Mizzou Arena · at Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -3.5✓ MIZ covered by 4.5
VAN -3.5✓ MIZ covered by 4.5Closing total154.5Over by 6.5
| VAN | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 21-4 | Record | 17-8 |
| 14-11 | ATS | 10-15 |
| 11-14 | O/U | 11-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 82–77 MIZ · ✗ VAN (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 30 | 50 | 80 |
| MIZ | 36 | 45 | 81 |
1st half: VAN 30, MIZ 36 (MIZ by 6). The model had VAN by 3.0 and a total of 74.0 (actual 66).
Team stats
| VAN | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-65 43% | Field goals | 23-52 44% |
| 10-25 40% | 3-pointers | 10-20 50% |
| 14-18 78% | Free throws | 25-32 78% |
| 37 16 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 10 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 38 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 9-19 | 2-6 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 35 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 4-11 | 3-9 |
| AK Okereke F | 26 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 26 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Jalen Washington F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Bing F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Harris F | 11 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-1 |
| Mike James G | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Mason Nicholson, Duke Miles, Coleson Messer, Miles Keeffe, Frankie Collins, Jaylon Dean-Vines, George Kimble III
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Stone G | 37 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-6 |
| Trent Pierce G | 37 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 36 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 2-9 | 1-1 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 32 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Burns C | 18 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jacob Crews G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jevon Porter, Luke Northweather, Annor Boateng, Aaron Rowe, Sebastian Mack
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -3.5
ModelVAN -4.9
Model edgeVAN +1.4
L MIZ covered
Total
Market154.5
Model158.3
Model edgeOver 3.8
W Over
Projected score
VAN 81.6 · MIZ 76.7
VAN 80 · MIZ 81
Win probability
VAN 67%
1st half
Spread
VAN -3.0
MIZ -6.0
Total
74.0
66 points
Projected score
VAN 38.5 · MIZ 35.5
VAN 30 · MIZ 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -6.5
3 → MIZ
CloseVAN -3.5
3 pts toward MIZ
Total
Open154.5
no move
Close154.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
VAN -162 · MIZ +136
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -6.5 · closed VAN -3.5 · moved 3 toward MIZmodel VAN -5
model VAN -5
Opened 154.5 · unchangedmodel 158.5
model 158.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
| MIZ | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VAN 3–2 MIZVAN leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · VAN 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MIZ 93 @ VAN 97 | VAN +1.5 | VAN W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | VAN 66 @ MIZ 75 | MIZ -5.5 | MIZ W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | MIZ 61 @ VAN 68 | VAN +1.5 | VAN W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | VAN 82 @ MIZ 85 | MIZ -8.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 8, 2021-22 | MIZ 62 @ VAN 70 | VAN -7.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
25 games played
Straight up
21-4
84% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs FLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vs UK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs MISS | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs OU | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 10 | @ AUB | W 84-76 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs TA&M | W 82-69 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−7.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
−12.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
+11.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
+5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−10.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
+23.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
−1.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
−14.5
over 11under 14avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
25 games played
Straight up
17-8
68% wins
Against the spread
10-15
40% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-14
44% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vsFLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vsAUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | @LSU | L 70-78 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | vs UGA | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 24 | vsOU | W 88-87 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | @ALA | L 64-90 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 167.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 31 | vsMSST | W 84-79 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @SC | W 78-59 | -3.5 | W +15.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 11 | @TA&M | W 86-85 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 14 | vsTEX | L 68-85 | -2.5 | L −19.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−6.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−3.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
−3.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−15.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
−1.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
+15.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+8.5
14
vsTEX
TEXL 68-85
−19.5
covered 10didn’t cover 15avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
17
@LSU
LSUL 70-78
−0.5
20
vsUGA
UGAL 72-74
−17.5
24
vsOU
OUW 88-87
+23.5
27
@ALA
ALAL 64-90
−13.5
31
vsMSST
MSSTW 84-79
+16.5
7
@SC
SCW 78-59
−10.5
11
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-85
+10.5
14
vsTEX
TEXL 68-85
+2.5
over 11under 14avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
21-4 overall · 8-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M82–69
- W@ Auburn84–76
- Lvs Oklahoma91–92
- Wvs Ole Miss71–68
- Wvs Kentucky80–55
4 days since their last game.
Missouri
17-8 overall · 7-5 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas68–85
- W@ Texas A&M86–85
- W@ South Carolina78–59
- Wvs Mississippi St84–79
- L@ Alabama64–90
4 days since their last game.