1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. WOF @ PFW
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Wofford Terriers at Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Memorial Coliseum (IN) · at Purdue FW
#249WOFWofford
@
#250PFWPurdue FW
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
WOFThis seasonPFW
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PFW 77–74 · win probability PFW 60%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it

WOF 2, PFW 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
WOFBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: WOF 29.8%, PFW 22.9%. Defensive: WOF 71.0%, PFW 65.5%
PFWSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: WOF 13.4%, PFW 14.5%. Forced: WOF 15.0%, PFW 19.1%
Context
Schedule so far
WOF has played the 283rd-hardest schedule, PFW the 209th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PFWSmall
Home court
PFW at home. This season: PFW 0-0 at home, WOF 0-0 away
WOFSmall
WOF offense vs PFW defense
Offense 241st of 366 against a defense 291st, on the model’s ratings
Even
PFW offense vs WOF defense
Offense 218th of 366 against a defense 258th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Three-pointers
WOF hits 35.0% and allows 36.4%; PFW hits 34.2% and allows 37.9%. Threes are 43.1% and 45.4% of their shots
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: WOF 43%, PFW 29%. Transfers in: WOF 1, PFW 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: WOF 52.5 and allows 53.8; PFW 52.6 and allows 56.1
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: WOF 36.2, PFW 30.6. Allowed: WOF 36.9, PFW 28.6
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: WOF plays 68.7 a game (198th fastest), PFW 69.0 (179th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PFW -2.9—
Total—150.9—
Projected score—WOF 74 · PFW 76.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPFW -1.6—
1H total70.5—
1H projected scoreWOF 34.5 · PFW 36.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wofford has the better starters

Position by position: Wofford 2, Purdue FW 1, even 2
WoffordBetterPurdue FW
G L. Flynn5.6 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 10
PFWBig
G D. Craig13.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.7 ast Score 68
G C. Watley9.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 28
Even
G A. Williamson TR7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 16
G C. Arias TR6.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44
WOFBig
G C. Morgan2.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 2
F B. Sumpter6.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 34
WOFSmall
G E. Mosley2.8 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
F C. Richards3 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked
No call
F A. Isaac TR9.5 pts · 7.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 63
WoffordBetterPurdue FW
WOF offense241st of 366 · -7.3
Even
PFW defense291st of 366 · -7.3
WOF defense258th of 366 · -6.7
Even
PFW offense218th of 366 · -6.7
Backcourt-5.7 · 3 players
Even
Backcourt-5.6 · 4 players
Frontcourt-1.4 · 2 players
PFWSmall
Frontcourt+0.4 · 1 player
Bench-0.2 · 2 players
Even
Bench-0.2 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestWOF betterPFW betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Wofford
Guards
L. Flynn27 minC. Watley25 minC. Arias18 min · TRD. Miller2 minG. Collins2 minC. LoweNew
Forwards
B. Sumpter23 minC. Richards8 minC. SiskNew
Centers
E. RamseyNew
Purdue FW
Guards
D. Craig30 minA. Williamson23 min · TRC. Morgan14 minE. Mosley12 minM. Shrout3 minD. LewisNew
Forwards
A. Isaac24 min · TRE. OrtizNewQ. MorganNewA. WalkerNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
WOFPFW
Scoring
78.4 #90Points per game74.2 #189
1.14 #74Points per possession1.07 #204
68.7 #198Pace (possessions)69.0 #179
Shooting
52.5 #127Effective FG%52.6 #125
35.0 #1193-point %34.2 #163
43.1 #1123-point attempt rate45.4 #60
36.2 #144Free throw rate30.6 #292
Possessions
13.4 #12Turnover rate14.5 #43
29.8 #212Offensive rebound rate22.9 #351
13.8 #161Assists per game13.1 #207
Defense
78.6 #282Points allowed78.8 #286
1.15 #317Points allowed per possession1.14 #311
53.8 #294Opponent effective FG%56.1 #345
36.4 #322Opponent 3-point %37.9 #355
15.0 #291Turnovers forced19.1 #44
71.0 #101Defensive rebound rate65.5 #327
5.6 #283Steals per game7.9 #42
3.1 #201Blocks per game3.0 #224
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Wofford

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UNC Greensboro72–75
  • Lvs The Citadel90–93
  • W@ ETSU72–69
  • Lvs Furman67–76
  • Wvs VMI82–76

A week or more of rest.

Purdue FW

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Green Bay56–64
  • W@ IU Indy87–81
  • Lvs Wright St70–74
  • W@ Cleveland St92–86
  • L@ N Kentucky71–87

A week or more of rest.