OU Credit Union O'rena · at Oakland · Conference game
Closing line
OAK -3.5✓ OAK covered by 7.5
OAK -3.5✓ OAK covered by 7.5Closing total166.5Under by 25.5
 NKU | This season | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| 11-9 | Record | 12-10 |
| 9-11 | ATS | 14-8 |
| 14-6 | O/U | 15-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 81–86 OAK · ✓ OAK (66%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 30 | 35 | 65 |
| OAK | 29 | 47 | 76 |
1st half: NKU 30, OAK 29 (NKU by 1). The model had OAK by 2.7 and a total of 78.1 (actual 59).
Team stats
| NKU | OAK | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-73 33% | Field goals | 27-64 42% |
| 9-40 23% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 40 14 off | Rebounds | 49 13 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 7 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Gherezgher G | 40 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 4-13 | 3-9 |
| Kael Robinson F | 34 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Donovan Oday G | 34 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5-19 | 0-7 |
| Tae Dozier G | 33 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6-14 | 2-7 |
| Ryan Tolliver F | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shawn Nelson G | 23 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Addison Archer F | 11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: LJ Wells, JJ Apathjang, Juanma Ruiz, Ethan Elliott, Donovan Rakotonanahary, Mitchel Minor
| OAK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brody Robinson G | 39 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 5-16 | 2-7 |
| Ziare Wells G | 33 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Brett White II G | 32 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Michael Houge F | 30 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 8-15 | 0-0 |
| Tuburu Naivalurua F | 29 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Warren Marshall IV G | 25 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Khoi Thurmon G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| MJ Yeager G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaac Garrett, William Kassi, Donny Yeager, Hamoudy Mashhour, Nassim Mashhour, Nate Deer
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOAK -3.5
ModelOAK -4.8
Model edgeOAK +1.3
W OAK covered
Total
Market166.5
Model166.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
NKU 81.1 · OAK 85.9
NKU 65 · OAK 76
Win probability
OAK 66%
1st half
Spread
OAK -2.7
NKU -1.0
Total
78.1
59 points
Projected score
NKU 37.7 · OAK 40.4
NKU 30 · OAK 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOAK -6.5
3 → NKU
CloseOAK -3.5
3 pts toward NKU
Total
Open168.5
▼ 2
Close166.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
NKU +145 · OAK -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OAK -6.5 · closed OAK -3.5 · moved 3 toward NKUmodel OAK -5
model OAK -5
Opened 168.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 2 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% |
| OAK | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
NKU 6–4 OAKNKU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NKU 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025-26 | OAK 82 @ NKU 77 | NKU -3.5 | OAK W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | NKU 84 @ OAK 75 | OAK -6.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | OAK 68 @ NKU 53 | NKU -3.5 | OAK W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | OAK 89 @ NKU 99 | NKU -0.5 | NKU W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | NKU 65 @ OAK 70 | OAK -5.5 | NKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
20 games played
Straight up
11-9
55% wins
Against the spread
9-11
45% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-6
70% overs · avg +6.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ TENN | L 56-95 | +27.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | @ ETSU | L 63-75 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 20 | @ CMU | W 90-66 | +4.5 | W +28.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs EKU | W 82-71 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 26 | vs WOF | W 93-83 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs BU | W 74-65 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | vs CLE | W 95-80 | -14.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 6 | @ PFW | L 77-79 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 13 | @ BELL | W 80-76 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vsOAK | L 77-82 | -3.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 21 | vs COFC | L 74-85 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | vs IUIN | W 81-72 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 176.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | vs YSU | W 94-79 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 146.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 9 | @ MILW | W 85-67 | +1.5 | W +19.5 | 157.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 11 | @ GB | L 78-80 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 15 | vs DETM | W 96-71 | -10.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | vsRMU | L 89-92 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 24 | @ WRST | L 80-88 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 77-90 | -5.5 | L −18.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
−11.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−5.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+28.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
