Binghamton Bearcats at Saint Peter's Peacocks: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 5, 7:00 PM ETYanitelli Center · at Saint Peter's

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Binghamton and Saint Peter's
BING	This season	SPU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SPU 74–68 · win probability SPU 70%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 141.8

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SPU has more of the edges

BING 3, SPU 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

SPUBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: BING 18.7%, SPU 17.7%. Forced: BING 13.3%, SPU 20.0%

BINGBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: BING 41.5, SPU 35.5. Allowed: BING 34.6, SPU 46.4

SPUSmall

BING offense vs SPU defense

Offense 274th of 366 against a defense 182nd, on the model’s ratings

SPUSmall

Three-pointers

BING hits 32.5% and allows 35.8%; SPU hits 31.0% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 30.9% and 38.8% of their shots

SPUSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: BING 50.0 and allows 54.3; SPU 46.4 and allows 48.1

SPUSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: BING 20.9%, SPU 37.0%. Defensive: BING 70.6%, SPU 65.3%

BINGSmall

SPU offense vs BING defense

Offense 336th of 366 against a defense 273rd, on the model’s ratings

BINGSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: BING 65%, SPU 32%. Transfers in: BING 4, SPU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

SPUSmall

Home court

SPU at home. This season: SPU 0-0 at home, BING 0-0 away

Context

Schedule so far

BING has played the 350th-hardest schedule, SPU the 335th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Context

Tempo

About 66 possessions: BING plays 66.5 a game (294th fastest), SPU 66.1 (308th). Faster games mean more points

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	SPU -5.9	—
Total	—	141.8	—
Projected score	—	BING 68 · SPU 73.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	SPU -3.4	—
1H total	66.4	—
1H projected score	BING 31.5 · SPU 34.9	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BING WWLWW	13-15	46%	6-9	—
SPU LLWWL	17-11	61%	11-2	—

Venue/role: BING away; SPU home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BING OOOUO	16-12	57%	5-23
SPU UUUUU	10-18	36%	16-12

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BING	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
SPU	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Binghamton

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 8	vs RID	No recent meeting
Nov 14	@ DUQ	No recent meeting
Nov 18	@ LAF	W82–81WO

Saint Peter's

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 8	@ NJIT	W75–48WU
Nov 11	@ SC	No recent meeting
Nov 17	@ UML	W68–66LU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Binghamton

28 games played

Straight up

5-23

18% wins

Against the spread

13-15

46% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-12

57% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-2318%

L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L L L W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1546%

L L W W L L W L L L L W L W W L L W L W L L W W W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1257%

U U O O U O O U O O O O U U U U U O O U O U O O O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SYR	L 47-85	+21.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	vsNIA	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 12	@GTWN	L 70-83	+27.5	W +14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	@LONG	L 82-90	+15.5	W +7.5	147.5	O 172
Nov 22	vsUMES	L 52-63	-5.5	L −16.5	125.5	U 115
Nov 23	@CAN	L 66-75	+2.5	L −6.5	129.5	O 141
Dec 2	vsLEH	W 80-71	+3.5	W +12.5	139.5	O 151
Dec 6	vsLEM	L 63-78	+2.5	L −12.5	144.5	U 141
Dec 13	vsCCSU	L 67-84	+7.5	L −9.5	133.5	O 151
Dec 17	@PITT	L 63-103	+24.5	L −15.5	134.5	O 166
Dec 20	@MERC	L 61-82	+7.5	L −13.5	132.5	O 143
Dec 23	@ARMY	L 85-95	+12.5	W +2.5	140.5	O 180
Jan 3	vsNJIT	L 65-73	-3.5	L −11.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 8	@UVM	L 59-60	+20.5	W +19.5	140.5	U 119
Jan 10	vsUML	L 68-73	+6.5	W +1.5	146.5	U 141
Jan 15	@UALB	L 53-69	+8.5	L −7.5	138.5	U 122
Jan 19	vsUMBC	L 60-78	+4.5	L −13.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 22	@UNH	L 82-88	+9.5	W +3.5	135.5	O 170
Jan 24	@ME	L 63-79	+5.5	L −10.5	124.5	O 142
Jan 29	vsBRY	W 63-60	+2.5	W +5.5	130.5	U 123
Feb 5	@UMBC	L 62-79	+11.5	L −5.5	138.5	O 141
Feb 7	@NJIT	L 64-73	+8.5	L −0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 12	vsUVM	L 65-73	+11.5	W +3.5	136.5	O 138
Feb 14	vsUALB	L 74-77	+4.5	W +1.5	136.5	O 151
Feb 19	@BRY	W 79-67	+4.5	W +16.5	134.5	O 146
Feb 21	@UML	L 79-92	+9.5	L −3.5	146.5	O 171
Feb 26	vsUNH	W 65-63	+2.5	W +4.5	141.5	U 128
Feb 28	vsME	W 74-67	+1.5	W +8.5	133.5	O 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−16.5

