Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -4.5✓ NEB covered by 4.5
NEB -4.5✓ NEB covered by 4.5Closing total136.5Over by 22.5
 IOWA | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 20-10 | Record | 25-5 |
| 18-12 | ATS | 16-14 |
| 16-14 | O/U | 9-21 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IOWA 67–71 NEB · ✓ NEB (61%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 26 | 44 | 5 | 75 |
| NEB | 30 | 40 | 14 | 84 |
1st half: IOWA 26, NEB 30 (NEB by 4). The model had NEB by 1.9 and a total of 64.5 (actual 56).
Team stats
| IOWA | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 27-54 50% |
| 11-30 37% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 10-15 67% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 29 5 off |
| 17 | Assists | 18 |
| 9 | Steals | 11 |
| 0 | Blocks | 0 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| IOWA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennett Stirtz G | 45 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-7 |
| Kael Combs G | 43 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 7-14 | 2-5 |
| Cooper Koch F | 39 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 6-12 |
| Isaia Howard G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Cam Manyawu F | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alvaro Folgueiras F | 30 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Tavion Banks G | 26 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Tate Sage G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jacob Koch, Joey Matteoni, Peyton McCollum, Trey Thompson, Brendan Hausen, Trevin Jirak
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 39 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Pryce Sandfort F | 38 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 36 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Rienk Mast F | 35 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-6 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 24 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cale Jacobsen G | 30 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 6-6 | 2-2 |
| Braden Frager F | 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jared Garcia F | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Kendall Blue, Justin Bolis, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Leo Curtis
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -4.5
ModelNEB -3.3
Model edgeIOWA +1.2
L NEB covered
Total
Market136.5
Model137.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
W Over
Projected score
IOWA 67.2 · NEB 70.6
IOWA 75 · NEB 84
Win probability
NEB 61%
1st half
Spread
NEB -1.9
NEB -4.0
Total
64.5
56 points
Projected score
IOWA 31.3 · NEB 33.2
IOWA 26 · NEB 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -6.5
2 → IOWA
CloseNEB -4.5
2 pts toward IOWA
Total
Open150.5
▼ 14
Close136.5
Down 14 since the open
Moneyline
IOWA +180 · NEB -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -6.5 · closed NEB -4.5 · moved 2 toward IOWAmodel NEB -3.5
model NEB -3.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 136.5 · moved 14 downmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IOWA | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| NEB | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
IOWA 6–2 NEBIOWA leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · IOWA has won the last 4 meetings · IOWA 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2025-26 | NEB 52 @ IOWA 57 | IOWA -1.5 | IOWA W |
| Mar 9, 2024-25 | IOWA 83 @ NEB 68 | NEB -7.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | NEB 87 @ IOWA 97 | IOWA -4.5 | IOWA W |
| Jan 12, 2023-24 | NEB 76 @ IOWA 94 | IOWA -4.5 | IOWA W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | NEB 81 @ IOWA 77 | IOWA -11.5 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa
30 games played
Straight up
20-10
67% wins
Against the spread
18-12
60% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-14
53% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs RMU | W 101-69 | -22.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIU | W 77-58 | -30.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 14 | vs XAV | W 81-62 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 18 | vs SEMO | W 99-70 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 20 | vs CHST | W 93-54 | -31.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 25 | vs MISS | W 74-69 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs GCU | W 59-46 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 2 | @ MSU | L 52-71 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MD | W 83-64 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 11 | @ ISU | L 62-66 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs WMU | W 91-51 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 20 | vs BUCK | W 94-39 | -25.5 | W +29.5 | 133.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs UML | W 90-62 | -33.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 3 | vs UCLA | W 74-61 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 6 | @ MINN | L 67-70 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 11 | vs ILL | L 69-75 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 14 | @ PUR | L 72-79 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 17 | @ IU | W 74-57 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 20 | vs RUTG | W 68-62 | -17.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs USC | W 73-72 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ ORE | W 84-66 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | @ WASH | W 84-74 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 8 | vs NU | W 76-70 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 11 | @MD | L 70-77 | -10.5 | L −17.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 14 | vsPUR | L 57-78 | +2.5 | L −18.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 17 | vsNEB | W 57-52 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 22 | @ WIS | L 71-84 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 25 | vs OSU | W 74-57 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 28 | @ PSU | L 69-71 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 5 | vs MICH | L 68-71 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+9.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−11.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
