Merkert Gymnasium · at Stonehill · Conference game
Closing line
STO -4.5✓ STO covered by 21.5
STO -4.5✓ STO covered by 21.5Closing total140.5Over by 39.5
 SFPA | This season | STO |
|---|---|---|
| 5-22 | Record | 8-19 |
| 13-14 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 14-13 | O/U | 8-19 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFPA 68–73 STO · ✓ STO (69%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 33 | 44 | 77 |
| STO | 54 | 49 | 103 |
1st half: SFPA 33, STO 54 (STO by 21). The model had STO by 3.2 and a total of 65.8 (actual 87).
Team stats
| SFPA | STO | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-66 45% | Field goals | 38-66 58% |
| 6-16 38% | 3-pointers | 14-30 47% |
| 11-22 50% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 32 13 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 21 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 10 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Russell G | 29 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-4 |
| Skylar Wicks G | 27 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 9-15 | 2-4 |
| Chris Moncrief G | 27 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 26 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Paris Papadatos G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-3 |
| Ahmad Harrison G | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Russell G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Trey Weiand G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| KJ Swain Jr. G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Melvin Weaver III G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ralph Martino Jr., Ryen Gresko, Kam Wylie, Kofi Asare, Brandon Rabish, Carson Rhodes
| STO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Hackett G | 34 | 40 | 5 | 3 | 14-24 | 8-14 |
| Hermann Koffi G | 34 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Chas Stinson G | 28 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Rex Sunderland G | 27 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Meuser F | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ridvan Tutic F | 18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Trenton Ruth G | 15 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Anthony Holden G | 13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Raymond Espinal-Guzman F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Pearse McGuinn F | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Charlie Diamantis G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Norbu Jenpa G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Colin Byrne G | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Eino Montin, Will Batchelder, Cory Lovell
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTO -5.5
1 → SFPA
CloseSTO -4.5
1 pt toward SFPA
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SFPA +195 · STO -238
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STO -5.5 · closed STO -4.5 · moved 1 toward SFPAmodel STO -5.5
model STO -5.5
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 140.5 matches the line
model 140.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | STO -4.5 | STO -5.6 | STO +1.1 | W STO covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 140.5 | — | Over |
| Projected score | — | SFPA 67.5 · STO 73.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | STO -3.2 | STO -21.0 |
| 1H total | 65.8 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | SFPA 31.3 · STO 34.5 | SFPA 33 · STO 54 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| STO | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
SFPA 3–4 STOSTO leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · SFPA 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | STO 61 @ SFPA 63 | SFPA -1.5 | SFPA W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | SFPA 74 @ STO 79 | STO -3.5 | STO W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | STO 64 @ SFPA 60 | SFPA +1.5 | STO W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | SFPA 63 @ STO 72 | STO -1.5 | STO W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | STO 63 @ SFPA 72 | SFPA -2.5 | SFPA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Francis Red Wolves
27 games played
Straight up
5-22
19% wins
Against the spread
13-14
48% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-13
52% overs · avg +5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @ XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ FLA | L 61-102 | +44.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs RMU | L 70-79 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | vs LEM | L 58-84 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | vs FDU | W 85-82 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ WAG | W 71-69 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ LIU | L 63-67 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | vs CCSU | L 90-98 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | vsSTO | W 63-61 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs CHST | W 81-60 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vs NHVN | L 69-81 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 5 | @ MERC | L 89-98 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | @LEM | L 84-86 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 9 | @CHST | L 75-80 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | @FDU | L 59-66 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 14 | vsMERC | L 79-94 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 19 | vsLIU | L 89-91 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vsWAG | L 56-65 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 24 | @NHVN | W 73-67 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+3.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+4.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−20.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+5.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
