Trask Coliseum · at UNC Wilmington · NIT
Closing line
DAY -3.5✓ DAY covered by 15.5
DAY -3.5✓ DAY covered by 15.5Closing total138.5Over by 2.5
| DAY | This season | UNCW |
|---|---|---|
| 24-11 | Record | 25-6 |
| 16-19 | ATS | 16-15 |
| 12-23 | O/U | 17-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAY 71–67 UNCW · ✓ DAY (63%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 37 | 43 | 80 |
| UNCW | 33 | 28 | 61 |
1st half: DAY 37, UNCW 33 (DAY by 4). The model had DAY by 2.3 and a total of 64.8 (actual 70).
Team stats
| DAY | UNCW | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 24-57 42% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 3-21 14% |
| 13-16 81% | Free throws | 10-16 63% |
| 38 11 off | Rebounds | 28 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 7 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 37 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 33 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 8-13 | 2-5 |
| Keonte Jones G | 32 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Amal L'Etang F | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 19 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Derkack G | 26 | 7 | 13 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Jacob Conner F | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bryce Heard G | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Malcolm Thomas F | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Damon Friery F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sean Pouedet G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Makai Grant G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Will Maxwell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Adam Njie, Evan Dickey, Jaron McKie
| UNCW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greedy Williams G | 34 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Nolan Hodge G | 33 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Christian May G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-5 |
| Noah Ross G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Patrick Wessler C | 26 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madison Durr G | 22 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Jahnathan Lamothe G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Makoi Mabor Makoi F | 11 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| JoJo Fullwood G | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Makel Smith G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Grady Whitt G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Gavin Walsh, CJ Luster II, Matija Prodanovic, Adam Tokpah
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDAY -2.5
1 → DAY
CloseDAY -3.5
1 pt toward DAY
Total
Open139.5
▼ 1
Close138.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
DAY -170 · UNCW +142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DAY -2.5 · closed DAY -3.5 · moved 1 toward DAYmodel DAY -3.5 matches the line
model DAY -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 139.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 1 downmodel 138.5 matches the line
model 138.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DAY -3.5 | DAY -3.7 | DAY +0.2 | W DAY covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 138.4 | Under 0.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | DAY 71 · UNCW 67.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DAY -2.3 | DAY -4.0 |
| 1H total | 64.8 | 70 |
| 1H projected score | DAY 33.6 · UNCW 31.2 | DAY 37 · UNCW 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
| UNCW | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dayton
35 games played
Straight up
24-11
69% wins
Against the spread
16-19
46% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-23
34% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs BYU | L 79-83 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | vs ETSU | W 88-71 | -11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs UVA | L 73-86 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UNF | W 84-61 | -30.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 16 | vs FSU | W 97-69 | -6.5 | W +21.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 20 | vs LIB | L 61-64 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 31 | vs FOR | W 63-56 | -16.5 | L −9.5 | 139.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 3 | @ LUC | W 70-68 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 6 | vs GW | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 13 | @ DUQ | W 71-65 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 16 | vsLUC | W 78-51 | -16.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @ LAS | L 64-67 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | @ JOES | L 74-81 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 27 | vs URI | L 76-81 | -9.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 30 | @ SLU | L 71-102 | +9.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 3 | vs SBU | W 72-70 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 6 | @ VCU | L 73-99 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 15 | vs DAV | W 70-59 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 18 | @ GMU | W 82-67 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 21 | vsDUQ | W 78-66 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 24 | vsSLU | W 77-62 | +3.5 | W +18.5 | 157.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 27 | @GW | W 68-66 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 3 | @ RICH | W 65-60 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 6 | vsVCU | L 62-68 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 13 | vsSBU | W 68-63 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 14 | vsSLU | W 70-69 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 15 | vsVCU | L 62-70 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 18 | @ BRAD | W 80-66 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+5.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+5.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
−7.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−7.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+21.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−12.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−9.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−5.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
+4.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
+3.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
+10.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−12.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
−13.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