+6.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+6.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
+1.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+0.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
−0.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
−0.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−8.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
−16.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+0.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−4.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+10.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
+19.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
−6.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+14.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
−10.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
−6.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
−18.5
covered 9didn’t cover 11avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@TENN
TENNL 56-95
+13.5
12
@ETSU
ETSUL 63-75
−4.5
20
@CMU
CMUW 90-66
+9.5
24
vsEKU
EKUW 82-71
−3.5
26
vsWOF
WOFW 93-83
+26.5
29
vsBU
BUW 74-65
−4.5
3
vsCLE
CLEW 95-80
+16.5
6
@PFW
PFWL 77-79
+2.5
13
@BELL
BELLW 80-76
+9.5
17
vsOAK
OAKL 77-82
−4.5
21
vsCOFC
COFCL 74-85
+5.5
29
@RMU
RMUW 79-77
+6.5
1
vsIUIN
IUINW 81-72
−23.5
4
vsYSU
YSUW 94-79
+26.5
9
@MILW
MILWW 85-67
−5.5
11
@GB
GBL 78-80
+13.5
15
vsDETM
DETMW 96-71
+7.5
17
vsRMU
RMUL 89-92
+27.5
24
@WRST
WRSTL 80-88
+12.5
30
@DETM
DETML 77-90
+5.5
over 14under 6avg +6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Oakland
22 games played
Straight up
12-10
55% wins
Against the spread
14-8
64% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-7
68% overs · avg +6.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MICH | L 78-121 | +24.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 7 | @ PUR | L 77-87 | +31.5 | W +21.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ HOU | L 45-78 | +30.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 17 | @ UCF | L 83-87 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 21 | @ EMU | L 91-97 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 24 | vs LAM | W 83-68 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 25 | @ MONT | W 95-87 | +4.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 3 | vsPFW | W 101-92 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs TOL | W 98-97 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 166.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNI | L 63-75 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @NKU | W 82-77 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs MSU | L 70-79 | +19.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | @WRST | L 73-88 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | @YSU | W 85-83 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 4 | vsRMU | W 96-73 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 161.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 9 | vsCLE | W 97-74 | -15.5 | W +7.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 11 | vsWRST | L 84-94 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 161.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 15 | @MILW | W 73-60 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 18 | @GB | W 88-63 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 21 | vsIUIN | L 85-103 | -14.5 | L −32.5 | 176.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 24 | @DETM | W 95-87 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 28 | @PFW | W 74-65 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
−18.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+21.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−2.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+9.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
−7.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+11.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+12.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+4.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
−3.5
13
@UNI
UNIL 63-75
−3.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 82-77
+8.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 70-79
+10.5
29
@WRST
WRSTL 73-88
−11.5
1
@YSU
YSUW 85-83
+3.5
4
vsRMU
RMUW 96-73
+21.5
9
vsCLE
CLEW 97-74
+7.5
11
vsWRST
WRSTL 84-94
−14.5
15
@MILW
MILWW 73-60
+10.5
18
@GB
GBW 88-63
+20.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINL 85-103
−32.5
24
@DETM
DETMW 95-87
+1.5
28
@PFW
PFWW 74-65
+7.5
covered 14didn’t cover 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MICH
MICHL 78-121
+42.5
7
@PUR
PURL 77-87
+5.5
12
@HOU
HOUL 45-78
−15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 83-87
+6.5
21
@EMU
EMUL 91-97
+34.5
24
vsLAM
LAMW 83-68
+2.5
25
@MONT
MONTW 95-87
+19.5
3
vsPFW
PFWW 101-92
+30.5
6
vsTOL
TOLW 98-97
+28.5
13
@UNI
UNIL 63-75
−11.5
17
@NKU
NKUW 82-77
−4.5
20
vsMSU
MSUL 70-79
−6.5
29
@WRST
WRSTL 73-88
+1.5
1
@YSU
YSUW 85-83
+10.5
4
vsRMU
RMUW 96-73
+7.5
9
vsCLE
CLEW 97-74
+1.5
11
vsWRST
WRSTL 84-94
+16.5
15
@MILW
MILWW 73-60
−33.5
18
@GB
GBW 88-63
−2.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINL 85-103
+11.5
24
@DETM
DETMW 95-87
+14.5
28
@PFW
PFWW 74-65
−23.5
over 15under 7avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
11-9 overall · 6-6 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Detroit Mercy77–90
- L@ Wright St80–88
- Lvs Robert Morris89–92
- Wvs Detroit Mercy96–71
- L@ Green Bay78–80
2 days since their last game.
Oakland
12-10 overall · 9-3 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Purdue FW74–65
- W@ Detroit Mercy95–87
- Lvs IU Indy85–103
- W@ Green Bay88–63
- W@ Milwaukee73–60
4 days since their last game.