Denny Sanford Premier Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
NDSU -8.5✓ NDSU covered by 15.5
NDSU -8.5✓ NDSU covered by 15.5Closing total146.5Under by 22.5
 OMA | This season | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| 12-16 | Record | 22-7 |
| 14-14 | ATS | 17-12 |
| 14-14 | O/U | 14-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OMA 72–79 NDSU · ✓ NDSU (73%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 25 | 25 | 50 |
| NDSU | 40 | 34 | 74 |
1st half: OMA 25, NDSU 40 (NDSU by 15). The model had NDSU by 4.1 and a total of 70.4 (actual 65).
Team stats
| OMA | NDSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-50 30% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 4-26 15% | 3-pointers | 8-29 28% |
| 16-18 89% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 28 3 off | Rebounds | 43 10 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Djobet F | 35 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-6 |
| Lance Waddles G | 31 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Grant Stubblefield G | 30 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Tony Osburn G | 26 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Valentino Simon F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 28 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1-9 | 0-4 |
| Khamani Cooper G | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Julian Margrave F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Kamryn Thomas F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Brock Scholl F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christian Richardson C | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aidan Skradis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rob Matos, Brandon Orgilbold, Isaac Ondekane, Deng Mayar, Benji Nelson
| NDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Stefonowicz G | 34 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 3-9 | 2-7 |
| Damari Wheeler-Thomas G | 32 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Trevian Carson G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Markhi Strickland G | 22 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Treyson Anderson F | 15 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Feddersen C | 23 | 11 | 13 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Tay Smith G | 19 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Emil Skytt G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Riley Massey G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Carson Smith G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Max Majerle G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riley Saunders G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Schoenrock F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Dom Clay
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNDSU -8.5
ModelNDSU -7.0
Model edgeOMA +1.5
L NDSU covered
Total
Market146.5
Model150.5
Model edgeOver 4.0
L Under
Projected score
OMA 71.7 · NDSU 78.8
OMA 50 · NDSU 74
Win probability
NDSU 73%
1st half
Spread
NDSU -4.1
NDSU -15.0
Total
70.4
65 points
Projected score
OMA 33.2 · NDSU 37.2
OMA 25 · NDSU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNDSU -6.5
2 → NDSU
CloseNDSU -8.5
2 pts toward NDSU
Total
Open146.5
no move
Close146.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
OMA +310 · NDSU -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NDSU -6.5 · closed NDSU -8.5 · moved 2 toward NDSUmodel NDSU -7
model NDSU -7
Opened 146.5 · unchangedmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| NDSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
OMA 3–7 NDSUNDSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NDSU has won the last 2 meetings · OMA 8-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | OMA 84 @ NDSU 92 | NDSU -9.5 | OMA W |
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | NDSU 78 @ OMA 76 | OMA +5.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | NDSU 74 @ OMA 85 | OMA +1.5 | OMA W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | OMA 85 @ NDSU 80 | NDSU -12.5 | OMA W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | OMA 79 @ NDSU 81 | NDSU -3.5 | OMA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Omaha
28 games played
Straight up
12-16
43% wins
Against the spread
14-14
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-14
50% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MUR | L 77-85 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 6 | @ ACU | L 71-73 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | @ CSU | L 74-97 | +14.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | vs SUU | W 90-85 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | @ LSU | L 73-99 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 25 | vs JMU | L 77-88 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 26 | @ FIU | L 61-74 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs UNCO | L 70-75 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | @ PRST | W 60-55 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Dec 20 | @ LAM | W 85-82 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 28 | @ ORE | L 57-80 | +21.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 1 | @ SDST | L 69-84 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 3 | vs KC | L 66-73 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vs UND | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 10 | vsNDSU | L 76-78 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 17 | @ ORU | W 73-62 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vs SDAK | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 160.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 24 | @KC | W 77-60 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 28 | vsSDST | W 80-71 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | @ DEN | W 84-82 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 5 | @UND | L 73-76 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | @NDSU | L 84-92 | +9.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 12 | vs STMN | W 98-94 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 192 |
| Feb 15 | vsDEN | W 83-76 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Feb 18 | vsORU | W 80-71 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 25 | @SDAK | L 72-89 | +1.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 28 | @STMN | L 53-68 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 6 | vsSDAK | W 76-62 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
−5.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
−9.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−8.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−1.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
