Kirby Sports Center · at Lafayette · Conference game
Closing line
AMER -3.5✓ AMER covered by 10.5
AMER -3.5✓ AMER covered by 10.5Closing total141.5Under by 5.5
| AMER | This season | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| 13-13 | Record | 8-19 |
| 15-11 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 15-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AMER 72–70 LAF · ✓ AMER (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 34 | 41 | 75 |
| LAF | 31 | 30 | 61 |
1st half: AMER 34, LAF 31 (AMER by 3). The model had AMER by 1.5 and a total of 66.2 (actual 65).
Team stats
| AMER | LAF | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-55 49% | Field goals | 24-48 50% |
| 13-26 50% | 3-pointers | 2-12 17% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 31 7 off | Rebounds | 25 5 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| AMER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Jones F | 33 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Geoff Sprouse G | 31 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 10-13 | 8-11 |
| Matt Mayock F | 30 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Julen Iturbe F | 28 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3-7 | 3-4 |
| Kade Sebastian G | 22 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Madden Collins G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Wyatt Nausadis G | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Chris Eagan F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Dean Hogans G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carson McDonald, Matthew Casey, Jack Anderson, Shane O'Reilly, Luke Brown, Eric Michaels, Kamran Prince, Noah Jones, Gibraltar Coleman, Adrian Samuels
| LAF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Phillips G | 37 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Mark Butler G | 37 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Christian Humphrey-Rembert F | 34 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Shareef Jackson F | 26 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 7-11 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ryan Pettit G | 30 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| KaiMani Murdock F | 27 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Misha Bednostin C | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Williams, Beckett Currie, Ashton Wallace, Luke Azzinaro, Folabomi Fayemi, TJ Berger, Joshua Wyche, Luke Bevilacqua, Luka Savicevic, Chris Rubayo, Malik Rasul, Justin Vander Baan
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAMER -4.5
1 → LAF
CloseAMER -3.5
1 pt toward LAF
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
AMER -185 · LAF +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AMER -4.5 · closed AMER -3.5 · moved 1 toward LAFmodel AMER -2.5
model AMER -2.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AMER -3.5 | AMER -2.3 | LAF +1.2 | L AMER covered |
| Total | 141.5 | 141.4 | Under 0.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | AMER 71.8 · LAF 69.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AMER -1.5 | AMER -3.0 |
| 1H total | 66.2 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | AMER 33.8 · LAF 32.4 | AMER 34 · LAF 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMER | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| LAF | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
AMER 5–6 LAFLAF leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · AMER 3-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | LAF 67 @ AMER 65 | AMER -5.5 | LAF W |
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | LAF 69 @ AMER 71 | AMER -3.5 | LAF W |
| Feb 10, 2024-25 | LAF 58 @ AMER 60 | AMER -2.5 | LAF W |
| Jan 29, 2024-25 | AMER 75 @ LAF 68 | LAF -0.5 | AMER W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | LAF 68 @ AMER 62 | AMER -6.5 | LAF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
American
26 games played
Straight up
13-13
50% wins
Against the spread
15-11
58% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WAKE | L 74-88 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs PENN | W 84-78 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ GW | L 67-107 | +17.5 | L −22.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ RUTG | L 71-80 | +16.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 28 | vs ME | W 74-61 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 29 | vs SIE | L 55-59 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs LONG | W 92-66 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs DREX | W 75-73 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs UMES | W 78-60 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Dec 18 | @ VCU | L 83-105 | +19.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 22 | @ UVA | L 51-95 | +27.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vs L-MD | W 84-69 | -8.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ BU | W 64-62 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 7 | @ COLG | L 62-64 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 10 | vs HC | L 73-84 | -8.5 | L −19.5 | 137.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 12 | vs NAVY | W 65-51 | +2.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 18 | @ ARMY | W 78-67 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 21 | vsCOLG | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 24 | @HC | W 76-67 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 28 | @L-MD | L 68-77 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 31 | vsLAF | L 65-67 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 4 | vs BUCK | L 59-60 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 7 | @NAVY | L 73-82 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 134.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @ LEH | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 140.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 14 | vsARMY | W 75-63 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 18 | @BUCK | W 75-57 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+5.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
−22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+5.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−1.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+20.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