NIA

L 59-67

−10.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+14.5

LONG

L 82-90

+7.5

UMES

L 52-63

−16.5

CAN

L 66-75

−6.5

LEH

W 80-71

+12.5

LEM

L 63-78

−12.5

CCSU

L 67-84

−9.5

PITT

L 63-103

−15.5

MERC

L 61-82

−13.5

ARMY

L 85-95

+2.5

NJIT

L 65-73

−11.5

UVM

L 59-60

+19.5

UML

L 68-73

+1.5

UALB

L 53-69

−7.5

UMBC

L 60-78

−13.5

UNH

L 82-88

+3.5

L 63-79

−10.5

BRY

W 63-60

+5.5

UMBC

L 62-79

−5.5

NJIT

L 64-73

−0.5

UVM

L 65-73

+3.5

UALB

L 74-77

+1.5

BRY

W 79-67

+16.5

UML

L 79-92

−3.5

UNH

W 65-63

+4.5

W 74-67

+8.5

covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−21.5

NIA

L 59-67

−12.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+11.5

LONG

L 82-90

+24.5

UMES

L 52-63

−10.5

CAN

L 66-75

+11.5

LEH

W 80-71

+11.5

LEM

L 63-78

−3.5

CCSU

L 67-84

+17.5

PITT

L 63-103

+31.5

MERC

L 61-82

+10.5

ARMY

L 85-95

+39.5

NJIT

L 65-73

−2.5

UVM

L 59-60

−21.5

UML

L 68-73

−5.5

UALB

L 53-69

−16.5

UMBC

L 60-78

−2.5

UNH

L 82-88

+34.5

L 63-79

+17.5

BRY

W 63-60

−7.5

UMBC

L 62-79

+2.5

NJIT

L 64-73

−3.5

UVM

L 65-73

+1.5

UALB

L 74-77

+14.5

BRY

W 79-67

+11.5

UML

L 79-92

+24.5

UNH

W 65-63

−13.5

W 74-67

+7.5

over 16under 12avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Saint Peter's

28 games played

Straight up

16-12

57% wins

Against the spread

17-11

61% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

10-18

36% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1257%

L W L L W L W W L W W L W W W W L W L W W L W L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-1161%

L W W L L L W W W W W L W W W W L W L W W L W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

