1. NCAAB
  2. Thu, Nov 5
  3. COR @ LEH
NCAAB · Thu, Nov 5

Cornell Big Red at Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Stabler Arena · at Lehigh
#179CORCornell
@
#216LEHLehigh
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CORThis seasonLEH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects COR 78–78 · win probability COR 52%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 156.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: LEH has more of the edges

COR 2, LEH 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
LEHSmall
Three-pointers
COR hits 38.3% and allows 37.5%; LEH hits 36.1% and allows 32.9%. Threes are 51.6% and 38.3% of their shots
CORSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: COR 30.2%, LEH 23.2%. Defensive: COR 69.4%, LEH 68.5%
LEHSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: COR 30.2, LEH 31.8. Allowed: COR 37.2, LEH 32.5
LEHSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: COR 53%, LEH 100%. Transfers in: COR 0, LEH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: COR plays 72.0 a game (36th fastest), LEH 68.7 (197th). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
COR has played the 144th-hardest schedule, LEH the 218th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CORSmall
COR offense vs LEH defense
Offense 111th of 366 against a defense 179th, on the model’s ratings
LEHSmall
LEH offense vs COR defense
Offense 257th of 366 against a defense 319th, on the model’s ratings
LEHSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: COR 58.5 and allows 55.9; LEH 52.9 and allows 50.6
LEHSmall
Home court
LEH at home. This season: LEH 0-0 at home, COR 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: COR 16.1%, LEH 17.7%. Forced: COR 15.0%, LEH 16.2%
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—COR -0.5—
Total—156.0—
Projected score—COR 78.3 · LEH 77.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCOR -0.4—
1H total72.9—
1H projected scoreCOR 36.7 · LEH 36.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Lehigh has the better starters

Position by position: Cornell 1, Lehigh 2, even 2
CornellBetterLehigh
G J. Beccles7.8 pts · 2.5 reb · 3.2 ast Score 37
LEHSmall
G J. Ingram10.7 pts · 5.1 reb · 3.3 ast Score 54
G A. Nimani5.3 pts · 1.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 30
CORSmall
G C. Thomas5.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 1.8 ast Score 2
G M. Rafiq4.2 pts · 0.9 reb · 0.9 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Vazquez4 pts · 2.6 reb · 2 ast Score 11
F K. Sepp4.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 28
Even
F E. Benoit10.2 pts · 6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 24
F G. Panzini2.5 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
LEHBig
C H. Alvey15.4 pts · 7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 86
CornellBetterLehigh
COR offense111th of 366 · -1.8
CORSmall
LEH defense179th of 366 · -4.1
COR defense319th of 366 · -8.3
LEHSmall
LEH offense257th of 366 · -7.9
Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players
CORBig
Backcourt-6.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players
LEHBig
Frontcourt+2.3 · 2 players
Bench-1.3 · 5 players
CORBig
Bench-7.6 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestCOR betterLEH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Cornell
Guards
J. Beccles24 minA. Nimani18 minM. Rafiq8 minD. Fishburn8 minR. Burbach8 minE. GriffinNew
Forwards
K. Sepp19 minG. Panzini10 minI. Imegwu5 minJ. Abalos5 minT. Iwanonkiw3 minB. LecklitnerNew
Lehigh
Guards
J. Ingram36 minC. Thomas23 minJ. Vazquez22 minP. Kramer19 minA. Urosevic19 minC. BurrowsNew
Forwards
E. Benoit29 minJ. Pike12 minA. Addesa8 minR. RudusansNewN. DjanoglyNew
Centers
H. Alvey31 minC. CohenNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CORLEH
Scoring
85.8 #13Points per game71.8 #249
1.20 #17Points per possession1.05 #257
72.0 #36Pace (possessions)68.7 #197
Shooting
58.5 #7Effective FG%52.9 #107
38.3 #143-point %36.1 #56
51.6 #83-point attempt rate38.3 #206
30.2 #304Free throw rate31.8 #258
Possessions
16.1 #144Turnover rate17.7 #250
30.2 #193Offensive rebound rate23.2 #349
20.0 #1Assists per game13.9 #153
Defense
84.6 #358Points allowed74.4 #171
1.17 #343Points allowed per possession1.08 #175
55.9 #343Opponent effective FG%50.6 #133
37.5 #349Opponent 3-point %32.9 #109
15.0 #287Turnovers forced16.2 #212
69.4 #187Defensive rebound rate68.5 #226
5.8 #263Steals per game6.6 #163
2.8 #267Blocks per game3.1 #209
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Cornell

13-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-7 in conference · Ivy League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Yale76–88
  • W@ Dartmouth111–90
  • Wvs Brown86–80
  • Wvs Yale72–69
  • Lvs Harvard54–73

A week or more of rest.

Lehigh

16-17 in 2025-26 overall · 14-7 in conference · Patriot League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Prairie View55–67
  • Wvs Boston U74–60
  • Wvs Colgate76–69
  • Wvs Holy Cross69–66
  • Wvs Bucknell89–79

A week or more of rest.