Case Gym · at Boston U · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
BU -1.5✓ BU covered by 0.5
BU -1.5✓ BU covered by 0.5Closing total141.5Over by 6.5
 AMER | This season | BU |
|---|---|---|
| 14-15 | Record | 14-16 |
| 16-13 | ATS | 15-15 |
| 14-15 | O/U | 17-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 71–73 BU · ✓ BU (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| BU | 40 | 35 | 75 |
1st half: AMER 36, BU 40 (BU by 4). The model had BU by 1.2 and a total of 67.6 (actual 76).
Team stats
| AMER | BU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-59 53% | Field goals | 32-53 60% |
| 5-21 24% | 3-pointers | 10-19 53% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 1-2 50% |
| 27 12 off | Rebounds | 24 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 14 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Geoff Sprouse G | 33 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2-10 | 2-7 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Matt Mayock F | 32 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Greg Jones F | 30 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 22 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 9-12 | 1-2 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Chris Eagan F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dean Hogans G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gibraltar Coleman, Adrian Samuels, Kamran Prince, Luke Brown, Carson McDonald, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Noah Jones, Eric Michaels, Shane O'Reilly
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 38 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Chance Gladden G | 37 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 7-12 | 2-2 |
| Azmar Abdullah G | 36 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Ben Defty C | 33 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 10-13 | 0-0 |
| Sam Hughes F | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Donte Tisinger Jr. G | 23 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 5-5 | 3-3 |
| Quinn Nielsen F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Andrew Bhesania, Ben Roy, Otto Landrum, Peter Carr, Spencer Joyner, Matai Baptiste, Ethan Okwuosa, Kyrone Alexander, Malcolm Chimezie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBU -1.5
ModelBU -2.3
Model edgeBU +0.8
W BU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model144.4
Model edgeOver 2.9
W Over
Projected score
AMER 71.1 · BU 73.3
AMER 73 · BU 75
Win probability
BU 58%
1st half
Spread
BU -1.2
BU -4.0
Total
67.6
76 points
Projected score
AMER 33.2 · BU 34.4
AMER 36 · BU 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBU -3.5
2 → AMER
CloseBU -1.5
2 pts toward AMER
Total
Open138.5
▲ 3
Close141.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
AMER +102 · BU -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BU -3.5 · closed BU -1.5 · moved 2 toward AMERmodel BU -2.5
model BU -2.5
Opened 138.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 3 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
| BU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
AMER 3–7 BUBU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · AMER 1-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | BU 68 @ AMER 65 | AMER -3.5 | BU W |
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | AMER 64 @ BU 62 | BU -1.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | BU 44 @ AMER 48 | AMER -4.5 | BU W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | AMER 54 @ BU 60 | BU -2.5 | BU W |
| Feb 21, 2023-24 | BU 67 @ AMER 52 | AMER -5.5 | BU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
16-13
55% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs L-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vs HC | L 73-84 | -8.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vs NAVY | W 65-51 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 18 | @ ARMY | W 78-67 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 21 | vsCOLG | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @HC | W 76-67 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 28 | @L-MD | L 68-77 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 31 | vs LAF | L 65-67 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 4 | vs BUCK | L 59-60 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 7 | @NAVY | L 73-82 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ LEH | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 14 | vsARMY | W 75-63 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 18 | @BUCK | W 75-57 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 22 | @LAF | W 75-61 | -3.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 25 | vsLEH | L 73-78 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | vsBU | L 65-68 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
−19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
+16.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
+2.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+4.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−13.5
31
vsLAF
LAFL 65-67
−7.5
4
vsBUCK
BUCKL 59-60
−8.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 73-82
−4.5
11
@LEH
LEHL 82-90
−9.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 75-63
+2.5
18
@BUCK
BUCKW 75-57
+14.5
22
@LAF
LAFW 75-61
+10.5
25
vsLEH
LEHL 73-78
−12.5
28
vsBU
BUL 65-68
−6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
+19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
−23.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
−2.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
−10.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+3.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−2.5