10-1836%

U O U O U O U U O U U U O O U U U U O O U O O U U U U U

5 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@HALL	L 50-77	+13.5	L −13.5	129.5	U 127
Nov 8	vsFDU	W 93-83	-6.5	W +3.5	137.5	O 176
Nov 12	@VCU	L 61-78	+20.5	W +3.5	147.5	U 139
Nov 18	@DEL	L 70-81	+4.5	L −6.5	137.5	O 151
Nov 22	vsUML	W 68-66	-8.5	L −6.5	147.5	U 134
Nov 29	vsDART	L 61-87	-3.5	L −29.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 5	vsCAN	W 69-57	-9.5	W +2.5	129.5	U 126
Dec 7	vsNIA	W 71-43	-5.5	W +22.5	131.5	U 114
Dec 13	@GTWN	L 68-76	+20.5	W +12.5	140.5	O 144
Dec 29	@FAIR	W 70-66	+2.5	W +6.5	140.5	U 136
Jan 2	vsMRST	W 69-59	+2.5	W +12.5	133.5	U 128
Jan 9	@MSM	L 65-70	-1.5	L −6.5	141.5	U 135
Jan 11	vsMRMK	W 76-63	-1.5	W +11.5	133.5	O 139
Jan 14	@QUIN	W 74-70	+6.5	W +10.5	140.5	O 144
Jan 17	vsRID	W 69-58	-10.5	W +0.5	134.5	U 127
Jan 19	vsIONA	W 77-63	-3.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 140
Jan 24	@MRMK	L 59-67	+2.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 126
Jan 30	vsMSM	W 66-58	-5.5	W +2.5	138.5	U 124
Feb 1	@RID	L 78-81	-7.5	L −10.5	136.5	O 159
Feb 5	@MAN	W 80-75	-4.5	W +0.5	144.5	O 155
Feb 7	vsSIE	W 70-65	+1.5	W +6.5	135.5	U 135
Feb 13	@SHU	L 71-78	-1.5	L −8.5	147.5	O 149
Feb 15	vsFAIR	W 83-74	-3.5	W +5.5	141.5	O 157
Feb 20	@IONA	L 64-72	+1.5	L −6.5	140.5	U 136
Feb 22	@SIE	L 63-72	+5.5	L −3.5	135.5	U 135
Feb 27	vsMAN	W 75-65	-7.5	W +2.5	145.5	U 140
Mar 1	@MRST	W 63-56	+4.5	W +11.5	132.5	U 119
Mar 6	vsFAIR	L 55-74	-1.5	L −20.5	137.5	U 129

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−13.5

FDU

W 93-83

+3.5

VCU

L 61-78

+3.5

DEL

L 70-81

−6.5

UML

W 68-66

−6.5

DART

L 61-87

−29.5

CAN

W 69-57

+2.5

NIA

W 71-43

+22.5

GTWN

L 68-76

+12.5

FAIR

W 70-66

+6.5

MRST

W 69-59

+12.5

MSM

L 65-70

−6.5

MRMK

W 76-63

+11.5

QUIN

W 74-70

+10.5

RID

W 69-58

+0.5

IONA

W 77-63

+10.5

MRMK

L 59-67

−5.5

MSM

W 66-58

+2.5

RID

L 78-81

−10.5

MAN

W 80-75

+0.5

SIE

W 70-65

+6.5

SHU

L 71-78

−8.5

FAIR

W 83-74

+5.5

IONA

L 64-72

−6.5

SIE

L 63-72

−3.5

MAN

W 75-65

+2.5

MRST

W 63-56

+11.5

FAIR

L 55-74

−20.5

covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HALL

L 50-77

−2.5

FDU

W 93-83

+38.5

VCU

L 61-78

−8.5

DEL

L 70-81

+13.5

UML

W 68-66

−13.5

DART

L 61-87

+3.5

CAN

W 69-57

−3.5

NIA

W 71-43

−17.5

GTWN

L 68-76

+3.5

FAIR

W 70-66

−4.5

MRST

W 69-59

−5.5

MSM

L 65-70

−6.5

MRMK

W 76-63

+5.5

QUIN

W 74-70

+3.5

RID

W 69-58

−7.5

IONA

W 77-63

−1.5

MRMK

L 59-67

−8.5

MSM

W 66-58

−14.5

RID

L 78-81

+22.5

MAN

W 80-75

+10.5

SIE

W 70-65

−0.5

SHU

L 71-78

+1.5

FAIR

W 83-74

+15.5

IONA

L 64-72

−4.5

SIE

L 63-72

−0.5

MAN

W 75-65

−5.5

MRST

W 63-56

−13.5

FAIR

L 55-74

−8.5

over 10under 18avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Binghamton 1, Saint Peter's 1, even 3

BinghamtonBetterSaint Peter's

G J. Quigley14.6 pts · 4.9 reb · 6.3 ast Score 68

BINGBig

G B. Wilson TR9.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast Score 29

