JMA Wireless Dome · at Syracuse
LineNo line yet
Total—
 CCSU | This season | SYR |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects SYR 86–59 · win probability SYR 99%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 144.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: SYR has more of the edges
CCSU 2, SYR 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
CCSU has played the 358th-hardest schedule, SYR the 67th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SYRBigCCSU offense vs SYR defense
Offense 353rd of 366 against a defense 67th, on the model’s ratings
SYRBigSYR offense vs CCSU defense
Offense 60th of 366 against a defense 247th, on the model’s ratings
SYRBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: CCSU 16.3%, SYR 15.9%. Forced: CCSU 14.0%, SYR 17.4%
CCSUSmallThree-pointers
CCSU hits 35.8% and allows 33.4%; SYR hits 32.9% and allows 34.1%. Threes are 34.9% and 37.1% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: CCSU plays 65.5 a game (329th fastest), SYR 69.1 (173rd). Faster games mean more points
CCSUSmallWho is back
Minutes back from last season: CCSU 55%, SYR 19%. Transfers in: CCSU 0, SYR 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SYRSmallHome court
SYR at home. This season: SYR 0-0 at home, CCSU 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CCSU 27.5%, SYR 29.2%. Defensive: CCSU 69.6%, SYR 66.4%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: CCSU 51.6 and allows 50.2; SYR 52.6 and allows 50.3
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CCSU 31.2, SYR 35.1. Allowed: CCSU 26.9, SYR 32.6
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | SYR -27.6 | — |
| Total | — | 144.9 | — |
| Projected score | — | CCSU 58.6 · SYR 86.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SYR -16.3 | — |
| 1H total | 67.8 | — |
| 1H projected score | CCSU 25.7 · SYR 42.1 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CCSU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| SYR | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Connecticut
28 games played
Straight up
16-12
57% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-13
54% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ QUIN | L 49-71 | +9.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 11 | @ BC | W 60-59 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 16 | @ MASS | L 77-84 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 21 | @ RUTG | W 67-54 | +15.5 | W +28.5 | 137.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 24 | vs SHU | W 108-106 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 214 |
| Dec 3 | @ HALL | L 61-77 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 7 | @ NE | L 56-73 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 13 | @ BING | W 84-67 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 18 | vs FAIR | L 70-84 | -6.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | @ LIU | L 78-84 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 4 | vs NHVN | W 72-61 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | vs STO | W 76-69 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | @ LEM | W 69-59 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @ SFPA | W 98-90 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | @ MERC | L 61-79 | +1.5 | L −16.5 | 132.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 23 | vs FDU | L 66-76 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 26 | @STO | L 59-61 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 29 | @ WAG | W 62-55 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 31 | vsLIU | L 59-80 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 5 | vs CHST | W 78-67 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 7 | vsWAG | W 84-67 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 12 | @NHVN | W 81-76 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 128.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @FDU | W 63-57 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 133.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 19 | vsLEM | W 78-77 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 21 | @CHST | L 51-70 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Feb 26 | vsMERC | W 80-78 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 28 | vsSFPA | W 69-64 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 4 | vsWAG | L 60-70 | -3.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−12.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
+18.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+5.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
+28.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
−1.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+2.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−15.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+9.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
−20.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+0.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+3.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
