Conte Forum · at Boston College · Conference game
Closing line
STAN -3.5✓ STAN covered by 2.5
STAN -3.5✓ STAN covered by 2.5Closing total139.5Under by 5.5
| STAN | This season | BC |
|---|---|---|
| 15-9 | Record | 9-14 |
| 13-11 | ATS | 11-12 |
| 10-14 | O/U | 8-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: STAN 72–69 BC · ✓ STAN (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 34 | 36 | 70 |
| BC | 34 | 30 | 64 |
1st half: STAN 34, BC 34 (tied). The model had STAN by 1.5 and a total of 65.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| STAN | BC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-57 46% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 10-30 33% | 3-pointers | 4-16 25% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 6-8 75% |
| 33 5 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 7 |
| 9 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| STAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebuka Okorie G | 39 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 8-14 | 2-5 |
| Benny Gealer G | 37 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 7-14 | 6-13 |
| AJ Rohosy F | 18 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Agarwal G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Donavin Young F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aidan Cammann F | 30 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Jeremy Dent-Smith G | 27 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Oskar Giltay C | 19 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chisom Okpara, Kristers Skrinda, Myles Jones, Ethan Kitch, Evan Stinson, Jaylen Thompson, Anthony Batson Jr., Tallis Toure, Cameron Grant
| BC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boden Kapke F | 38 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 6-14 | 3-5 |
| Fred Payne G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 7-18 | 0-6 |
| Luka Toews G | 33 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Hastings F | 19 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Donald Hand Jr. G | 10 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chase Forte G | 28 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Shaw F | 20 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Steger G | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jason Asemota F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Petronio, Marko Radunovic, Kany Musungay, Will Eggemeier, Akbar Waheed III, Jack Bailey, Jack DiDonna
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSTAN -3.5
ModelSTAN -2.3
Model edgeBC +1.2
L STAN covered
Total
Market139.5
Model140.8
Model edgeOver 1.3
L Under
Projected score
STAN 71.5 · BC 69.3
STAN 70 · BC 64
Win probability
STAN 58%
1st half
Spread
STAN -1.5
tied
Total
65.9
68 points
Projected score
STAN 33.7 · BC 32.2
STAN 34 · BC 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSTAN -1.5
2 → STAN
CloseSTAN -3.5
2 pts toward STAN
Total
Open135.5
▲ 4
Close139.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
STAN -162 · BC +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened STAN -1.5 · closed STAN -3.5 · moved 2 toward STANmodel STAN -2.5
model STAN -2.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 4 upmodel 141
model 141
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| BC | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
STAN 1–0 BCSTAN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · STAN 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | BC 60 @ STAN 78 | STAN -11.5 | STAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Stanford
24 games played
Straight up
15-9
63% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs PRST | W 89-79 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONT | W 91-68 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 12 | vs MTST | W 77-68 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 18 | vs UL | W 93-66 | -20.5 | W +6.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEA | L 69-77 | -10.5 | L −18.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 27 | vs MINN | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 28 | vs SLU | W 78-77 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs PORT | W 94-72 | -19.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 7 | vs UNLV | L 74-75 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | @ SJSU | W 86-82 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 17 | vs UTA | W 76-60 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 20 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 27 | vs CSUN | W 88-80 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 30 | vs ND | L 40-47 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 87 |
| Jan 2 | vs LOU | W 80-76 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ VT | W 69-68 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 10 | @ UVA | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 14 | vs UNC | W 95-90 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 17 | vs DUKE | L 50-80 | +11.5 | L −18.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 24 | vs CAL | L 66-78 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ MIA | L 70-79 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 31 | @ FSU | L 80-88 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 4 | vs CLEM | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 7 | vs GT | W 95-72 | -9.5 | W +13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
−1.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+10.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−5.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+6.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−18.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
+1.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
+2.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+2.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−10.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
