Food City Center · at Tennessee · Conference game
Closing line
TENN -11.5✓ TENN covered by 11.5
TENN -11.5✓ TENN covered by 11.5Closing total149.5Over by 5.5
 OU | This season | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| 13-12 | Record | 18-7 |
| 9-16 | ATS | 10-15 |
| 12-13 | O/U | 14-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OU 71–82 TENN · ✓ TENN (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 36 | 30 | 66 |
| TENN | 45 | 44 | 89 |
1st half: OU 36, TENN 45 (TENN by 9). The model had TENN by 6.1 and a total of 71.5 (actual 81).
Team stats
| OU | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-46 46% | Field goals | 33-63 52% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 16-21 76% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 19 6 off | Rebounds | 36 15 off |
| 10 | Assists | 22 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nijel Pack G | 32 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 7-9 | 4-5 |
| Tae Davis F | 32 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Xzayvier Brown G | 28 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Derrion Reid F | 24 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dayton Forsythe G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jadon Jones G | 17 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Kai Rogers F | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kirill Elatontsev C | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kuol Atak F | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alec Blair, Reid Lovelace, Andreas Holst, Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 37 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 6-16 | 2-9 |
| Felix Okpara F | 35 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Nate Ament F | 33 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 9-17 | 3-7 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 25 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 24 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeWayne Brown II F | 21 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Amari Evans G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Burg G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Troy Henderson, Amaree Abram, J.P. Estrella, Clarence Massamba, Grant Hurst, Gavin Paull, Campbell Duncan, Cade Phillips
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTENN -11.5
ModelTENN -10.4
Model edgeOU +1.1
L TENN covered
Total
Market149.5
Model152.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
OU 71.2 · TENN 81.6
OU 66 · TENN 89
Win probability
TENN 82%
1st half
Spread
TENN -6.1
TENN -9.0
Total
71.5
81 points
Projected score
OU 32.7 · TENN 38.8
OU 36 · TENN 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -11.5
no move
CloseTENN -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open149.5
no move
Close149.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
OU +525 · TENN -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -11.5 · unchangedmodel TENN -10.5
model TENN -10.5
Opened 149.5 · unchangedmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| TENN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OU 0–1 TENNTENN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · OU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | TENN 70 @ OU 52 | OU +5.5 | TENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma
25 games played
Straight up
13-12
52% wins
Against the spread
9-16
36% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-13
48% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SFPA | W 102-66 | -31.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | @ GONZ | L 68-83 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs UAPB | W 95-69 | -36.5 | L −10.5 | 168.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 15 | vs NEB | L 99-105 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs ORU | W 95-71 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 23 | vs ALCN | W 72-53 | -31.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs MARQ | W 75-74 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | @ WAKE | W 86-68 | +4.5 | W +22.5 | 159.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 6 | vs ASU | L 70-86 | -5.5 | L −21.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 13 | vs OKST | W 85-76 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 169.5 | U 161 |
| Dec 16 | vs KC | W 89-67 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 22 | vs STET | W 107-54 | -31.5 | W +21.5 | 148.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 29 | vs MVSU | W 93-69 | -44.5 | L −20.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 3 | vs MISS | W 86-70 | -6.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ MSST | L 53-72 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 158.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ TA&M | L 76-83 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 13 | vs FLA | L 79-96 | +7.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 17 | vs ALA | L 81-83 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 177.5 | U 164 |
| Jan 20 | @ SC | L 76-85 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MIZ | L 87-88 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | vs ARK | L 79-83 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | U 162 |
| Jan 31 | vs TEX | L 69-79 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 4 | @ UK | L 78-94 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 7 | @ VAN | W 92-91 | +11.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 14 | vs UGA | W 94-78 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
−4.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−12.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−0.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
+22.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−21.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
+6.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
−8.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+21.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
−20.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−17.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−2.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
−9.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
+3.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
−11.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+3.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−0.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−8.5
4
@UK
UKL 78-94
−7.5
7
@VAN
VANW 92-91
+12.5
14
vsUGA
UGAW 94-78
+14.5
covered 9didn’t cover 16avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
15
vsNEB
NEBL 99-105
+40.5
20
vsORU
ORUW 95-71
−0.5
23
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-53
−35.5
28
vsMARQ
MARQW 75-74
−13.5
2
@WAKE
WAKEW 86-68
−5.5
6
vsASU
ASUL 70-86
−1.5
13
vsOKST
OKSTW 85-76
−8.5
16
vsKC
KCW 89-67
+2.5
22
vsSTET
STETW 107-54
+12.5
29
vsMVSU
MVSUW 93-69
+8.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 86-70
+9.5
7
@MSST
MSSTL 53-72
−33.5
10
@TA&M
TA&ML 76-83
−6.5
13
vsFLA
FLAL 79-96
+17.5
17
vsALA
ALAL 81-83
−13.5
20
@SC
SCL 76-85
+10.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 87-88
+23.5
27
vsARK
ARKL 79-83
−5.5
31
vsTEX
TEXL 69-79
−7.5
4
@UK
UKL 78-94
+19.5
7
@VAN
VANW 92-91
+23.5
14
vsUGA
UGAW 94-78
+7.5
over 12under 13avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
25 games played
Straight up
18-7
72% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-11
56% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vs LOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCST | W 105-54 | -44.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ARK | L 75-86 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 6 | vsTEX | W 85-71 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @FLA | L 67-91 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | vsTA&M | W 87-82 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsUK | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 24 | @ALA | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 28 | @UGA | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vs AUB | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | vsMISS | W 84-66 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @UK | L 71-74 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | @MSST | W 73-64 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | vs LSU | W 73-63 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+6.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
−12.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+1.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
−19.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
−6.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
−8.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
+10.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
−0.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
+2.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+5.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−1.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
+0.5
14
vsLSU
LSUW 73-63
−4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+11.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
+2.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+2.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
+6.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
+9.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
+12.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
−15.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
+13.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
−1.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+10.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−2.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
−10.5
14
vsLSU
LSUW 73-63
−7.5
over 14under 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma
13-12 overall · 3-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgia94–78
- W@ Vanderbilt92–91
- L@ Kentucky78–94
- Lvs Texas69–79
- Lvs Arkansas79–83
4 days since their last game.
Tennessee
18-7 overall · 8-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LSU73–63
- W@ Mississippi St73–64
- L@ Kentucky71–74
- Wvs Ole Miss84–66
- Wvs Auburn77–69
4 days since their last game.