1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 11
  3. SPU @ SC
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 11

Saint Peter's Peacocks at South Carolina Gamecocks

Colonial Life Arena · at South Carolina
#269SPUSaint Peter's
@
#79SCSouth Carolina
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SPUThis seasonSC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SC 80–61 · win probability SC 95%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 140.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SC has more of the edges

SPU 1, SC 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SCBig
SPU offense vs SC defense
Offense 336th of 366 against a defense 53rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
SPU has played the 335th-hardest schedule, SC the 54th. A record against a soft schedule means less
SCBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: SPU 35.5, SC 36.7. Allowed: SPU 46.4, SC 34.0
SPUSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SPU 37.0%, SC 27.2%. Defensive: SPU 65.3%, SC 67.9%
SCSmall
SC offense vs SPU defense
Offense 98th of 366 against a defense 182nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: SPU plays 66.1 a game (308th fastest), SC 68.8 (195th). Faster games mean more points
SCSmall
Home court
SC at home. This season: SC 0-0 at home, SPU 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SPU 17.7%, SC 14.4%. Forced: SPU 20.0%, SC 14.6%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SPU 32%, SC 13%. Transfers in: SPU 5, SC 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: SPU 46.4 and allows 48.1; SC 50.3 and allows 51.6
Even
Three-pointers
SPU hits 31.0% and allows 32.1%; SC hits 31.1% and allows 31.8%. Threes are 38.8% and 44.4% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SC -19.3—
Total—140.9—
Projected score—SPU 60.8 · SC 80.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSC -11.3—
1H total66.0—
1H projected scoreSPU 27.3 · SC 38.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

South Carolina has the better starters

Position by position: Saint Peter's 0, South Carolina 3, even 2
Saint Peter'sBetterSouth Carolina
G B. Wilson TR9.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast Score 29
SCBig
G S. Blakeney TR14.3 pts · 5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 71
G B. Eaton11.2 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast Score 56
SCSmall
G K. Mincy TR14.2 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.9 ast Score 81
G E. Perkins4 pts · 3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 9
SCBig
F J. Necas TR6.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1 ast Score 46
G S. Simpson3.1 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F C. Heide TR5.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 40
F T. Patterson TR1.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Bieliauskas TR4.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 36
Saint Peter'sBetterSouth Carolina
SPU offense336th of 366 · -11.0
SCBig
SC defense53rd of 366 · +1.6
SPU defense182nd of 366 · -4.1
SCSmall
SC offense98th of 366 · -0.8
Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players
SCBig
Backcourt+2.5 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
SPUSmall
Frontcourt-2.0 · 3 players
Bench-1.1 · 3 players
Even
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestSPU betterSC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Saint Peter's
Guards
B. Wilson28 min · TRB. Eaton28 minE. Perkins26 minS. Simpson11 minP. Glassnor6 min · TRK. WalkerNew
Forwards
T. Patterson8 min · TRB. Tshilobo2 min · TRA. WatsonNewX. ThomasNewJ. MathewsNew
Centers
J. Noudjihidi7 min · TR
South Carolina
Guards
S. Blakeney34 min · TRK. Mincy34 min · TRG. Polk13 minD. Hannah13 min · TRE. Sparkman4 minM. JohnsonNew
Forwards
J. Necas25 min · TRC. Heide23 min · TRA. Bieliauskas20 min · TRH. Assemian10 minH. LopezNewJ. FernandezNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SPUSC
Scoring
69.2 #296Points per game74.9 #165
1.05 #252Points per possession1.09 #161
66.1 #308Pace (possessions)68.8 #195
Shooting
46.4 #347Effective FG%50.3 #226
31.0 #3213-point %31.1 #317
38.8 #1973-point attempt rate44.4 #80
35.5 #163Free throw rate36.7 #137
Possessions
17.7 #251Turnover rate14.4 #39
37.0 #16Offensive rebound rate27.2 #289
12.5 #253Assists per game13.3 #190
Defense
69.1 #48Points allowed76.5 #228
1.04 #78Points allowed per possession1.11 #252
48.1 #39Opponent effective FG%51.6 #188
32.1 #68Opponent 3-point %31.8 #56
20.0 #23Turnovers forced14.6 #314
65.3 #330Defensive rebound rate67.9 #263
8.8 #13Steals per game5.5 #295
3.9 #92Blocks per game2.4 #317
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Saint Peter's

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Fairfield55–74
  • W@ Marist63–56
  • Wvs Manhattan75–65
  • L@ Siena63–72
  • L@ Iona64–72

A week or more of rest.

South Carolina

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Oklahoma74–86
  • W@ Ole Miss64–61
  • Lvs Tennessee59–78
  • L@ Georgia68–87
  • Lvs Kentucky63–72

A week or more of rest.