Liberty Arena (VA) · at Liberty · Conference game
Closing line
LIB -4.5✓ LIB covered by 2.5
LIB -4.5✓ LIB covered by 2.5Closing total152.5Under by 1.5
 SHSU | This season | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| 18-9 | Record | 21-6 |
| 19-8 | ATS | 11-16 |
| 17-10 | O/U | 16-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SHSU 75–78 LIB · ✓ LIB (61%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 31 | 41 | 72 |
| LIB | 41 | 38 | 79 |
1st half: SHSU 31, LIB 41 (LIB by 10). The model had LIB by 1.8 and a total of 71.7 (actual 72).
Team stats
| SHSU | LIB | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 8-16 50% | 3-pointers | 14-36 39% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 9-11 82% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 30 6 off |
| 10 | Assists | 20 |
| 2 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SHSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Walker G | 37 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 4-13 | 2-3 |
| Jacobe Coleman G | 37 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-12 | 2-5 |
| Kashie Natt G | 35 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Damon Nicholas Jr. G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Veljko Ilic F | 27 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 10-15 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Beaumont G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Matt Dann F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nathan Nguyen, Noah Benny, Cheikh Sadibou Ndiaye, Jackson Rogers, Jaxson Ford, Isaiah Manning, Po'Boigh King, Justin Begg
| LIB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny G | 37 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 5-10 | 4-8 |
| Zach Cleveland F | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 9-10 | 0-0 |
| Colin Porter G | 37 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 3-10 |
| Brett Decker Jr. G | 36 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5-13 | 4-12 |
| JJ Harper G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Smith F | 17 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Zander Carter G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Zander Yates F | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ryan Jones Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: TJ Drain, Isaiah Ihnen, Brady Kester, Torr Sorensen, Drew Grimes, JC Shirer Jr.
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIB -4.5
ModelLIB -3.2
Model edgeSHSU +1.3
L LIB covered
Total
Market152.5
Model153.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
SHSU 75 · LIB 78.2
SHSU 72 · LIB 79
Win probability
LIB 61%
1st half
Spread
LIB -1.8
LIB -10.0
Total
71.7
72 points
Projected score
SHSU 34.9 · LIB 36.7
SHSU 31 · LIB 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIB -4.5
no move
CloseLIB -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▼ 4
Close152.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
SHSU +180 · LIB -218
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIB -4.5 · unchangedmodel LIB -3
model LIB -3
Opened 156.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| LIB | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SHSU 1–4 LIBLIB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LIB has won the last 3 meetings · SHSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | LIB 82 @ SHSU 74 | SHSU +1.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | SHSU 61 @ LIB 64 | LIB -10.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | LIB 76 @ SHSU 68 | SHSU +3.5 | LIB W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | LIB 73 @ SHSU 83 | SHSU +4.5 | SHSU W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | SHSU 66 @ LIB 82 | LIB -9.5 | LIB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sam Houston
27 games played
Straight up
18-9
67% wins
Against the spread
19-8
70% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ TTU | L 77-98 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTAH | L 79-85 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs WYO | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 26 | vs IDST | W 84-81 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs IDHO | W 94-68 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 2 | @ OKST | L 83-93 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 6 | @ TXSO | W 82-70 | -7.5 | W +4.5 | 158.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | @ ORST | W 85-75 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 21 | @ NMSU | L 78-87 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 2 | @ WKU | L 91-102 | +5.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | @ MTSU | L 67-68 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 8 | vs DEL | W 72-60 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 10 | vsLIB | L 74-82 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | @ JXST | W 77-62 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 17 | @ FIU | W 76-63 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 168.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 21 | vs KENN | W 93-87 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 24 | vsWKU | W 73-58 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 156.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 28 | @ MOST | W 80-71 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs LT | W 83-67 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 4 | vs UTEP | W 70-66 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | @LT | L 78-87 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 143.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 14 | @KENN | W 83-79 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 18 | vsMTSU | W 78-70 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 21 | vsJXST | W 82-78 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 26 | vsFIU | W 100-67 | -6.5 | W +26.5 | 161.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vsMOST | W 86-81 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 5 | @DEL | L 80-83 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+10.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+6.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
+6.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+1.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+27.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+3.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
