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  2. Wed, Nov 18
  3. ELON @ SC
NCAAB · Wed, Nov 18

Elon Phoenix at South Carolina Gamecocks

Colonial Life Arena · at South Carolina
#231ELONElon
@
#79SCSouth Carolina
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
ELONThis seasonSC
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SC 82–66 · win probability SC 93%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 148.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SC has more of the edges

ELON 1, SC 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SCBig
ELON offense vs SC defense
Offense 225th of 366 against a defense 53rd, on the model’s ratings
SCBig
SC offense vs ELON defense
Offense 98th of 366 against a defense 235th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
ELON has played the 186th-hardest schedule, SC the 54th. A record against a soft schedule means less
ELONSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: ELON 32.3%, SC 27.2%. Defensive: ELON 66.5%, SC 67.9%
SCSmall
Three-pointers
ELON hits 34.3% and allows 36.5%; SC hits 31.1% and allows 31.8%. Threes are 43.2% and 44.4% of their shots
SCSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: ELON 33.5, SC 36.7. Allowed: ELON 34.6, SC 34.0
SCSmall
Home court
SC at home. This season: SC 0-0 at home, ELON 0-0 away
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: ELON 30%, SC 13%. Transfers in: ELON 5, SC 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: ELON 52.2 and allows 54.0; SC 50.3 and allows 51.6
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: ELON 16.0%, SC 14.4%. Forced: ELON 16.4%, SC 14.6%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: ELON plays 69.0 a game (178th fastest), SC 68.8 (195th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SC -16.7—
Total—148.1—
Projected score—ELON 65.7 · SC 82.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSC -9.8—
1H total69.3—
1H projected scoreELON 29.7 · SC 39.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

South Carolina has the better starters

Position by position: Elon 0, South Carolina 3, even 2
ElonBetterSouth Carolina
G R. Pettus11 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast Score 28
SCBig
G S. Blakeney TR14.3 pts · 5 reb · 2.5 ast Score 71
G B. Cokley12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 60
SCSmall
G K. Mincy TR14.2 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.9 ast Score 81
G I. Mbeng TR4.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 2.6 ast Score 12
SCSmall
F J. Necas TR6.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1 ast Score 46
G C. Thrower TR5.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 33
Even
F C. Heide TR5.8 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 40
F J. Dalton TR3.4 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.5 ast Score 38
Even
F A. Bieliauskas TR4.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 36
ElonBetterSouth Carolina
ELON offense225th of 366 · -6.9
SCBig
SC defense53rd of 366 · +1.6
ELON defense235th of 366 · -6.2
SCBig
SC offense98th of 366 · -0.8
Backcourt-5.7 · 4 players
SCBig
Backcourt+2.5 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
ELONSmall
Frontcourt-2.0 · 3 players
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Even
Bench-0.7 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestELON betterSC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Elon
Guards
R. Pettus28 minB. Cokley27 minI. Mbeng23 min · TRC. Thrower17 min · TRR. Villar12 min · TRK. DixonNew
Forwards
J. Dalton13 min · TRI. Garmendia3 minA. Olander1 minM. ŠarenacNewB. SehlhorstNewC. ZhuNew
Centers
H. Harding7 min · TR
South Carolina
Guards
S. Blakeney34 min · TRK. Mincy34 min · TRG. Polk13 minD. Hannah13 min · TRE. Sparkman4 minM. JohnsonNew
Forwards
J. Necas25 min · TRC. Heide23 min · TRA. Bieliauskas20 min · TRH. Assemian10 minH. LopezNewJ. FernandezNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
ELONSC
Scoring
76.8 #123Points per game74.9 #165
1.12 #111Points per possession1.09 #161
69.0 #178Pace (possessions)68.8 #195
Shooting
52.2 #137Effective FG%50.3 #226
34.3 #1543-point %31.1 #317
43.2 #1073-point attempt rate44.4 #80
33.5 #222Free throw rate36.7 #137
Possessions
16.0 #136Turnover rate14.4 #39
32.3 #116Offensive rebound rate27.2 #289
14.6 #108Assists per game13.3 #190
Defense
79.3 #307Points allowed76.5 #228
1.14 #316Points allowed per possession1.11 #252
54.0 #300Opponent effective FG%51.6 #188
36.5 #328Opponent 3-point %31.8 #56
16.4 #196Turnovers forced14.6 #314
66.5 #307Defensive rebound rate67.9 #263
6.6 #157Steals per game5.5 #295
3.0 #231Blocks per game2.4 #317
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Elon

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 6-13 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs William & Mary62–72
  • Lvs UNC Wilmington57–76
  • L@ Monmouth57–73
  • L@ Towson56–58
  • Lvs NC A&T82–102

A week or more of rest.

South Carolina

13-19 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · Southeastern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Oklahoma74–86
  • W@ Ole Miss64–61
  • Lvs Tennessee59–78
  • L@ Georgia68–87
  • Lvs Kentucky63–72

A week or more of rest.