1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Nov 25
  3. SPU @ COLU
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 25

Saint Peter's Peacocks at Columbia Lions

Levien Gymnasium · at Columbia
#269SPUSaint Peter's
@
#170COLUColumbia
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SPUThis seasonCOLU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COLU 75–67 · win probability COLU 76%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.6
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: COLU has more of the edges

SPU 1, COLU 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SPUBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SPU 17.7%, COLU 19.3%. Forced: SPU 20.0%, COLU 15.1%
Context
Schedule so far
SPU has played the 335th-hardest schedule, COLU the 169th. A record against a soft schedule means less
COLUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SPU 37.0%, COLU 36.0%. Defensive: SPU 65.3%, COLU 72.8%
COLUBig
SPU offense vs COLU defense
Offense 336th of 366 against a defense 198th, on the model’s ratings
COLUSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: SPU 46.4 and allows 48.1; COLU 53.5 and allows 51.2
COLUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SPU 32%, COLU 61%. Transfers in: SPU 5, COLU 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
COLUSmall
Home court
COLU at home. This season: COLU 0-0 at home, SPU 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: SPU plays 66.1 a game (308th fastest), COLU 67.8 (237th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Three-pointers
SPU hits 31.0% and allows 32.1%; COLU hits 35.9% and allows 35.2%. Threes are 38.8% and 37.5% of their shots
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SPU 35.5, COLU 28.6. Allowed: SPU 46.4, COLU 33.5
Even
COLU offense vs SPU defense
Offense 163rd of 366 against a defense 182nd, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COLU -8.0—
Total—142.6—
Projected score—SPU 67.3 · COLU 75.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOLU -4.6—
1H total66.7—
1H projected scoreSPU 31.1 · COLU 35.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Columbia has the better starters

Position by position: Saint Peter's 0, Columbia 2, even 3
Saint Peter'sBetterColumbia
G B. Wilson TR9.7 pts · 4.3 reb · 1 ast Score 29
COLUSmall
G M. Franklin9.4 pts · 4.1 reb · 1 ast Score 48
G B. Eaton11.2 pts · 3 reb · 3.9 ast Score 56
Even
G G. O'Keefe7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.9 ast Score 45
G E. Perkins4 pts · 3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 9
COLUSmall
G H. Sanders4.2 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 38
G S. Simpson3.1 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
F M. Ritter6.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.7 ast Score 21
F T. Patterson TR1.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F C. Igoe8.2 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.8 ast Score 72
Saint Peter'sBetterColumbia
SPU offense336th of 366 · -11.0
COLUBig
COLU defense198th of 366 · -4.8
SPU defense182nd of 366 · -4.1
Even
COLU offense163rd of 366 · -4.9
Backcourt-6.2 · 4 players
COLUBig
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.1 · 2 players
Bench-1.1 · 3 players
Even
Bench-1.9 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestSPU betterCOLU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Saint Peter's
Guards
B. Wilson28 min · TRB. Eaton28 minE. Perkins26 minS. Simpson11 minP. Glassnor6 min · TRK. WalkerNew
Forwards
T. Patterson8 min · TRB. Tshilobo2 min · TRA. WatsonNewX. ThomasNewJ. MathewsNew
Centers
J. Noudjihidi7 min · TR
Columbia
Guards
M. Franklin24 minG. O'Keefe21 minH. Sanders15 minJ. Cunningham4 minD. VesseyNewN. RomanelliNew
Forwards
M. Ritter25 minC. Igoe20 minD. Langford11 min · TRR. Nweke8 minL. Coleman4 minN. ClarksonNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SPUCOLU
Scoring
69.2 #296Points per game74.9 #167
1.05 #252Points per possession1.10 #130
66.1 #308Pace (possessions)67.8 #237
Shooting
46.4 #347Effective FG%53.5 #83
31.0 #3213-point %35.9 #61
38.8 #1973-point attempt rate37.5 #221
35.5 #163Free throw rate28.6 #337
Possessions
17.7 #251Turnover rate19.3 #332
37.0 #16Offensive rebound rate36.0 #23
12.5 #253Assists per game15.0 #90
Defense
69.1 #48Points allowed73.5 #145
1.04 #78Points allowed per possession1.09 #188
48.1 #39Opponent effective FG%51.2 #168
32.1 #68Opponent 3-point %35.2 #258
20.0 #23Turnovers forced15.1 #282
65.3 #330Defensive rebound rate72.8 #42
8.8 #13Steals per game5.7 #270
3.9 #92Blocks per game3.0 #235
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Saint Peter's

16-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Metro Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Fairfield55–74
  • W@ Marist63–56
  • Wvs Manhattan75–65
  • L@ Siena63–72
  • L@ Iona64–72

A week or more of rest.

Columbia

14-12 in 2025-26 overall · 5-9 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Harvard71–81
  • Lvs Yale54–60
  • Wvs Brown80–62
  • Lvs Dartmouth63–64
  • W@ Princeton75–65

A week or more of rest.