−4.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
+5.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+11.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
−7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−13.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
+11.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
+4.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−2.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+9.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−16.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+0.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
−4.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
+1.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+13.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsPRST
PRSTW 89-79
+23.5
8
vsMONT
MONTW 91-68
+8.5
12
vsMTST
MTSTW 77-68
−3.5
18
vsUL
ULW 93-66
+19.5
21
vsSEA
SEAL 69-77
−6.5
27
vsMINN
MINNW 72-68
−2.5
28
vsSLU
SLUW 78-77
−5.5
1
vsPORT
PORTW 94-72
+9.5
7
vsUNLV
UNLVL 74-75
−15.5
13
@SJSU
SJSUW 86-82
+22.5
17
vsUTA
UTAW 76-60
−3.5
20
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−9.5
27
vsCSUN
CSUNW 88-80
+7.5
30
vsND
NDL 40-47
−56.5
2
vsLOU
LOUW 80-76
−1.5
7
@VT
VTW 69-68
−11.5
10
@UVA
UVAL 55-70
−18.5
14
vsUNC
UNCW 95-90
+37.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 50-80
−18.5
24
vsCAL
CALL 66-78
−2.5
28
@MIA
MIAL 70-79
+1.5
31
@FSU
FSUL 80-88
+15.5
4
vsCLEM
CLEML 64-66
−8.5
7
vsGT
GTW 95-72
+15.5
over 10under 14avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Boston College
23 games played
Straight up
9-14
39% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-15
35% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ FAU | L 78-83 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 6 | vs CIT | W 76-47 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | vs CCSU | L 59-60 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | @ TEM | W 76-71 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 142.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 18 | vs HAMP | W 63-52 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 21 | vs DAV | L 49-59 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs TULN | L 90-93 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs HARV | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 3 | vs LSU | L 69-78 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 6 | vs NHVN | W 67-63 | -17.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | vs MASS | L 74-76 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | vs FDU | W 72-61 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 28 | vs LEM | W 72-64 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @GT | L 53-65 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs NCSU | L 71-79 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @LOU | L 62-75 | +21.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | @CLEM | L 50-74 | +15.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs SYR | W 81-73 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 21 | vs PITT | W 65-62 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 24 | @ND | L 64-68 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 31 | vsUVA | L 66-73 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | @DUKE | L 49-67 | +26.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 116 |
| Feb 7 | vsMIA | L 68-74 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
−3.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
+13.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−18.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+8.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−1.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−11.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
−5.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
+5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−1.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
−13.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
−3.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−5.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−4.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−5.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+3.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
+8.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−8.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+13.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
+5.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
+3.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
+6.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
+8.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 68-74
+2.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@FAU
FAUL 78-83
+12.5
6
vsCIT
CITW 76-47
−21.5
11
vsCCSU
CCSUL 59-60
−17.5
15
@TEM
TEMW 76-71
+4.5
18
vsHAMP
HAMPW 63-52
−20.5
21
vsDAV
DAVL 49-59
−32.5
23
vsTULN
TULNL 90-93
+42.5
26
vsHARV
HARVW 73-60
−5.5
3
vsLSU
LSUL 69-78
−2.5
6
vsNHVN
NHVNW 67-63
+3.5
10
vsMASS
MASSL 74-76
+6.5
22
vsFDU
FDUW 72-61
−8.5
28
vsLEM
LEMW 72-64
−10.5
3
@GT
GTL 53-65
−27.5
6
vsNCSU
NCSUL 71-79
+8.5
10
@LOU
LOUL 62-75
−13.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 50-74
−12.5
17
vsSYR
SYRW 81-73
+12.5
21
vsPITT
PITTW 65-62
−10.5
24
@ND
NDL 64-68
−5.5
31
vsUVA
UVAL 66-73
−2.5
3
@DUKE
DUKEL 49-67
−25.5
7
vsMIA
MIAL 68-74
+0.5
over 8under 15avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Stanford
15-9 overall · 4-7 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia Tech95–72
- Lvs Clemson64–66
- L@ Florida St80–88
- L@ Miami70–79
- Lvs California66–78
4 days since their last game.
Boston College
9-14 overall · 2-8 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami68–74
- L@ Duke49–67
- Lvs Virginia66–73
- L@ Notre Dame64–68
- Wvs Pitt65–62
4 days since their last game.