−0.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
+11.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+1.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
−16.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
−17.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−3.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
+4.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−18.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+2.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+11.5
12
@NHVN
NHVNW 81-76
+1.5
14
@FDU
FDUW 63-57
+7.5
19
vsLEM
LEMW 78-77
−7.5
21
@CHST
CHSTL 51-70
−22.5
26
vsMERC
MERCW 80-78
−1.5
28
vsSFPA
SFPAW 69-64
−3.5
4
vsWAG
WAGL 60-70
−13.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@QUIN
QUINL 49-71
−30.5
11
@BC
BCW 60-59
−17.5
16
@MASS
MASSL 77-84
+16.5
21
@RUTG
RUTGW 67-54
−16.5
24
vsSHU
SHUW 108-106
+70.5
3
@HALL
HALLL 61-77
+9.5
7
@NE
NEL 56-73
−9.5
13
@BING
BINGW 84-67
+17.5
18
vsFAIR
FAIRL 70-84
+10.5
2
@LIU
LIUL 78-84
+15.5
4
vsNHVN
NHVNW 72-61
+2.5
8
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+10.5
10
@LEM
LEMW 69-59
−18.5
17
@SFPA
SFPAW 98-90
+43.5
19
@MERC
MERCL 61-79
+7.5
23
vsFDU
FDUL 66-76
+1.5
26
@STO
STOL 59-61
−15.5
29
@WAG
WAGW 62-55
−19.5
31
vsLIU
LIUL 59-80
−3.5
5
vsCHST
CHSTW 78-67
+6.5
7
vsWAG
WAGW 84-67
+14.5
12
@NHVN
NHVNW 81-76
+28.5
14
@FDU
FDUW 63-57
−13.5
19
vsLEM
LEMW 78-77
−10.5
21
@CHST
CHSTL 51-70
−17.5
26
vsMERC
MERCW 80-78
+16.5
28
vsSFPA
SFPAW 69-64
−19.5
4
vsWAG
WAGL 60-70
−9.5
over 15under 13avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Syracuse
32 games played
Straight up
15-17
47% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-15
53% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsBING | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs DSU | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs DREX | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs MONM | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs HOU | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs KU | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs ISU | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs TENN | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | vs JOES | W 71-63 | -11.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 13 | vs HOF | L 69-70 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 17 | vsMERC | W 76-62 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 20 | vsNE | W 91-83 | -14.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 22 | vsSTO | W 77-48 | -22.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs CLEM | L 61-64 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 6 | @ GT | W 82-72 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ PITT | W 83-72 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 13 | vs FSU | W 94-86 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 17 | @BC | L 73-81 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs VT | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 24 | vs MIA | L 76-85 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 27 | @ NCSU | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 31 | vs ND | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 2 | @ UNC | L 77-87 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | @ UVA | L 59-72 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 11 | vs CAL | W 107-100 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 207 |
| Feb 14 | vs SMU | W 79-78 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Feb 16 | @ DUKE | L 64-101 | +20.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 21 | vsUNC | L 64-77 | -2.5 | L −15.5 | 154.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @ WAKE | L 83-88 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Mar 3 | @ LOU | L 62-77 | +14.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 7 | vsPITT | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 10 | vsSMU | L 69-86 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
−20.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
+9.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−3.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−10.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
−10.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
−6.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
+6.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−1.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+3.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
−13.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−5.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
−7.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
−9.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+7.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+1.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
+0.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+0.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
+2.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