31
vsLAF
LAFL 65-67
−10.5
4
vsBUCK
BUCKL 59-60
−22.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 73-82
+20.5
11
@LEH
LEHL 82-90
+31.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 75-63
−6.5
18
@BUCK
BUCKW 75-57
−8.5
22
@LAF
LAFW 75-61
−5.5
25
vsLEH
LEHL 73-78
+10.5
28
vsBU
BUL 65-68
−7.5
over 14under 15avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston U
30 games played
Straight up
14-16
47% wins
Against the spread
15-15
50% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-13
57% overs · avg +9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NE | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 7 | @ NU | L 52-76 | +17.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 12 | vs BRWN | W 90-77 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRMK | L 79-91 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 135.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 18 | @ COLU | L 49-54 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 103 |
| Nov 22 | vs HARV | W 75-74 | +4.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ PSU | L 87-96 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | @ NKU | L 65-74 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ UNH | L 82-88 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 134.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vsME | L 59-69 | -8.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 13 | @ DART | L 64-77 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 21 | vs UML | W 88-76 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 31 | @NAVY | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | vsAMER | L 62-64 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @LAF | W 83-67 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | vsARMY | W 100-91 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 14 | vsLEH | L 91-93 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 17 | @L-MD | L 57-74 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 21 | vsLAF | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @COLG | L 79-80 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vsNAVY | L 50-58 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 138.5 | U 108 |
| Jan 31 | @BUCK | L 97-103 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 200 |
| Feb 2 | @HC | W 72-64 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vsL-MD | W 78-69 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | @ARMY | W 85-68 | -2.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | vsBUCK | W 82-69 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 16 | vsCOLG | W 85-58 | +2.5 | W +29.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Feb 22 | @LEH | L 67-70 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 25 | vsHC | W 78-63 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @AMER | W 68-65 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−6.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+9.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
−14.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−0.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+5.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+5.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−1.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
−11.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−18.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−10.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+6.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
−0.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−3.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+14.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+1.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
−6.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−18.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
−0.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+6.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-58
−6.5
31
@BUCK
BUCKL 97-103
−7.5
2
@HC
HCW 72-64
+5.5
7
vsL-MD
L-MDW 78-69
+3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 85-68
+14.5
14
vsBUCK
BUCKW 82-69
+7.5
16
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-58
+29.5
22
@LEH
LEHL 67-70
−5.5
25
vsHC
HCW 78-63
+6.5
28
@AMER
AMERW 68-65
+6.5
covered 15didn’t cover 15avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
7
@NU
NUL 52-76
−8.5
12
vsBRWN
BRWNW 90-77
+37.5
15
vsMRMK
MRMKL 79-91
+34.5
18
@COLU
COLUL 49-54
−41.5
22
vsHARV
HARVW 75-74
+12.5
25
@PSU
PSUL 87-96
+40.5
29
@NKU
NKUL 65-74
−4.5
6
@UNH
UNHL 82-88
+35.5
10
vsME
MEL 59-69
−0.5
13
@DART
DARTL 64-77
−3.5
21
vsUML
UMLW 88-76
+18.5
31
@NAVY
NAVYL 77-82
+21.5
3
vsAMER
AMERL 62-64
−16.5
7
@LAF
LAFW 83-67
+7.5
10
vsARMY
ARMYW 100-91
+50.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 91-93
+39.5
17
@L-MD
L-MDL 57-74
−17.5
21
vsLAF
LAFW 77-73
+4.5
24
@COLG
COLGL 79-80
+11.5
28
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-58
−30.5
31
@BUCK
BUCKL 97-103
+61.5
2
@HC
HCW 72-64
−3.5
7
vsL-MD
L-MDW 78-69
+1.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 85-68
+12.5
14
vsBUCK
BUCKW 82-69
+13.5
16
vsCOLG
COLGW 85-58
−2.5
22
@LEH
LEHL 67-70
−4.5
25
vsHC
HCW 78-63
−0.5
28
@AMER
AMERW 68-65
−7.5
over 17under 13avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
14-15 overall · 9-9 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Boston U65–68
- Lvs Lehigh73–78
- W@ Lafayette75–61
- W@ Bucknell75–57
- Wvs Army75–63
5 days since their last game.
Boston U
14-16 overall · 10-8 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ American68–65
- Wvs Holy Cross78–63
- L@ Lehigh67–70
- Wvs Colgate85–58
- Wvs Bucknell82–69
5 days since their last game.