+3.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+5.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+7.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+0.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
+4.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−13.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+8.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
+7.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+14.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
+29.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
−5.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
+6.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
−7.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
−4.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+3.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
+20.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−11.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
−8.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+8.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+7.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
−4.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
−17.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−18.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
+3.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
−10.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
+10.5
28
@PSU
PSUL 69-71
−11.5
5
vsMICH
MICHL 68-71
+6.5
covered 18didn’t cover 12avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsRMU
RMUW 101-69
+33.5
7
vsWIU
WIUW 77-58
−10.5
14
vsXAV
XAVW 81-62
−0.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 99-70
+21.5
20
vsCHST
CHSTW 93-54
+4.5
25
vsMISS
MISSW 74-69
+2.5
26
vsGCU
GCUW 59-46
−38.5
2
@MSU
MSUL 52-71
−10.5
6
vsMD
MDW 83-64
+9.5
11
@ISU
ISUL 62-66
−13.5
14
vsWMU
WMUW 91-51
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 94-39
−0.5
29
vsUML
UMLW 90-62
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAW 74-61
−5.5
6
@MINN
MINNL 67-70
+6.5
11
vsILL
ILLL 69-75
+1.5
14
@PUR
PURL 72-79
+5.5
17
@IU
IUW 74-57
−15.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-62
−10.5
28
vsUSC
USCW 73-72
+3.5
1
@ORE
OREW 84-66
+16.5
4
@WASH
WASHW 84-74
+16.5
8
vsNU
NUW 76-70
+6.5
11
@MD
MDL 70-77
+8.5
14
vsPUR
PURL 57-78
−7.5
17
vsNEB
NEBW 57-52
−30.5
22
@WIS
WISL 71-84
+7.5
25
vsOSU
OSUW 74-57
−10.5
28
@PSU
PSUL 69-71
−3.5
5
vsMICH
MICHL 68-71
−7.5
over 16under 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
30 games played
Straight up
25-5
83% wins
Against the spread
16-14
53% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-21
30% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vsWIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vsMSU | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @OSU | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @IU | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vsORE | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @NU | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vsWASH | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @MINN | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @MICH | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 1 | vsILL | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @RUTG | W 80-68 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 10 | vsPUR | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsNU | W 68-49 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 17 | @IOWA | L 52-57 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 21 | vsPSU | W 87-64 | -17.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 25 | vsMD | W 74-61 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @USC | W 82-67 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 3 | @UCLA | L 52-72 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−0.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
+5.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+10.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
+24.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
+14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−0.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
+14.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
+8.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−10.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
−0.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
−5.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
+5.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−3.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 87-64
+5.5
25
vsMD
MDW 74-61
−3.5
28
@USC
USCW 82-67
+9.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 52-72
−18.5
covered 16didn’t cover 14avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
2
vsMSU
MSUW 58-56
−32.5
5
@OSU
OSUW 72-69
−14.5
10
@IU
IUW 83-77
+9.5
13
vsORE
OREW 90-55
−1.5
17
@NU
NUW 77-58
−14.5
21
vsWASH
WASHW 76-66
−10.5
24
@MINN
MINNW 76-57
−7.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-75
−10.5
1
vsILL
ILLL 69-78
−7.5
7
@RUTG
RUTGW 80-68
+2.5
10
vsPUR
PURL 77-80
+10.5
14
vsNU
NUW 68-49
−29.5
17
@IOWA
IOWAL 52-57
−30.5
21
vsPSU
PSUW 87-64
+3.5
25
vsMD
MDW 74-61
−7.5
28
@USC
USCW 82-67
−0.5
3
@UCLA
UCLAL 52-72
−20.5
over 9under 21avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa
20-10 overall · 10-9 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Michigan68–71
- L@ Penn State69–71
- Wvs Ohio State74–57
- L@ Wisconsin71–84
- Wvs Nebraska57–52
3 days since their last game.
Nebraska
25-5 overall · 14-5 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCLA52–72
- W@ USC82–67
- Wvs Maryland74–61
- Wvs Penn State87–64
- L@ Iowa52–57
5 days since their last game.