−14.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
−21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−5.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
−17.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
+5.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+17.5
21
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-66
+5.5
24
vsSLU
SLUW 77-62
+18.5
27
@GW
GWW 68-66
+4.5
3
@RICH
RICHW 65-60
−0.5
6
vsVCU
VCUL 62-68
−7.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 68-63
−0.5
14
vsSLU
SLUW 70-69
+5.5
15
vsVCU
VCUL 62-70
−4.5
18
@BRAD
BRADW 80-66
+11.5
covered 16didn’t cover 19avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
28
vsBYU
BYUL 79-83
+11.5
2
vsETSU
ETSUW 88-71
+18.5
6
vsUVA
UVAL 73-86
+11.5
13
vsUNF
UNFW 84-61
−14.5
16
vsFSU
FSUW 97-69
+3.5
20
vsLIB
LIBL 61-64
−17.5
31
vsFOR
FORW 63-56
−20.5
3
@LUC
LUCW 70-68
−2.5
6
vsGW
GWW 79-72
−3.5
13
@DUQ
DUQW 71-65
−16.5
16
vsLUC
LUCW 78-51
−12.5
21
@LAS
LASL 64-67
−6.5
24
@JOES
JOESL 74-81
+15.5
27
vsURI
URIL 76-81
+18.5
30
@SLU
SLUL 71-102
+21.5
3
vsSBU
SBUW 72-70
−2.5
6
@VCU
VCUL 73-99
+24.5
15
vsDAV
DAVW 70-59
−11.5
18
@GMU
GMUW 82-67
+11.5
21
vsDUQ
DUQW 78-66
−4.5
24
vsSLU
SLUW 77-62
−18.5
27
@GW
GWW 68-66
−18.5
3
@RICH
RICHW 65-60
−19.5
6
vsVCU
VCUL 62-68
−16.5
13
vsSBU
SBUW 68-63
−10.5
14
vsSLU
SLUW 70-69
−6.5
15
vsVCU
VCUL 62-70
−7.5
18
@BRAD
BRADW 80-66
+4.5
over 12under 23avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Wilmington
31 games played
Straight up
25-6
81% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-14
55% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ KENT | L 77-86 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 15 | vs UPST | W 73-60 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 18 | vs ECU | W 85-60 | -6.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | @ RAD | W 81-73 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 26 | vs SELA | W 70-57 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs NAVY | W 87-57 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs GWEB | W 88-62 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 3 | vs MRSH | W 70-69 | -8.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UL | W 70-63 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ VAL | W 73-70 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOW | L 66-67 | -15.5 | L −16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | @ NCAT | W 87-78 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 31 | vs DREX | W 65-53 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAMP | W 49-45 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | U 94 |
| Jan 8 | @ NE | W 87-78 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 10 | @ STBK | W 75-71 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs CAM | W 78-75 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 22 | @ W&M | L 70-77 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 24 | @HAMP | W 75-67 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 136.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 29 | @ TOW | W 82-73 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 5 | vsW&M | L 78-85 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 9 | @ COFC | W 76-64 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 12 | vs ELON | W 65-54 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vs HOF | W 70-66 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 19 | vs MONM | W 79-69 | -7.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 21 | @CAM | W 73-68 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 26 | vsNCAT | W 88-65 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 1 | vsCOFC | L 76-79 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 3 | @ELON | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 8 | vsCAM | L 70-85 | -6.5 | L −21.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 17 | @ YALE | W 68-67 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
−5.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−1.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
+18.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+3.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
+1.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+21.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+7.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−7.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
−5.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
−1.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−16.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
−1.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−0.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−8.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+4.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
−2.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
−3.5
22
@W&M
W&ML 70-77
−4.5
24
@HAMP
HAMPW 75-67
+3.5
29
@TOW
TOWW 82-73
+10.5
5
vsW&M
W&ML 78-85
−11.5
9
@COFC
COFCW 76-64
+13.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 65-54
+2.5
14
vsHOF
HOFW 70-66
+1.5
19
vsMONM
MONMW 79-69
+2.5
21
@CAM
CAMW 73-68
+1.5
26
vsNCAT
NCATW 88-65
+9.5
1
vsCOFC
COFCL 76-79
−8.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 76-57
+14.5
8
vsCAM
CAML 70-85
−21.5
17
@YALE
YALEW 68-67
+5.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@KENT
KENTL 77-86
+6.5
15
vsUPST
UPSTW 73-60
−22.5
18
vsECU
ECUW 85-60
−0.5
21
@RAD
RADW 81-73
+2.5
26
vsSELA
SELAW 70-57
−10.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYW 87-57
+5.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 88-62
+2.5
3
vsMRSH
MRSHW 70-69
−11.5
6
@UL
ULW 70-63
+2.5
13
@VAL
VALW 73-70
+6.5
20
vsHOW
HOWL 66-67
−8.5
29
@NCAT
NCATW 87-78
+18.5
31
vsDREX
DREXW 65-53
−19.5
3
vsHAMP
HAMPW 49-45
−46.5
8
@NE
NEW 87-78
+22.5
10
@STBK
STBKW 75-71
+12.5
17
vsCAM
CAMW 78-75
+3.5
22
@W&M
W&ML 70-77
−12.5
24
@HAMP
HAMPW 75-67
+5.5
29
@TOW
TOWW 82-73
+19.5
5
vsW&M
W&ML 78-85
+3.5
9
@COFC
COFCW 76-64
−8.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 65-54
−30.5
14
vsHOF
HOFW 70-66
−1.5
19
vsMONM
MONMW 79-69
+3.5
21
@CAM
CAMW 73-68
−9.5
26
vsNCAT
NCATW 88-65
+6.5
1
vsCOFC
COFCL 76-79
+8.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 76-57
−12.5
8
vsCAM
CAML 70-85
+5.5
17
@YALE
YALEW 68-67
−13.5
over 17under 14avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dayton
24-11 overall · 14-7 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bradley80–66
- Lvs VCU62–70
- Wvs Saint Louis70–69
- Wvs St Bonaventure68–63
- Lvs VCU62–68
3 days since their last game.
UNC Wilmington
25-6 overall · 15-4 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Yale68–67
- Lvs Campbell70–85
- W@ Elon76–57
- Lvs Charleston76–79
- Wvs NC A&T88–65
4 days since their last game.