−16.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−15.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
−1.5
3
@LOU
LOUL 62-77
−0.5
7
vsPITT
PITTL 69-71
−7.5
10
vsSMU
SMUL 69-86
−13.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
26
vsISU
ISUL 64-95
+13.5
2
vsTENN
TENNW 62-60
−25.5
11
vsJOES
JOESW 71-63
−12.5
13
vsHOF
HOFL 69-70
−0.5
17
vsMERC
MERCW 76-62
+6.5
20
vsNE
NEW 91-83
+33.5
22
vsSTO
STOW 77-48
−15.5
31
vsCLEM
CLEML 61-64
−15.5
6
@GT
GTW 82-72
+7.5
10
@PITT
PITTW 83-72
+12.5
13
vsFSU
FSUW 94-86
+19.5
17
@BC
BCL 73-81
+12.5
21
vsVT
VTL 74-76
−2.5
24
vsMIA
MIAL 76-85
+11.5
27
@NCSU
NCSUL 68-88
+4.5
31
vsND
NDW 86-72
+10.5
2
@UNC
UNCL 77-87
+5.5
7
@UVA
UVAL 59-72
−16.5
11
vsCAL
CALW 107-100
+58.5
14
vsSMU
SMUW 79-78
−0.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 64-101
+20.5
21
vsUNC
UNCL 64-77
−13.5
28
@WAKE
WAKEL 83-88
+18.5
3
@LOU
LOUL 62-77
−20.5
7
vsPITT
PITTL 69-71
−1.5
10
vsSMU
SMUL 69-86
+0.5
over 17under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse has the better starters
Position by position: C Connecticut 0, Syracuse 5, even 0
C ConnecticutBetterSyracuse
G J. Jones4.1 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 4
→SYRBig
G G. Doty TR18 pts · 6.9 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 94
G V. Payne6.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 1 ast
Score 16
→SYRBig
G A. Tobiason TR15.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 2 ast
Score 82
G E. Parker2 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 0
→SYRBig
G G. Dual TR8.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 4.1 ast
Score 66
G R. Jones3.8 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.1 ast
Score 20
→SYRBig
F F. Folefac TR11.3 pts · 5.3 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 73
F D. James3.2 pts · 3 reb · 0.3 ast
Score 13
→SYRBig
C L. Wilson TR10.4 pts · 8.4 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 75
C ConnecticutBetterSyracuse
CCSU offense353rd of 366 · -13.2
→SYRBig
SYR defense67th of 366 · +0.9
CCSU defense247th of 366 · -6.5
→SYRBig
SYR offense60th of 366 · +2.7
Backcourt-10.6 · 4 players
→SYRBig
Backcourt+6.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt-1.2 · 1 player
→SYRBig
Frontcourt+3.6 · 2 players
Bench-2.0 · 2 players
→SYRBig
Bench+2.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestCCSU betterSYR betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
C ConnecticutGuards
J. Jones30 minV. Payne24 minE. Parker14 minR. Jones10 minA. Reynolds10 minR. LaurentNew
Forwards
D. James13 minJ. Mott8 minB. JacksonNewJ. ErvinNewR. TibbyNewC. LangdonNew
SyracuseGuards
G. Doty37 min · TRA. Tobiason36 min · TRG. Dual27 min · TRK. Anthony19 minC. Russell2 minN. Lobdell1 min
Forwards
F. Folefac28 min · TRT. Goodrick23 min · TRS. White15 minM. MoranoNew
Centers
L. Wilson29 min · TRI. MartinezNewA. SibyNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
CCSU70.6 #272SYR75.0 #163Points per possession
CCSU1.08 #192SYR1.08 #174Pace (possessions)
CCSU65.5 #329SYR69.1 #173Shooting
Effective FG%
CCSU51.6 #165SYR52.6 #1223-point %
CCSU35.8 #69SYR32.9 #2393-point attempt rate
CCSU34.9 #278SYR37.1 #226Free throw rate
CCSU31.2 #276SYR35.1 #171Possessions
Turnover rate
CCSU16.3 #154SYR15.9 #134Offensive rebound rate
CCSU27.5 #281SYR29.2 #228Assists per game
CCSU12.8 #229SYR12.8 #225Defense
Points allowed
CCSU72.0 #105SYR74.3 #163Points allowed per possession
CCSU1.10 #218SYR1.07 #144Opponent effective FG%
CCSU50.2 #113SYR50.3 #116Opponent 3-point %
CCSU33.4 #146SYR34.1 #186Turnovers forced
CCSU14.0 #338SYR17.4 #125Defensive rebound rate
CCSU69.6 #179SYR66.4 #310Steals per game
CCSU5.4 #311SYR6.2 #214Blocks per game
CCSU3.9 #83SYR5.9 #4| CCSU | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 70.6 #272 | Points per game | 75.0 #163 |
| 1.08 #192 | Points per possession | 1.08 #174 |
| 65.5 #329 | Pace (possessions) | 69.1 #173 |
| Shooting | ||
| 51.6 #165 | Effective FG% | 52.6 #122 |
| 35.8 #69 | 3-point % | 32.9 #239 |
| 34.9 #278 | 3-point attempt rate | 37.1 #226 |
| 31.2 #276 | Free throw rate | 35.1 #171 |
| Possessions | ||
| 16.3 #154 | Turnover rate | 15.9 #134 |
| 27.5 #281 | Offensive rebound rate | 29.2 #228 |
| 12.8 #229 | Assists per game | 12.8 #225 |
| Defense | ||
| 72.0 #105 | Points allowed | 74.3 #163 |
| 1.10 #218 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #144 |
| 50.2 #113 | Opponent effective FG% | 50.3 #116 |
| 33.4 #146 | Opponent 3-point % | 34.1 #186 |
| 14.0 #338 | Turnovers forced | 17.4 #125 |
| 69.6 #179 | Defensive rebound rate | 66.4 #310 |
| 5.4 #311 | Steals per game | 6.2 #214 |
| 3.9 #83 | Blocks per game | 5.9 #4 |
C Connecticut
16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wagner60–70
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves69–64
- Wvs Mercyhurst80–78
- L@ Chicago St51–70
- Wvs Le Moyne78–77
A week or more of rest.
Syracuse
15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SMU69–86
- Lvs Pitt69–71
- L@ Louisville62–77
- L@ Wake Forest83–88
- Lvs North Carolina64–77
A week or more of rest.