+9.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
+11.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
−1.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
+0.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
+17.5
31
vsNHVN
NHVNL 69-81
−13.5
5
@MERC
MERCL 89-98
−2.5
7
@LEM
LEML 84-86
+5.5
9
@CHST
CHSTL 75-80
−1.5
12
@FDU
FDUL 59-66
+0.5
14
vsMERC
MERCL 79-94
−12.5
19
vsLIU
LIUL 89-91
+7.5
21
vsWAG
WAGL 56-65
−7.5
24
@NHVN
NHVNW 73-67
+12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 14avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+6.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+3.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−9.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+23.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
−4.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
−18.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
+43.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
−17.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
−2.5
31
vsNHVN
NHVNL 69-81
+18.5
5
@MERC
MERCL 89-98
+49.5
7
@LEM
LEML 84-86
+16.5
9
@CHST
CHSTL 75-80
+10.5
12
@FDU
FDUL 59-66
−16.5
14
vsMERC
MERCL 79-94
+34.5
19
vsLIU
LIUL 89-91
+31.5
21
vsWAG
WAGL 56-65
−30.5
24
@NHVN
NHVNW 73-67
−1.5
over 14under 13avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Stonehill
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-19
30% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ DEP | L 64-72 | +22.5 | W +14.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 11 | @ URI | L 57-80 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 14 | @ FAIR | L 71-73 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs L-MD | L 63-74 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 17 | @ ISU | L 57-96 | +40.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 21 | vs LAF | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 26 | vs UML | L 64-75 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 30 | @ QUIN | L 62-76 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 2 | @ BRY | L 65-77 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 17 | @ UNH | L 58-59 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 22 | @ SYR | L 48-77 | +22.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 2 | vsNHVN | L 55-70 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @WAG | W 69-60 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 8 | @CCSU | L 69-76 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsCHST | W 85-82 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @MERC | W 62-57 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 128.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 19 | @SFPA | L 61-63 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vsLIU | L 63-66 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 26 | vsCCSU | W 61-59 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | vsFDU | W 58-57 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 31 | @LEM | W 65-54 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 5 | @FDU | L 58-74 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | O 132 |
| Feb 7 | @LIU | L 54-61 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 132.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 12 | @CHST | L 55-68 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 131.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 14 | vsWAG | L 57-68 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 19 | @NHVN | L 51-64 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 121.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 21 | vsLEM | W 77-68 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
+14.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−6.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+4.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−4.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+1.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+5.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−13.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
+1.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
−5.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
+2.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−6.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−16.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
+16.5
8
@CCSU
CCSUL 69-76
+0.5
10
vsCHST
CHSTW 85-82
−1.5
17
@MERC
MERCW 62-57
+9.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAL 61-63
−0.5
23
vsLIU
LIUL 63-66
+2.5
26
vsCCSU
CCSUW 61-59
+3.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 58-57
−1.5
31
@LEM
LEMW 65-54
+13.5
5
@FDU
FDUL 58-74
−14.5
7
@LIU
LIUL 54-61
+3.5
12
@CHST
CHSTL 55-68
−15.5
14
vsWAG
WAGL 57-68
−14.5
19
@NHVN
NHVNL 51-64
−10.5
21
vsLEM
LEMW 77-68
+10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@DEP
DEPL 64-72
−11.5
11
@URI
URIL 57-80
−14.5
14
@FAIR
FAIRL 71-73
+0.5
15
vsL-MD
L-MDL 63-74
−1.5
17
@ISU
ISUL 57-96
+6.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 74-70
+2.5
26
vsUML
UMLL 64-75
−9.5
30
@QUIN
QUINL 62-76
−10.5
2
@BRY
BRYL 65-77
+7.5
17
@UNH
UNHL 58-59
−21.5
22
@SYR
SYRL 48-77
−15.5
2
vsNHVN
NHVNL 55-70
−3.5
4
@WAG
WAGW 69-60
−10.5
8
@CCSU
CCSUL 69-76
+10.5
10
vsCHST
CHSTW 85-82
+31.5
17
@MERC
MERCW 62-57
−9.5
19
@SFPA
SFPAL 61-63
−17.5
23
vsLIU
LIUL 63-66
−8.5
26
vsCCSU
CCSUW 61-59
−15.5
29
vsFDU
FDUW 58-57
−16.5
31
@LEM
LEMW 65-54
−21.5
5
@FDU
FDUL 58-74
+1.5
7
@LIU
LIUL 54-61
−17.5
12
@CHST
CHSTL 55-68
−8.5
14
vsWAG
WAGL 57-68
−3.5
19
@NHVN
NHVNL 51-64
−6.5
21
vsLEM
LEMW 77-68
+7.5
over 8under 19avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
5-22 overall · 5-11 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ New Haven73–67
- Lvs Wagner56–65
- Lvs Long Island89–91
- Lvs Mercyhurst79–94
- L@ FDU59–66
2 days since their last game.
Stonehill
8-19 overall · 7-9 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Le Moyne77–68
- L@ New Haven51–64
- Lvs Wagner57–68
- L@ Chicago St55–68
- L@ Long Island54–61
5 days since their last game.