; FOR hits 28.9% and allows 33.4%. Threes are 40.5% and 38.3% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: STO 46.9 and allows 47.8; FOR 48.6 and allows 49.9
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: STO 27.3, FOR 26.4. Allowed: STO 30.3, FOR 30.3
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—FOR -22.3—
Total—134.1—
Projected score—STO 55.9 · FOR 78.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadFOR -13.1—
1H total62.8—
1H projected scoreSTO 24.8 · FOR 38—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Fordham has the better starters

Position by position: Stonehill 0, Fordham 4, even 1
StonehillBetterFordham
G W. Batchelder8 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.5 ast Not ranked
No call
G A. Lindsey TR17.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 4.9 ast Score 79
G A. Boldin TR5.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 1 ast Score 29
FORBig
G L. Patrick TR15 pts · 3.2 reb · 1.8 ast Score 68
G D. Arlington TR2.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 5
FORBig
F R. Schulte10.4 pts · 9.2 reb · 1.5 ast Score 82
G E. Greenberg TR2.3 pts · 1.2 reb · 1.5 ast Score 0
FORSmall
F A. Jacobs7.2 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 27
G A. Allen TR3.6 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 15
FORBig
C J. Whitbourn8.4 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 63
StonehillBetterFordham
STO offense363rd of 366 · -14.8
FORBig
FOR defense71st of 366 · +0.8
STO defense225th of 366 · -5.9
FORSmall
FOR offense119th of 366 · -2.7
Backcourt-10.2 · 5 players
FORBig
Backcourt+2.1 · 2 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+1.3 · 3 players
Bench-3.6 · 5 players
FORBig
Bench+0.2 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSTO betterFOR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Stonehill
Guards
W. Batchelder32 minA. Boldin18 min · TRD. Arlington14 min · TRE. Greenberg14 min · TRA. Allen14 min · TRT. Ruth11 min
Forwards
P. McGuinn9 minE. Steele4 min · TRJ. MedalieNewB. LeonsNew
Centers
D. ChengNew
Fordham
Guards
A. Lindsey38 min · TRL. Patrick29 min · TRK. Odih5 min · TRJ. Laboy4 min · TRA. Crotty1 minM. Miller1 min
Forwards
R. Schulte31 minA. Jacobs29 minA. Bodija19 minR. Akhuar19 minF. Siaca BeyNew
Centers
J. Whitbourn24 minO. EssamNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
STOFOR
Scoring
64.2 #353Points per game67.5 #323
0.95 #357Points per possession1.04 #262
67.6 #244Pace (possessions)64.8 #349
Shooting
46.9 #339Effective FG%48.6 #300
31.7 #2943-point %28.9 #356
40.5 #1583-point attempt rate38.3 #205
27.3 #350Free throw rate26.4 #354
Possessions
19.4 #333Turnover rate17.2 #219
27.5 #282Offensive rebound rate34.1 #64
11.8 #298Assists per game13.2 #200
Defense
69.5 #56Points allowed66.3 #17
1.03 #57Points allowed per possession1.02 #47
47.8 #36Opponent effective FG%49.9 #95
33.4 #150Opponent 3-point %33.4 #149
13.4 #347Turnovers forced17.2 #138
72.9 #40Defensive rebound rate73.2 #29
4.7 #347Steals per game7.0 #126
4.0 #75Blocks per game2.2 #335
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Stonehill

10-21 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · Northeast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Mercyhurst51–56
  • W@ Le Moyne81–71
  • Lvs Mercyhurst72–75
  • Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves103–77
  • Wvs Le Moyne77–68

A week or more of rest.

Fordham

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs G Washington62–66
  • Wvs Rhode Island61–49
  • L@ La Salle84–87
  • L@ VCU63–82
  • Wvs Davidson63–59

A week or more of rest.