+17.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+8.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−1.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
−5.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−15.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+5.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+3.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
+12.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−10.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
+12.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+10.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+3.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+1.5
12
vsSTMN
STMNW 98-94
+8.5
15
vsDEN
DENW 83-76
+4.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 80-71
+2.5
25
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-89
−15.5
28
@STMN
STMNL 53-68
−3.5
6
vsSDAK
SDAKW 76-62
+12.5
covered 14didn’t cover 14avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
21
@LSU
LSUL 73-99
+8.5
25
vsJMU
JMUL 77-88
+12.5
26
@FIU
FIUL 61-74
−22.5
3
vsUNCO
UNCOL 70-75
−12.5
6
@PRST
PRSTW 60-55
−29.5
20
@LAM
LAMW 85-82
+25.5
28
@ORE
OREL 57-80
−14.5
1
@SDST
SDSTL 69-84
+0.5
3
vsKC
KCL 66-73
−9.5
8
vsUND
UNDW 90-79
+22.5
10
vsNDSU
NDSUL 76-78
+6.5
17
@ORU
ORUW 73-62
−14.5
21
vsSDAK
SDAKL 64-68
−28.5
24
@KC
KCW 77-60
−11.5
28
vsSDST
SDSTW 80-71
+0.5
31
@DEN
DENW 84-82
+7.5
5
@UND
UNDL 73-76
−1.5
7
@NDSU
NDSUL 84-92
+29.5
12
vsSTMN
STMNW 98-94
+35.5
15
vsDEN
DENW 83-76
−1.5
18
vsORU
ORUW 80-71
−0.5
25
@SDAK
SDAKL 72-89
+8.5
28
@STMN
STMNL 53-68
−37.5
6
vsSDAK
SDAKW 76-62
−12.5
over 14under 14avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Dakota St
29 games played
Straight up
22-7
76% wins
Against the spread
17-12
59% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ORST | L 65-67 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 5 | @ UCD | L 68-80 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | vs CSUN | W 90-68 | -4.5 | W +17.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIU | W 92-85 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs JXST | W 56-43 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 142.5 | U 99 |
| Nov 28 | @ ARST | L 80-85 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | @ MONT | W 81-72 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs NAU | W 69-68 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 11 | @ CSUB | W 80-69 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ DRKE | W 99-94 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCI | L 73-74 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 22 | @ UTEP | L 66-76 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 31 | vsSDAK | W 84-61 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 164.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | vsORU | W 79-77 | -13.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | @KC | W 97-73 | -9.5 | W +14.5 | 144.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | @OMA | W 78-76 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vsSDST | W 76-65 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsSTMN | W 68-65 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 22 | @DEN | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | @ORU | W 86-58 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | @SDAK | W 89-84 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 5 | vsDEN | L 71-78 | -12.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 7 | vsOMA | W 92-84 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 14 | @UND | W 83-66 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 18 | @SDST | W 74-66 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 140 |
| Feb 21 | vsKC | W 95-59 | -19.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 26 | @STMN | L 62-84 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 28 | vsUND | W 96-63 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 5 | vsORU | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
+7.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
−10.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+17.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+5.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
+9.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
−1.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
+12.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−11.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
+3.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+10.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
−2.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
−12.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
+11.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
−11.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+14.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
−3.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
+5.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
+0.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
+0.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
+17.5
31
@SDAK
SDAKW 89-84
−3.5
5
vsDEN
DENL 71-78
−19.5
7
vsOMA
OMAW 92-84
−1.5
14
@UND
UNDW 83-66
+11.5
18
@SDST
SDSTW 74-66
+6.5
21
vsKC
KCW 95-59
+16.5
26
@STMN
STMNL 62-84
−18.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 96-63
+21.5
5
vsORU
ORUW 76-65
−1.5
covered 17didn’t cover 12avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ORST
ORSTL 65-67
−12.5
5
@UCD
UCDL 68-80
+5.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 90-68
+1.5
17
vsSIU
SIUW 92-85
+23.5
26
vsJXST
JXSTW 56-43
−43.5
28
@ARST
ARSTL 80-85
+4.5
3
@MONT
MONTW 81-72
−0.5
6
vsNAU
NAUW 69-68
−10.5
11
@CSUB
CSUBW 80-69
−0.5
13
@DRKE
DRKEW 99-94
+47.5
21
vsUCI
UCIL 73-74
+0.5
22
@UTEP
UTEPL 66-76
+2.5
31
vsSDAK
SDAKW 84-61
−19.5
3
vsORU
ORUW 79-77
+9.5
8
@KC
KCW 97-73
+25.5
10
@OMA
OMAW 78-76
+6.5
14
vsSDST
SDSTW 76-65
−10.5
17
vsSTMN
STMNW 68-65
−18.5
22
@DEN
DENW 82-77
−1.5
24
@ORU
ORUW 86-58
−7.5
31
@SDAK
SDAKW 89-84
+18.5
5
vsDEN
DENL 71-78
−7.5
7
vsOMA
OMAW 92-84
+29.5
14
@UND
UNDW 83-66
−0.5
18
@SDST
SDSTW 74-66
−6.5
21
vsKC
KCW 95-59
+5.5
26
@STMN
STMNL 62-84
−9.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 96-63
+6.5
5
vsORU
ORUW 76-65
−6.5
over 14under 15avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Omaha
12-16 overall · 9-8 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs South Dakota76–62
- L@ St Thomas53–68
- L@ South Dakota72–89
- Wvs Oral Roberts80–71
- Wvs Denver83–76
1 day since their last game.
N Dakota St
22-7 overall · 15-2 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oral Roberts76–65
- Wvs North Dakota96–63
- L@ St Thomas62–84
- Wvs Kansas City95–59
- W@ S Dakota St74–66
2 days since their last game.