−2.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
−2.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−16.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
+6.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
+3.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
+3.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
−19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
+16.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
+6.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
+2.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+4.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−13.5
31
vsLAF
LAFL 65-67
−7.5
4
vsBUCK
BUCKL 59-60
−8.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 73-82
−4.5
11
@LEH
LEHL 82-90
−9.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 75-63
+2.5
18
@BUCK
BUCKW 75-57
+14.5
covered 15didn’t cover 11avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WAKE
WAKEL 74-88
+22.5
9
vsPENN
PENNW 84-78
+7.5
12
@GW
GWL 67-107
+22.5
18
@RUTG
RUTGL 71-80
+7.5
28
vsME
MEW 74-61
+1.5
29
vsSIE
SIEL 55-59
−23.5
30
vsLONG
LONGW 92-66
+9.5
3
vsDREX
DREXW 75-73
+10.5
6
vsUMES
UMESW 78-60
+7.5
18
@VCU
VCUL 83-105
+33.5
22
@UVA
UVAL 51-95
−7.5
31
vsL-MD
L-MDW 84-69
−1.5
3
@BU
BUW 64-62
−16.5
7
@COLG
COLGL 62-64
−22.5
10
vsHC
HCL 73-84
+19.5
12
vsNAVY
NAVYW 65-51
−23.5
18
@ARMY
ARMYW 78-67
−2.5
21
vsCOLG
COLGW 70-66
−10.5
24
@HC
HCW 76-67
+3.5
28
@L-MD
L-MDL 68-77
−2.5
31
vsLAF
LAFL 65-67
−10.5
4
vsBUCK
BUCKL 59-60
−22.5
7
@NAVY
NAVYL 73-82
+20.5
11
@LEH
LEHL 82-90
+31.5
14
vsARMY
ARMYW 75-63
−6.5
18
@BUCK
BUCKW 75-57
−8.5
over 13under 13avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lafayette
27 games played
Straight up
8-19
30% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-11
58% overs · avg −0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ JOES | L 76-85 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | @ TEX | L 60-97 | +25.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 13 | vs COR | L 78-97 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ WVU | L 59-81 | +24.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | @ STO | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 28 | vs LEM | L 63-76 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs BALL | W 55-37 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 140.5 | U 92 |
| Nov 30 | vs MONM | L 74-88 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 5 | vs MERC | W 79-71 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 8 | @PENN | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | @ CLT | L 67-81 | +11.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ GT | L 81-95 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 31 | vsCOLG | L 77-85 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | @L-MD | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 7 | vsBU | L 67-83 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @NAVY | L 50-76 | +8.5 | L −17.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 14 | @BUCK | L 69-76 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsHC | W 74-55 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 21 | @BU | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 24 | @LEH | L 59-64 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 28 | vsBUCK | W 81-79 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 31 | @AMER | W 67-65 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 4 | vsNAVY | L 50-65 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 7 | @ARMY | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 11 | vsL-MD | L 54-68 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | vsLEH | L 69-78 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 18 | @HC | W 86-83 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+4.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
−11.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
−14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+2.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−17.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
+19.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
−12.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
+5.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
−2.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+2.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
−1.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
+13.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
−14.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−17.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
−4.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
+16.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+0.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−2.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
−2.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
+7.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−11.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
+1.5
11
vsL-MD
L-MDL 54-68
−17.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 69-78
−11.5
18
@HC
HCW 86-83
+4.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@JOES
JOESL 76-85
+22.5
8
@TEX
TEXL 60-97
+3.5
13
vsCOR
CORL 78-97
+14.5
17
@WVU
WVUL 59-81
+4.5
21
@STO
STOL 70-74
+2.5
28
vsLEM
LEML 63-76
−12.5
29
vsBALL
BALLW 55-37
−48.5
30
vsMONM
MONML 74-88
+20.5
8
@PENN
PENNL 72-74
−4.5
18
@CLT
CLTL 67-81
+10.5
20
@GT
GTL 81-95
+28.5
31
vsCOLG
COLGL 77-85
+15.5
3
@L-MD
L-MDW 79-64
−9.5
7
vsBU
BUL 67-83
+7.5
10
@NAVY
NAVYL 50-76
−15.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKL 69-76
+7.5
17
vsHC
HCW 74-55
−9.5
21
@BU
BUL 73-77
+4.5
24
@LEH
LEHL 59-64
−20.5
28
vsBUCK
BUCKW 81-79
+21.5
31
@AMER
AMERW 67-65
−10.5
4
vsNAVY
NAVYL 50-65
−24.5
7
@ARMY
ARMYW 63-60
−19.5
11
vsL-MD
L-MDL 54-68
−25.5
14
vsLEH
LEHL 69-78
+6.5
18
@HC
HCW 86-83
+29.5
over 15under 11avg −0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
American
13-13 overall · 8-7 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bucknell75–57
- Wvs Army75–63
- L@ Lehigh82–90
- L@ Navy73–82
- Lvs Bucknell59–60
4 days since their last game.
Lafayette
8-19 overall · 6-9 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Holy Cross86–83
- Lvs Lehigh69–78
- Lvs Loyola MD54–68
- W@ Army63–60
- Lvs Navy50–65
4 days since their last game.