G K. Robinson TR10.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 40

SPUSmall

G B. Eaton11.2 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast Score 56

G J. Kelsey0 pts · 1 reb · 2 ast Not ranked

No call

G E. Perkins4 pts · 3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 9

F S. Snagg3.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 4

No call

G S. Simpson3.1 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked

C D. Lilley14.5 pts · 9.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 51

No call

F T. Patterson TR1.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

BinghamtonBetterSaint Peter's

BING offense274th of 366 · -8.3

SPUSmall

SPU defense182nd of 366 · -4.1

BING defense273rd of 366 · -6.9

BINGSmall

SPU offense336th of 366 · -11.0

Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players

BINGBig

Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players

Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players

SPUSmall

Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player

Bench-2.8 · 5 players

SPUSmall

Bench-1.1 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestBING betterSPU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Binghamton

Guards

J. Quigley37 minK. Robinson26 min · TRJ. Kelsey21 minJ. Blackburn16 minB. Montgomery4 min · TRN. Ibroci3 min

Forwards

S. Snagg20 minD. Godfrey9 min · TRS. SenghoreNew

Centers

D. Lilley33 minJ. Karram4 min · TR

Saint Peter's

Guards

B. Wilson28 min · TRB. Eaton28 minE. Perkins26 minS. Simpson11 minP. Glassnor6 min · TRK. WalkerNew

Forwards

T. Patterson8 min · TRB. Tshilobo2 min · TRA. WatsonNewX. ThomasNewJ. MathewsNew

Centers

J. Noudjihidi7 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

BING66.8 #338

SPU69.2 #296

Points per possession

BING1.00 #328

SPU1.05 #252

Pace (possessions)

BING66.5 #294

SPU66.1 #308

Shooting

Effective FG%

BING50.0 #235

SPU46.4 #347

3-point %

BING32.5 #254

SPU31.0 #321

3-point attempt rate

BING30.9 #340

SPU38.8 #197

Free throw rate

BING41.5 #37

SPU35.5 #163

Possessions

Turnover rate

BING18.7 #308

SPU17.7 #251

Offensive rebound rate

BING20.9 #361

SPU37.0 #16

Assists per game

BING11.1 #331

SPU12.5 #253

Defense

Points allowed

BING76.6 #233

SPU69.1 #48

Points allowed per possession

BING1.16 #333

SPU1.04 #78

Opponent effective FG%

BING54.3 #309

SPU48.1 #39

Opponent 3-point %

BING35.8 #294

SPU32.1 #68

Turnovers forced

BING13.3 #349

SPU20.0 #23

Defensive rebound rate

BING70.6 #128

SPU65.3 #330

Steals per game

BING5.0 #333

SPU8.8 #13

Blocks per game

BING2.8 #256

SPU3.9 #92

BING		SPU
Scoring
66.8 #338	Points per game	69.2 #296
1.00 #328	Points per possession	1.05 #252
66.5 #294	Pace (possessions)	66.1 #308
Shooting
50.0 #235	Effective FG%	46.4 #347
32.5 #254	3-point %	31.0 #321
30.9 #340	3-point attempt rate	38.8 #197
41.5 #37	Free throw rate	35.5 #163
Possessions
18.7 #308	Turnover rate	17.7 #251
20.9 #361	Offensive rebound rate	37.0 #16
11.1 #331	Assists per game	12.5 #253
Defense
76.6 #233	Points allowed	69.1 #48
1.16 #333	Points allowed per possession	1.04 #78
54.3 #309	Opponent effective FG%	48.1 #39
35.8 #294	Opponent 3-point %	32.1 #68
13.3 #349	Turnovers forced	20.0 #23
70.6 #128	Defensive rebound rate	65.3 #330
5.0 #333	Steals per game	8.8 #13
2.8 #256	Blocks per game	3.9 #92

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Binghamton

5-23 in 2025-26 overall · 4-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Wvs Maine74–67
Wvs New Hampshire65–63
L@ UMass Lowell79–92
W@ Bryant79–67
Lvs UAlbany74–77

A week or more of rest.

Saint Peter's

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Fairfield55–74
W@ Marist63–56
Wvs Manhattan75–65
L@ Siena63–72
L@ Iona64–72

A week or more of rest.

Binghamton Bearcats at Saint Peter's Peacocks

What could decide it: SPU has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Binghamton

Saint Peter's

The starting fives are even

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Binghamton

Saint Peter's