+4.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+13.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
−3.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
−5.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
+3.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
+0.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
−6.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
+16.5
17
@FIU
FIUW 76-63
+15.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 93-87
+0.5
24
vsWKU
WKUW 73-58
+9.5
28
@MOST
MOSTW 80-71
+10.5
31
vsLT
LTW 83-67
+8.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 70-66
−6.5
7
@LT
LTL 78-87
−12.5
14
@KENN
KENNW 83-79
+5.5
18
vsMTSU
MTSUW 78-70
+4.5
21
vsJXST
JXSTW 82-78
−2.5
26
vsFIU
FIUW 100-67
+26.5
28
vsMOST
MOSTW 86-81
−1.5
5
@DEL
DELL 80-83
−10.5
covered 19didn’t cover 8avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@TTU
TTUL 77-98
+18.5
15
@UTAH
UTAHL 79-85
+4.5
19
vsWYO
WYOW 78-70
−8.5
26
vsIDST
IDSTW 84-81
+22.5
28
vsIDHO
IDHOW 94-68
+7.5
2
@OKST
OKSTL 83-93
+6.5
6
@TXSO
TXSOW 82-70
−6.5
17
@ORST
ORSTW 85-75
+6.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 78-87
+11.5
2
@WKU
WKUL 91-102
+24.5
4
@MTSU
MTSUL 67-68
−21.5
8
vsDEL
DELW 72-60
−12.5
10
vsLIB
LIBL 74-82
+1.5
14
@JXST
JXSTW 77-62
−11.5
17
@FIU
FIUW 76-63
−29.5
21
vsKENN
KENNW 93-87
+12.5
24
vsWKU
WKUW 73-58
−25.5
28
@MOST
MOSTW 80-71
+2.5
31
vsLT
LTW 83-67
+8.5
4
vsUTEP
UTEPW 70-66
−9.5
7
@LT
LTL 78-87
+21.5
14
@KENN
KENNW 83-79
−0.5
18
vsMTSU
MTSUW 78-70
−3.5
21
vsJXST
JXSTW 82-78
+12.5
26
vsFIU
FIUW 100-67
+5.5
28
vsMOST
MOSTW 86-81
+14.5
5
@DEL
DELL 80-83
+15.5
over 17under 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Liberty
27 games played
Straight up
21-6
78% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-11
59% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs COFC | W 90-75 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 9 | vs FAU | W 88-68 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 79-73 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TOW | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs BRAD | L 64-74 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | vs COPP | W 92-50 | -30.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 10 | @ NCSU | L 45-85 | +12.5 | L −27.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 20 | @ DAY | W 64-61 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 142.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 28 | @FIU | W 97-94 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Jan 2 | vsKENN | W 81-73 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 4 | vsJXST | W 78-69 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 8 | @LT | W 72-56 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @SHSU | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsNMSU | W 73-71 | -8.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsUTEP | W 80-69 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @WKU | W 76-69 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 24 | vsDEL | W 67-51 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @MTSU | W 81-65 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 136.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 4 | @DEL | W 75-69 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 7 | vsMOST | W 79-76 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 11 | @NMSU | W 77-75 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 14 | @UTEP | W 73-64 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 19 | vsFIU | W 90-89 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 21 | vsWKU | L 73-94 | -7.5 | L −28.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 26 | @KENN | L 65-74 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 28 | @JXST | W 81-78 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 5 | vsLT | L 71-76 | -8.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+5.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+12.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
−2.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
−9.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−14.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
+11.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−27.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
+12.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
−1.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
+0.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
−0.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
+11.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+6.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−6.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
−2.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
+5.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
+0.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+14.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
−4.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
−6.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
−1.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
+2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
−8.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
−28.5
26
@KENN
KENNL 65-74
−10.5
28
@JXST
JXSTW 81-78
−0.5
5
vsLT
LTL 71-76
−13.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsCOFC
COFCW 90-75
+19.5
9
vsFAU
FAUW 88-68
+3.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 79-73
+10.5
25
vsTOW
TOWL 69-72
+3.5
26
vsBRAD
BRADL 64-74
−6.5
6
vsCOPP
COPPW 92-50
−1.5
10
@NCSU
NCSUL 45-85
−19.5
20
@DAY
DAYW 64-61
−17.5
28
@FIU
FIUW 97-94
+38.5
2
vsKENN
KENNW 81-73
−4.5
4
vsJXST
JXSTW 78-69
+12.5
8
@LT
LTW 72-56
−7.5
10
@SHSU
SHSUW 82-74
+1.5
15
vsNMSU
NMSUW 73-71
−1.5
17
vsUTEP
UTEPW 80-69
+11.5
21
@WKU
WKUW 76-69
−3.5
24
vsDEL
DELW 67-51
−16.5
29
@MTSU
MTSUW 81-65
+9.5
4
@DEL
DELW 75-69
+11.5
7
vsMOST
MOSTW 79-76
+14.5
11
@NMSU
NMSUW 77-75
+7.5
14
@UTEP
UTEPW 73-64
−2.5
19
vsFIU
FIUW 90-89
+26.5
21
vsWKU
WKUL 73-94
+19.5
26
@KENN
KENNL 65-74
−13.5
28
@JXST
JXSTW 81-78
+19.5
5
vsLT
LTL 71-76
+10.5
over 16under 11avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sam Houston
18-9 overall · 13-6 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Delaware80–83
- Wvs Missouri St86–81
- Wvs FIU100–67
- Wvs Jax State82–78
- Wvs MTSU78–70
2 days since their last game.
Liberty
21-6 overall · 16-3 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Louisiana Tech71–76
- W@ Jax State81–78
- L@ Kennesaw St65–74
- Lvs Western KY73–94
- Wvs FIU90–89
2 days since their last game.